Players (7,949)
Every batter and pitcher we track, from Triple-A down to the complex leagues. Rank them, cut them down, and turn any row over for its card and its market.
Showing players who meet all 3 of these:
Breakout signal — Measurably better across two full seasons, while young for the level or after a promotion. A hot month is not a breakout, and neither is the momentum score on its own.
Knocking on the door — Close enough to a big-league call-up to matter — readiness 70 or more. A call-up is usually when a card jumps.
Catalyst — Something happened to him that we can evidence — a promotion, a call-up, an injury, a trade. Every sourced event we hold today is a level change read from the two official stat lines; dated events join as they are logged, and the row prints the event and how we know it.
Only 72 of 137 players have what this ordering needs; the rest are listed after them.
- 1Josue De PaulaTarget
0.947 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .827 to .947 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 84Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality95EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.827 → .947Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.947ISO.244HR26SB29BB%13.2K%14.5 - 2Ryan SloanTarget
27.6% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 21.8% to 27.6% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 84Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality95EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9021.8% → 27.6% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.50WHIP1.08K-BB%27.6K%31.3BB%3.7IP92.2 - 3Walker JenkinsTarget
0.939 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .913 to .939 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 81Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality93EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.913 → .939Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.939ISO.224HR12SB17BB%13.7K%15.6 - 4Pedro RamírezTarget
0.942 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .732 to .942 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 81Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.732 → .942Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.942ISO.235HR9SB19BB%10.7K%16.3 - 5George Lombard Jr.Watch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 80Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.695 → .845Arrival96/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.172HR6SB10BB%17.2K%21.8 - 6Theo GillenTarget
0.890 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .820 to .890 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 78Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.820 → .890Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.890ISO.214HR9SB14BB%15.4K%20.3 - 7Aron EstradaWatch
0.821 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .798 to .821 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 76Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.798 → .821Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.821ISO.212HR23SB7BB%5.5K%17.7 - 8Won-Bin ChoWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .688 to .900 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 75Breakout signalPromoted to AAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.688 → .900Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.900ISO.241HR12SB6BB%15.9K%21.2 - 9Luis LaraWatch
0.902 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .902 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 73Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.712 → .902Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.902ISO.149HR9SB24BB%15.6K%13.9 - 10Brock RoddenWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — .822 to .841 OPS.
Value 73Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality66SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.822 → .841Arrival83/100DoorstepOPS.841ISO.237HR19SB8BB%10.5K%22.7 - 11Ralphy VelazquezWatch
0.919 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .792 to .919 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 73Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.792 → .919Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.919ISO.267HR21SB1BB%10.2K%20.5 - 12Cole CarriggWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .710 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 65Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.710 → .943Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.191HR6SB30BB%10.5K%15.2 - 13Matthew EtzelWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .721 to .786 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 65Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality66SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.721 → .786Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.786ISO.188HR17SB21BB%12.7K%24.1 - 14Denzer GuzmanTarget
0.974 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .974 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.749 → .974Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.974ISO.235HR12SB9BB%10.1K%17.9 - 15James Tibbs IIITarget
0.962 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .962 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.755 → .962Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.962ISO.249HR27SB8BB%16.9K%22.6 - 16Gage MillerTarget
0.887 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .637 to .887 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.637 → .887Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.887ISO.210HR6SB7BB%15.6K%17.5 - 17Caleb BonemerTarget
0.944 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .858 to .944 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.858 → .944Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.944ISO.301HR17SB6BB%14.9K%24.9 - 18Gavin ConticelloWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .804 to .956 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.804 → .956Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.956ISO.246HR7SB1BB%7.4K%17.4 - 19Kaelen CulpepperWatch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .827 to .845 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.827 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.207HR14SB17BB%11.4K%18.4 - 20Brayan BuelvasWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .581 to .873 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.581 → .873Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.873ISO.244HR15SB4BB%9.9K%26.1 - 21Seaver KingWatch
0.910 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .600 to .910 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.600 → .910Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.910ISO.228HR14SB9BB%8.5K%22.1 - 22Charlie CondonWatch
0.892 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .807 to .892 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.807 → .892Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.892ISO.232HR22SB7BB%13.2K%24.6 - 23Kahlil WatsonWatch
0.809 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .798 to .809 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.798 → .809Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.809ISO.210HR16SB21BB%14.3K%27.3 - 24Alex Santos IIWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 11.7% to 32.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4111.7% → 32.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.35WHIP0.75K-BB%32.0K%44.0BB%12.0IP6.2 - 25Zyhir HopeWatch
