Players (7,949)
Every batter and pitcher we track, from Triple-A down to the complex leagues. Rank them, cut them down, and turn any row over for its card and its market.
Showing players who meet all 3 of these:
Breakout signal — Measurably better across two full seasons, while young for the level or after a promotion. A hot month is not a breakout, and neither is the momentum score on its own.
Knocking on the door — Close enough to a big-league call-up to matter — readiness 70 or more. A call-up is usually when a card jumps.
Young for their level — Roughly two years or more younger than the typical player at that level. Being young for the competition is the single best sign we have.
Only 48 of 66 players have what this ordering needs; the rest are listed after them.
- 1Ryan SloanTarget
27.6% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 21.8% to 27.6% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 84Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality95EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9021.8% → 27.6% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.50WHIP1.08K-BB%27.6K%31.3BB%3.7IP92.2 - 2Josue De PaulaTarget
0.947 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .827 to .947 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 82Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality95EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.827 → .947Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.947ISO.244HR26SB29BB%13.2K%14.5 - 3George Lombard Jr.Watch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 81Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.695 → .845Arrival96/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.172HR6SB10BB%17.2K%21.8 - 4Walker JenkinsTarget
0.939 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .913 to .939 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 81Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality93EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.913 → .939Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.939ISO.224HR12SB17BB%13.7K%15.6 - 5Pedro RamírezTarget
0.942 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .732 to .942 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 81Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.732 → .942Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.942ISO.235HR9SB19BB%10.7K%16.3 - 6Theo GillenTarget
0.890 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .820 to .890 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 80Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.820 → .890Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.890ISO.214HR9SB14BB%15.4K%20.3 - 7Aron EstradaWatch
0.821 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .798 to .821 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 76Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.798 → .821Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.821ISO.212HR23SB7BB%5.5K%17.7 - 8Luis LaraWatch
0.902 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .902 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 73Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.712 → .902Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.902ISO.149HR9SB24BB%15.6K%13.9 - 9Ralphy VelazquezWatch
0.919 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .792 to .919 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 73Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.792 → .919Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.919ISO.267HR21SB1BB%10.2K%20.5 - 10Denzer GuzmanTarget
0.974 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .974 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.749 → .974Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.974ISO.235HR12SB9BB%10.1K%17.9 - 11James Tibbs IIITarget
0.962 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .962 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.755 → .962Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.962ISO.249HR27SB8BB%16.9K%22.6 - 12Gage MillerTarget
0.887 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .637 to .887 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.637 → .887Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.887ISO.210HR6SB7BB%15.6K%17.5 - 13Caleb BonemerTarget
0.944 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .858 to .944 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.858 → .944Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.944ISO.301HR17SB6BB%14.9K%24.9 - 14Gavin ConticelloWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .804 to .956 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.804 → .956Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.956ISO.246HR7SB1BB%7.4K%17.4 - 15Kaelen CulpepperWatch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .827 to .845 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.827 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.207HR14SB17BB%11.4K%18.4 - 16Emmanuel RodriguezTarget
0.993 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .852 up to .993 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory79.852 → .993Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.993ISO.295HR11SB7BB%19.6K%26.8 - 17Seaver KingWatch
0.910 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .600 to .910 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.600 → .910Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.910ISO.228HR14SB9BB%8.5K%22.1 - 18Charlie CondonWatch
0.892 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .807 to .892 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.807 → .892Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.892ISO.232HR22SB7BB%13.2K%24.6 - 19Kahlil WatsonWatch
0.809 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .798 to .809 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.798 → .809Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.809ISO.210HR16SB21BB%14.3K%27.3 - 20Zyhir HopeWatch
0.871 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .805 to .871 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.805 → .871Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.871ISO.225HR27SB23BB%11.2K%25.6 - 21Émilien PitreWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .819 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality68SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.749 → .819Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.819ISO.121HR0SB1BB%10.0K%10.0 - 22Xavier IsaacWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .812 to 1.167 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.812 → 1.167Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.167ISO.334HR1SB1BB%25.0K%20.0 - 23Johanfran GarciaWatch
