Players (7,949)
Every batter and pitcher we track, from Triple-A down to the complex leagues. Rank them, cut them down, and turn any row over for its card and its market.
Showing players who meet all 3 of these:
Breakout signal — Measurably better across two full seasons, while young for the level or after a promotion. A hot month is not a breakout, and neither is the momentum score on its own.
Young for their level — Roughly two years or more younger than the typical player at that level. Being young for the competition is the single best sign we have.
Strong and young — Scores 70 or better all round, is roughly two years or more young for his level, and is not measurably fading. Three bars that already sit on the row, asked for at once — it is not a fourth score and it is not a verdict on his card.
Only 60 of 75 players have what this ordering needs; the rest are listed after them.
- 1Ramiro DominguezTarget
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .780 to 1.517 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS 1.517Breakout signal3+ yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality87EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.780 → 1.517Arrival28/100up from RookieOPS1.517ISO.734HR3SB0BB%15.0K%20.0 - 2Dylan GregoWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to 1.217 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS 1.217Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.695 → 1.217Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.217ISO.167HR0SB0BB%10.0K%15.0 - 3Xavier IsaacWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .812 to 1.167 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS 1.167Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.812 → 1.167Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.167ISO.334HR1SB1BB%25.0K%20.0 - 4José PirelaWatch
promoted Low-A -> High-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .618 to 1.091 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS 1.091Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.618 → 1.091Arrival28/100up from Low-AOPS1.091ISO.339HR5SB0BB%14.3K%24.7 - 5Henry BolteTarget
1.076 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .802 to 1.076 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS 1.076Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.802 → 1.076Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.076ISO.310HR12SB17BB%9.6K%22.0 - 6Sean KeysTarget
1.044 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to 1.044 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS 1.044Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.773 → 1.044Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.044ISO.319HR14SB1BB%14.2K%20.4 - 7Jesús BáezTarget
1.029 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .724 to 1.029 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS 1.029Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.724 → 1.029Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS1.029ISO.375HR22SB2BB%4.2K%15.3 - 8Emmanuel RodriguezTarget
0.993 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .852 up to .993 OPS.
OPS .993Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory79.852 → .993Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.993ISO.295HR11SB7BB%19.6K%26.8 - 9Justin GonzalesWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .804 to .988 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .988Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.804 → .988Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.988ISO.227HR2SB1BB%12.0K%22.0 - 10Denzer GuzmanTarget
0.974 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .974 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .974Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.749 → .974Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.974ISO.235HR12SB9BB%10.1K%17.9 - 11James Tibbs IIITarget
0.962 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .962 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .962Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.755 → .962Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.962ISO.249HR27SB8BB%16.9K%22.6 - 12Gavin ConticelloWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .804 to .956 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .956Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.804 → .956Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.956ISO.246HR7SB1BB%7.4K%17.4 - 13Josue De PaulaTarget
0.947 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .827 to .947 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .947Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality95EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.827 → .947Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.947ISO.244HR26SB29BB%13.2K%14.5 - 14Caleb BonemerTarget
0.944 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .858 to .944 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .944Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.858 → .944Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.944ISO.301HR17SB6BB%14.9K%24.9 - 15Christian MooreTarget
0.943 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .665 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .943Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.665 → .943Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.210HR11SB15BB%17.5K%22.5 - 16Pedro RamírezTarget
0.942 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .732 to .942 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .942Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.732 → .942Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.942ISO.235HR9SB19BB%10.7K%16.3 - 17Walker JenkinsTarget
0.939 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .913 to .939 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .939Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality93EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.913 → .939Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.939ISO.224HR12SB17BB%13.7K%15.6 - 18Wyatt SanfordWatch
0.936 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .720 to .936 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .936Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.720 → .936Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.936ISO.239HR14SB31BB%14.1K%30.6 - 19Welbyn FranciscaTarget
0.931 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .622 to .931 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .931Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.622 → .931Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.931ISO.276HR17SB11BB%11.0K%21.6 - 20Luke AdamsTarget
0.927 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .859 to .927 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .927Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.859 → .927Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.927ISO.250HR13SB7BB%14.3K%14.0 - 21Miguel HernándezWatch
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .852 to .927 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .927Breakout signal3+ yrs young for Low-APromoted to Low-APlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.852 → .927Arrival16/100up from RookieOPS.927ISO.188HR2SB5BB%19.1K%24.7 - 22Eric BitontiWatch
0.925 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .762 to .925 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .925Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.762 → .925Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.925ISO.260HR24SB22BB%16.3K%33.5 - 23Edwin ArroyoWatch
0.924 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .716 to .924 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .924Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.716 → .924Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.924ISO.238HR15SB13BB%8.5K%18.3 - 24Blaze JordanWatch
0.921 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .714 up to .921 OPS.