0.871 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .805 to .871 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.805 → .871Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.871ISO.225HR27SB23BB%11.2K%25.6 - 26Émilien PitreWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .819 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality68SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.749 → .819Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.819ISO.121HR0SB1BB%10.0K%10.0 - 27Robert MooreWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .604 to .787 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.604 → .787Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.787ISO.241HR14SB7BB%9.9K%13.9 - 28Xavier IsaacWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .812 to 1.167 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.812 → 1.167Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.167ISO.334HR1SB1BB%25.0K%20.0 - 29Johanfran GarciaWatch
0.839 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .839 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.755 → .839Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.839ISO.208HR17SB3BB%5.7K%29.0 - 30Zach LevensonWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .750 to 1.166 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality75StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.750 → 1.166Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.166ISO.500HR1SB0BB%0.0K%16.7 - 31Christian MooreTarget
0.943 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .665 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.665 → .943Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.210HR11SB15BB%17.5K%22.5 - 32Dylan DreilingWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .700 to .927 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.700 → .927Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.927ISO.219HR22SB13BB%10.9K%21.1 - 33Nelson RadaWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .736 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality64SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.712 → .736Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.736ISO.085HR3SB35BB%12.5K%18.5 - 34Henry BolteTarget
1.076 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .802 to 1.076 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.802 → 1.076Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.076ISO.310HR12SB17BB%9.6K%22.0 - 35Sean KeysTarget
1.044 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to 1.044 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.773 → 1.044Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.044ISO.319HR14SB1BB%14.2K%20.4 - 36Héctor RodríguezWatch
0.880 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .838 to .880 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.838 → .880Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.880ISO.259HR27SB6BB%9.2K%20.4 - 37Jase BowenWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .745 to .962 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality67SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.745 → .962Arrival90/100DoorstepOPS.962ISO.308HR13SB7BB%9.5K%26.6 - 38Max AndersonWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .857 to .891 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.857 → .891Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.891ISO.188HR14SB4BB%11.2K%12.4 - 39Cooper IngleWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .832 to .964 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.832 → .964Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.964ISO.234HR18SB2BB%19.5K%23.0 - 40Brayden TaylorWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .575 to .740 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality66SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.575 → .740Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.740ISO.213HR2SB6BB%23.8K%27.5 - 41Pascanel FerrerasWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .687 to .853 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality61SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.687 → .853Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.853ISO.159HR4SB6BB%6.8K%24.7 - 42Gunner MayerWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 12.8% to 17.2% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality56SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory7712.8% → 17.2% K-BBArrival83/100DoorstepERA5.24WHIP1.60K-BB%17.2K%32.5BB%15.3IP34.1 - 43Franklin AriasWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .709 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.709 → .828Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.171HR4SB1BB%8.8K%16.8 - 44Noah SchultzWatch
18.3% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 8.8% to 18.3% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality80StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory908.8% → 18.3% K-BBArrival88/100DoorstepERA1.99WHIP0.89K-BB%18.3K%26.1BB%7.8IP40.2 - 45Robby SnellingTarget
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 20.9% to 26.4% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality92EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4120.9% → 26.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.86WHIP0.90K-BB%26.4K%40.0BB%13.6IP29.0 - 46Kemp AldermanWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — .784 to .792 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality61SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.784 → .792Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.792ISO.193HR18SB10BB%9.0K%32.6 - 47Cooper PrattWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .691 to .735 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.691 → .735Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.735ISO.145HR6SB17BB%13.0K%14.2 - 48Charles McAdooWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .731 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality70SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.731 → .831Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.831ISO.196HR16SB12BB%12.5K%22.3 - 49Colton LedbetterWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .715 to .781 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality59SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.715 → .781Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.781ISO.162HR11SB25BB%8.8K%29.7 - 50Brett BatemanWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .683 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality67SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.683 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.105HR3SB20BB%17.3K%18.7 - 51Joshua Kuroda-GrauerWatch
0.866 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .715 to .866 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.715 → .866Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.866ISO.109HR1SB4BB%7.4K%6.5 - 52Cayden WallaceWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .686 to .878 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.686 → .878Arrival83/100DoorstepOPS.878ISO.239HR9SB5BB%6.4K%19.8 - 53Jose FernandezWatch
