Ryan Sloan
SP · Double-A · 20.0y · #624 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
62 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /250 asks $357, over the $260 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Sloan 1st…. Priced above value.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Ryan Sloan scores 62 out of 100 (#624 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
We have 2 confirmed sales of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Thin comp evidence
2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 🔵 Ryan Sloan 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RS, Clean and Sharp! 🔵 at $260, 174% over the $95 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $95 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
32 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 32 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 26 are under "The whole live market".
Ryan Sloan auto 2024 Bowman #CPA-RS 1st bowman
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 77h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $187–222
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RYAN SLOAN SNACK PACK SSP BUBBLE GUM 1/5 Auto Mariners
/5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 18d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 82h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5004.99
modeled $285
PASS
🔥2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Ryan Sloan 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 Mariners 📈
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$467.49
modeled $144–207
PASS
Ryan Sloan Bowman 1st Auto 🔥🔥🔥
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — the year
—
modeled $187–222
PASS
Ryan Sloan 1st Auto True Blue Refractor /150 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 📈
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 86h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$490.00
modeled $120–172
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/150 Mariners Centered
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $120–172
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Ryan Sloan, just what the money can do today.
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /100$129.97Watch
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /100$129.99Watch
- Walker Jenkinsbase$147.98Watch
Compared within $76.24–$160.10, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder11 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $152.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $152.48 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $255.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $255.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +68%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $357.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $357.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $356.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $356.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $327.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $327.49 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -8%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $490.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $537.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $537.49 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $467.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $467.49 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $557.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $557.49 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +19%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5004.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5004.99 live
- Scarcity
- 5 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +798%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.4 / 10
- already at Double-A
- young for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold for2 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market32 listed · 32 eBay-verified · 26 not shown above
- Listings
- 32
- Lowest seen
- $152.48
- Median ask
- $356.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $255.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $255.98
32 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 8 hours ago.
The other 26 cards
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150 MarinersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Ryan Sloan Mariners Blue Wave /150PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Ryan Sloan Auto HTA Choice 86/150PASS
- $356.002024 Bowman Draft Sapphire - Ryan Sloan 1st AUTO #/199 #CPA-RSPASS
- $358.992024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Ryan Sloan Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #/199 MarinersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Sloan 1st AUTO Mariners #CPA-RSPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Ryan Sloan Auto #CPA-RS Aqua Lava Refractor /199 MarinersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Ryan Sloan Aqua Lava Refractor /199 AutoPASS
- $304.992024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9 Mariners RCWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Sloan 1st Prospect Auto🔥PSA 10🔥WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 9 Bowman 1stWATCH
- —RYAN SLOAN 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT GOLD SHIMMER 1ST ROOKIE AUTO /50 🔥 PSA 10 🔥WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-RS Mariners PSA 9WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Signed Ryan Sloan 1st Sapphire Card RC Mariners PSA 10 AutoWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9 Mariners RCWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto Ryan Sloan SNACK PACK SSP Popcorn #4/5 Mariners PSA 9WATCH
- $255.98RYAN SLOAN 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO /499 Refractor Card #CPA-RS MarinersPASS
- —2024 Ryan Sloan 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor /499 Mariners RookiePASS
- $259.99🔵 Ryan Sloan 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RS, Clean and Sharp! 🔵PASS
- $327.49🔥2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan 1st HTA Refractor Auto /150 Mariners📈PASS
- $537.49🔥2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan 1st Green Lava Auto /99 Mariners 📈PASS
- $557.49🔥2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /71 Mariners 📈PASS
- $357.49🔥2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 Mariners 📈PASS
- $307.49🔥2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Sloan 1st Refractor Auto /499 Mariners 📈PASS
- $152.482024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ryan Sloan #CPA-RS Auto 8g8PASS
- $201.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ryan Sloan #CPA-RS Auto sc8PASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run