0.839 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .839 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.755 → .839Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.839ISO.208HR17SB3BB%5.7K%29.0 - 24Christian MooreTarget
0.943 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .665 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.665 → .943Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.210HR11SB15BB%17.5K%22.5 - 25Blaze JordanWatch
0.921 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .714 up to .921 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory67.714 → .921Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.921ISO.235HR11SB2BB%7.5K%11.5 - 26
0.838 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .674 up to .838 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory67.674 → .838Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.838ISO.219HR21SB18BB%8.1K%19.5 - 27Nelson RadaWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .736 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality64SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.712 → .736Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.736ISO.085HR3SB35BB%12.5K%18.5 - 28Henry BolteTarget
1.076 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .802 to 1.076 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.802 → 1.076Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.076ISO.310HR12SB17BB%9.6K%22.0 - 29Sean KeysTarget
1.044 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to 1.044 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.773 → 1.044Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.044ISO.319HR14SB1BB%14.2K%20.4 - 30Héctor RodríguezWatch
0.880 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .838 to .880 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.838 → .880Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.880ISO.259HR27SB6BB%9.2K%20.4 - 31Kendry RojasWatch
17.4% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 5.3% up to 17.4% K-BB.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality60SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory—5.3% → 17.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA3.18WHIP1.21K-BB%17.4K%24.6BB%7.2IP34.0 - 32Franklin AriasWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .709 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.709 → .828Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.171HR4SB1BB%8.8K%16.8 - 33Noah SchultzWatch
18.3% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 8.8% to 18.3% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory908.8% → 18.3% K-BBArrival88/100DoorstepERA1.99WHIP0.89K-BB%18.3K%26.1BB%7.8IP40.2 - 34Robby SnellingTarget
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 20.9% to 26.4% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality92EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4120.9% → 26.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.86WHIP0.90K-BB%26.4K%40.0BB%13.6IP29.0 - 35Cooper PrattWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .691 to .735 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.691 → .735Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.735ISO.145HR6SB17BB%13.0K%14.2 - 36Joshua Kuroda-GrauerWatch
0.866 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .715 to .866 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.715 → .866Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.866ISO.109HR1SB4BB%7.4K%6.5 - 37James TriantosWatch
0.812 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .684 up to .812 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality70SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.684 → .812Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.812ISO.143HR9SB26BB%6.7K%11.1 - 38Jose FernandezWatch
0.799 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .775 to .799 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality70SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.775 → .799Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.799ISO.196HR7SB11BB%7.7K%24.9 - 39Leo BernalWatch
0.831 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .726 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.726 → .831Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.831ISO.190HR16SB9BB%11.8K%19.9 - 40Diego VelasquezWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .810 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality69SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.677 → .810Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.810ISO.135HR0SB1BB%13.5K%21.3 - 41Nick MorabitoWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — .733 to .743 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality62SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.733 → .743Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.743ISO.134HR13SB42BB%11.2K%20.9 - 42Jesús BáezTarget
1.029 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .724 to 1.029 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 45Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.724 → 1.029Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS1.029ISO.375HR22SB2BB%4.2K%15.3 - 43Luke AdamsTarget
0.927 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .859 to .927 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 45Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.859 → .927Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.927ISO.250HR13SB7BB%14.3K%14.0 - 44Angel GenaoWatch
0.889 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .682 to .889 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.682 → .889Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.889ISO.185HR10SB9BB%12.3K%15.5 - 45Bryant BetancourtWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .761 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.677 → .761Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.761ISO.173HR3SB2BB%7.0K%13.9 - 46Devin TaylorWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .869 to 1.100 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality64SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.869 → 1.100Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.100ISO.000HR0SB0BB%20.0K%20.0 - 47Andry LaraPass
K-BB% 2.2 -> 10.1
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 2.2% up to 10.1% K-BB.
Value 44Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality49FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory722.2% → 10.1% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA5.26WHIP1.43K-BB%10.1K%18.8BB%8.7IP104.1 - 48Chase PettyPass
10.8% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 8.4% up to 10.8% K-BB.