0.799 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .775 to .799 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality70SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.775 → .799Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.799ISO.196HR7SB11BB%7.7K%24.9 - 54Leo BernalWatch
0.831 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .726 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.726 → .831Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.831ISO.190HR16SB9BB%11.8K%19.9 - 55Diego VelasquezWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .810 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality69SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.677 → .810Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.810ISO.135HR0SB1BB%13.5K%21.3 - 56Jared SernaWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .582 to .681 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality63SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.582 → .681Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.681ISO.157HR12SB14BB%9.5K%17.6 - 57Jared KelleyWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 11.3% to 20.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality69SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4111.3% → 20.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.80WHIP1.40K-BB%20.0K%35.0BB%15.0IP5.0 - 58Brooks BrannonWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .711 to .928 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.711 → .928Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.928ISO.284HR20SB2BB%10.7K%29.3 - 59Nick MorabitoWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — .733 to .743 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality62SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.733 → .743Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.743ISO.134HR13SB42BB%11.2K%20.9 - 60Willy VasquezPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .656 to .679 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 49Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality51FringeProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.656 → .679Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.679ISO.121HR3SB8BB%12.8K%34.0 - 61Drue HackenbergPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 1.2% to 9.1% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 49Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality45FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory841.2% → 9.1% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA6.06WHIP1.73K-BB%9.1K%22.3BB%13.2IP52.0 - 62Bennett LeePass
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .420 to .648 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 49Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality40FringeProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.420 → .648Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.648ISO.094HR1SB0BB%4.3K%36.2 - 63Jesús BáezTarget
1.029 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .724 to 1.029 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 45Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.724 → 1.029Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS1.029ISO.375HR22SB2BB%4.2K%15.3 - 64Luke AdamsTarget
0.927 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .859 to .927 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 45Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.859 → .927Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.927ISO.250HR13SB7BB%14.3K%14.0 - 65Angel GenaoWatch
0.889 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .682 to .889 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.682 → .889Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.889ISO.185HR10SB9BB%12.3K%15.5 - 66Bryan RinconWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .602 to .907 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.602 → .907Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.907ISO.237HR22SB27BB%16.9K%20.4 - 67Jacob GonzalezWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .674 to 1.097 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.674 → 1.097Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.097ISO.355HR19SB8BB%13.8K%20.5 - 68Brandon ComptonWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .713 to 1.180 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.713 → 1.180Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.180ISO.427HR21SB5BB%12.5K%31.5 - 69Abimelec OrtizWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .787 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.787 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.253HR18SB0BB%11.8K%19.5 - 70Bryant BetancourtWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .761 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.677 → .761Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.761ISO.173HR3SB2BB%7.0K%13.9 - 71Caden KendleWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .705 to 1.106 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAPlayer quality67SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.705 → 1.106Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.106ISO.279HR9SB9BB%8.4K%21.6 - 72Devin TaylorWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .869 to 1.100 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality64SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.869 → 1.100Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.100ISO.000HR0SB0BB%20.0K%20.0 - 73Aidan CurryPass
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Down from 13.5% to 11.1% K-BB, but that came with a move up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality48FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4113.5% → 11.1% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.80WHIP0.60K-BB%11.1K%16.7BB%5.6IP5.0 - 74Alejandro OsunaWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .728 to .778 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality68SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.728 → .778Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.778ISO.108HR2SB8BB%13.6K%9.6 - 75Andrew SearsWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 18.8% to 29.4% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4118.8% → 29.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.62K-BB%29.4K%41.2BB%11.8IP9.2 - 76Angel OrtizWatch
0.818 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .752 to .818 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.752 → .818Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.818ISO.206HR6SB4BB%10.7K%18.7 - 77Ben MalgeriWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .825 to .897 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality58SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.825 → .897Arrival83/100DoorstepOPS.897ISO.200HR9SB8BB%12.8K%24.9 - 78Ben RossWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .671 to .811 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality63SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.671 → .811Arrival75/100DoorstepOPS.811ISO.209HR15SB12BB%13.4K%27.3 - 79Brandon BeckelWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 13.7% to 25.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality72StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4113.7% → 25.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP2.00K-BB%25.0K%50.0BB%25.0IP1.0 - 80Brett SquiresWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .738 to .881 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality60SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.738 → .881Arrival83/100DoorstepOPS.881ISO.284HR22SB12BB%8.9K%27.0 - 81Brett WichrowskiPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 6.5% to 12.3% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality49FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory416.5% → 12.3% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA6.14WHIP1.33K-BB%12.3K%22.3BB%10.0IP29.1 - 82C.J. CulpepperPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 6.5% to 11.1% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality50FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory646.5% → 11.1% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA4.18WHIP1.37K-BB%11.1K%23.1BB%12.0IP51.2 - 83Cade WinquestWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 14.4% to 26.3% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality76StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory7714.4% → 26.3% K-BBArrival90/100DoorstepERA4.54WHIP1.16K-BB%26.3K%34.8BB%8.5IP39.2 - 84Cam CauleyWatch
0.828 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.773 → .828Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.185HR14SB35BB%12.6K%20.9 - 85Carter GrahamWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .660 to .906 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAPlayer quality66SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.660 → .906Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.906ISO.245HR11SB3BB%12.5K%22.7 - 86Chris KeanWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 12.2% to 20.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality67SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4112.2% → 20.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA5.48WHIP1.17K-BB%20.0K%26.3BB%6.3IP23.0 - 87Christian ZazuetaTarget
33.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 23.8% to 33.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality96EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9023.8% → 33.9% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.48WHIP1.02K-BB%33.9K%37.9BB%4.0IP44.0 - 88Chuck KingPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — 12.7% to 13.1% K-BB.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAold for AAAPlayer quality31Long shotStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4112.7% → 13.1% K-BBArrival75/100DoorstepERA4.04WHIP1.20K-BB%13.1K%20.4BB%7.3IP107.0 - 89Connor HujsakWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .990 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.677 → .990Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.990ISO.354HR2SB1BB%0.0K%28.1 - 90Dakota HarrisWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — .688 to .696 OPS.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality62SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.688 → .696Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.696ISO.215HR0SB0BB%6.7K%20.0 - 91Dylan GregoWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to 1.217 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.695 → 1.217Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.217ISO.167HR0SB0BB%10.0K%15.0 - 92Eduardo RiveraWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 5.2% to 14.2% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality68SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory775.2% → 14.2% K-BBArrival80/100DoorstepERA2.96WHIP1.31K-BB%14.2K%27.8BB%13.6IP45.2 - 93Eduardo ValenciaPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Down from .859 to .826 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality53FringeProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.859 → .826Arrival83/100DoorstepOPS.826ISO.217HR17SB1BB%9.9K%21.2 - 94Edwin ArroyoWatch
0.924 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .716 to .924 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.716 → .924Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.924ISO.238HR15SB13BB%8.5K%18.3 - 95Eliazar DishmeyTarget
22.5% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.9% to 22.5% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality93EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9510.9% → 22.5% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.14WHIP1.05K-BB%22.5K%33.1BB%10.6IP66.0 - 96Eliezer AlfonzoPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .641 to .762 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality48FringeProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.641 → .762Arrival75/100DoorstepOPS.762ISO.099HR1SB1BB%10.7K%8.6 - 97Evan ShawverPass
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — 13.5% to 13.7% K-BB.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality40FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4113.5% → 13.7% K-BBArrival75/100DoorstepERA2.40WHIP1.35K-BB%13.7K%22.2BB%8.5IP41.1 - 98Fernando PegueroWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .582 to .765 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality66SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.582 → .765Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.765ISO.149HR2SB4BB%10.5K%27.6 - 99Izaak MartinezPass
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Down from 8.7% to 0.0% K-BB, but that came with a move up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAPlayer quality38FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory418.7% → 0.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%0.0K%0.0BB%0.0IP1.0 - 100Jack RalstonWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 13.6% to 19.1% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAAold for AAAPlayer quality59SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory7613.6% → 19.1% K-BBArrival83/100DoorstepERA1.66WHIP1.04K-BB%19.1K%31.1BB%12.0IP59.2
Showing 100 of 137. Narrow it down with a preset, team, level or position above.
Who leads each ranking
The top three on each axis, over every player we track — not the cut above. Three of these rank the ballplayer; the fourth ranks the whole purchase, and they routinely disagree.
Hottest bats
Hitters whose numbers are climbing fastest.
Arms closest to the majors
Pitchers nearest a call-up. Ranked by how close they are, not by form — a call-up is the moment that reprices a card.
Knocking on the door
Closest to playing in the majors — cards often peak around the call-up.
Who had a big game
Last night's standout lines, for the players we track. Real box scores — nothing here is written by us.
Trey PaigeMemphis Redbirds · Triple-A 3-for-3
Anthony SeiglerWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 2-for-2
Jonathon LongJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A 4-for-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI
Jacob BerryOmaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A 3-for-4
Kristian CampbellWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB
Cooper IngleColumbus Clippers · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Showing 6 of 151 big games from Saturday. One good night is the earliest signal there is, and the noisiest — it is a reason to look, not a reason to buy.