Value 43Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality40FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory—8.4% → 10.8% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA6.18WHIP1.59K-BB%10.8K%21.2BB%10.4IP51.0 - 49Alejandro OsunaWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .728 to .778 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality68SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.728 → .778Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.778ISO.108HR2SB8BB%13.6K%9.6 - 50Andrew PainterWatch
16.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 13.7% up to 16.9% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality55SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory—13.7% → 16.9% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA4.56WHIP1.44K-BB%16.9K%24.8BB%7.9IP23.2 - 51Angel OrtizWatch
0.818 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .752 to .818 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.752 → .818Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.818ISO.206HR6SB4BB%10.7K%18.7 - 52Cam CauleyWatch
0.828 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.773 → .828Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.185HR14SB35BB%12.6K%20.9 - 53Christian ZazuetaTarget
33.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 23.8% to 33.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality96EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9023.8% → 33.9% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.48WHIP1.02K-BB%33.9K%37.9BB%4.0IP44.0 - 54Dylan GregoWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to 1.217 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.695 → 1.217Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.217ISO.167HR0SB0BB%10.0K%15.0 - 55Eduardo RiveraWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 5.2% to 14.2% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality68SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory775.2% → 14.2% K-BBArrival80/100DoorstepERA2.96WHIP1.31K-BB%14.2K%27.8BB%13.6IP45.2 - 56Edwin ArroyoWatch
0.924 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .716 to .924 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.716 → .924Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.924ISO.238HR15SB13BB%8.5K%18.3 - 57Eliazar DishmeyTarget
22.5% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.9% to 22.5% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality93EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9510.9% → 22.5% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.14WHIP1.05K-BB%22.5K%33.1BB%10.6IP66.0 - 58Fernando PegueroWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .582 to .765 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality66SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.582 → .765Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.765ISO.149HR2SB4BB%10.5K%27.6 - 59Jesus CastilloPass
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .613 to .686 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality51FringeProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.613 → .686Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.686ISO.015HR0SB2BB%10.4K%18.2 - 60Jose AstudilloWatch
promoted Rookie -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .972 to 1.167 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality67SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.972 → 1.167Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.167ISO.000HR0SB0BB%33.3K%0.0 - 61Joshua QuezadaWatch
promoted Rookie -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.5% to 25.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4116.5% → 25.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%25.0K%25.0BB%0.0IP1.1 - 62Lizandro EspinozaWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .611 to .891 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.611 → .891Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.891ISO.179HR2SB6BB%14.9K%19.1 - 63Logan McGuirePass
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Down from 22.9% to 0.0% K-BB, but that came with a move up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality43FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4122.9% → 0.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%0.0K%0.0BB%0.0IP1.0 - 64Noah MillerWatch
0.725 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .613 up to .725 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality59SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory—.613 → .725Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.725ISO.145HR10SB4BB%9.3K%17.4 - 65Yaqui RiveraWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — 14.0% to 13.6% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality59SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4114.0% → 13.6% K-BBArrival80/100DoorstepERA3.40WHIP1.45K-BB%13.6K%27.2BB%13.6IP47.2 - 66Zach EhrhardWatch
0.867 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .867 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.773 → .867Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.867ISO.183HR19SB25BB%15.1K%20.2
Who leads each ranking
The top three on each axis, over every player we track — not the cut above. Three of these rank the ballplayer; the fourth ranks the whole purchase, and they routinely disagree.
Hottest bats
Hitters whose numbers are climbing fastest.
Arms closest to the majors
Pitchers nearest a call-up. Ranked by how close they are, not by form — a call-up is the moment that reprices a card.
Knocking on the door
Closest to playing in the majors — cards often peak around the call-up.
Who had a big game
Last night's standout lines, for the players we track. Real box scores — nothing here is written by us.
Trey PaigeMemphis Redbirds · Triple-A 3-for-3
Anthony SeiglerWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 2-for-2
Jonathon LongJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A 4-for-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI
Jacob BerryOmaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A 3-for-4
Kristian CampbellWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB
Cooper IngleColumbus Clippers · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Showing 6 of 151 big games from Saturday. One good night is the earliest signal there is, and the noisiest — it is a reason to look, not a reason to buy.