OPS .921Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory67.714 → .921Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.921ISO.235HR11SB2BB%7.5K%11.5 - 25Ralphy VelazquezWatch
0.919 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .792 to .919 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .919Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.792 → .919Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.919ISO.267HR21SB1BB%10.2K%20.5 - 26Emil MoralesTarget
0.916 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .881 to .916 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .916Breakout signal3+ yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality92EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.881 → .916Arrival53/100up from RookieOPS.916ISO.255HR19SB7BB%13.5K%24.7 - 27Enddy AzocarTarget
0.915 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .587 to .915 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .915Breakout signal3+ yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality87EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.587 → .915Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.915ISO.258HR15SB11BB%7.1K%22.8 - 28Seaver KingWatch
0.910 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .600 to .910 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .910Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.600 → .910Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.910ISO.228HR14SB9BB%8.5K%22.1 - 29Carlos VirahondaWatch
0.908 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .719 to .908 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .908Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.719 → .908Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.908ISO.211HR8SB3BB%11.6K%16.1 - 30Luis LaraWatch
0.902 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .902 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .902Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.712 → .902Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.902ISO.149HR9SB24BB%15.6K%13.9 - 31Charlie CondonWatch
0.892 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .807 to .892 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .892Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.807 → .892Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.892ISO.232HR22SB7BB%13.2K%24.6 - 32Lizandro EspinozaWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .611 to .891 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .891Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.611 → .891Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.891ISO.179HR2SB6BB%14.9K%19.1 - 33Theo GillenTarget
0.890 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .820 to .890 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .890Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.820 → .890Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.890ISO.214HR9SB14BB%15.4K%20.3 - 34Angel GenaoWatch
0.889 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .682 to .889 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .889Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.682 → .889Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.889ISO.185HR10SB9BB%12.3K%15.5 - 35Gage MillerTarget
0.887 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .637 to .887 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .887Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.637 → .887Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.887ISO.210HR6SB7BB%15.6K%17.5 - 36Tai PeeteWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .692 to .885 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .885Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality73StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.692 → .885Arrival53/100up from High-AOPS.885ISO.188HR3SB4BB%7.0K%22.1 - 37Héctor RodríguezWatch
0.880 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .838 to .880 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .880Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.838 → .880Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.880ISO.259HR27SB6BB%9.2K%20.4 - 38Zyhir HopeWatch
0.871 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .805 to .871 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .871Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.805 → .871Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.871ISO.225HR27SB23BB%11.2K%25.6 - 39Zach EhrhardWatch
0.867 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .867 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .867Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.773 → .867Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.867ISO.183HR19SB25BB%15.1K%20.2 - 40Joshua Kuroda-GrauerWatch
0.866 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .715 to .866 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .866Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.715 → .866Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.866ISO.109HR1SB4BB%7.4K%6.5 - 41Robert AriasWatch
0.859 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .791 to .859 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .859Breakout signal2.0 yrs young for Low-APromoted to Low-APlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.791 → .859Arrival34/100up from RookieOPS.859ISO.171HR5SB21BB%15.3K%14.2 - 42George Lombard Jr.Watch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .845Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.695 → .845Arrival96/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.172HR6SB10BB%17.2K%21.8 - 43Kaelen CulpepperWatch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .827 to .845 OPS.
OPS .845Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.827 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.207HR14SB17BB%11.4K%18.4 - 44Johanfran GarciaWatch
0.839 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .839 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .839Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.755 → .839Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.839ISO.208HR17SB3BB%5.7K%29.0 - 45
0.838 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .674 up to .838 OPS.
OPS .838Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory67.674 → .838Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.838ISO.219HR21SB18BB%8.1K%19.5 - 46Leo BernalWatch
0.831 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .726 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .831Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.726 → .831Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.831ISO.190HR16SB9BB%11.8K%19.9 - 47Cam CauleyWatch
0.828 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .828Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.773 → .828Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.185HR14SB35BB%12.6K%20.9 - 48Franklin AriasWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .709 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .828Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.709 → .828Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.171HR4SB1BB%8.8K%16.8 - 49Nathan FlewellingWatch
0.826 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .729 to .826 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .826Breakout signal3+ yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.729 → .826Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.826ISO.214HR21SB8BB%14.8K%27.0 - 50Paulino SantanaWatch
0.822 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .751 to .822 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .822Breakout signal2.0 yrs young for Low-APromoted to Low-APlayer quality73StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.751 → .822Arrival34/100up from RookieOPS.822ISO.171HR15SB28BB%14.2K%25.0 - 51Aron EstradaWatch
0.821 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .798 to .821 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .821Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.798 → .821Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.821ISO.212HR23SB7BB%5.5K%17.7 - 52Angel CepedaWatch
0.820 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .714 to .820 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .820Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.714 → .820Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.820ISO.183HR11SB12BB%14.9K%27.1 - 53Angel OrtizWatch
0.818 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .752 to .818 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .818Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.752 → .818Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.818ISO.206HR6SB4BB%10.7K%18.7 - 54Kahlil WatsonWatch
0.809 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .798 to .809 OPS.
OPS .809Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.798 → .809Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.809ISO.210HR16SB21BB%14.3K%27.3 - 55Arjun NimmalaWatch
0.804 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .694 to .804 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .804Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.694 → .804Arrival63/100up from High-AOPS.804ISO.173HR6SB5BB%13.0K%23.6 - 56Cristofer TorinWatch
0.785 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .766 to .785 OPS.
OPS .785Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.766 → .785Arrival63/100up from High-AOPS.785ISO.163HR15SB12BB%8.0K%11.4 - 57Jesús MadeWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
About the same as last season — .761 to .768 OPS.
OPS .768Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality75StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.761 → .768Arrival63/100up from Low-AOPS.768ISO.155HR13SB35BB%10.6K%14.8 - 58Bryant BetancourtWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .761 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .761Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.677 → .761Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.761ISO.173HR3SB2BB%7.0K%13.9 - 59Jaison ChourioWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .664 to .757 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .757Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.664 → .757Arrival53/100up from High-AOPS.757ISO.137HR7SB28BB%13.1K%21.9 - 60Cooper PrattWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .691 to .735 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
OPS .735Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.691 → .735Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.735ISO.145HR6SB17BB%13.0K%14.2 - 61Adrian BohorquezWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 14.9% to 18.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality77StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4114.9% → 18.9% K-BBArrival53/100up from Low-AERA1.00WHIP1.11K-BB%18.9K%29.7BB%10.8IP9.0 - 62Argenis CayamaTarget
24.3% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 18.7% to 24.3% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.0 yrs young for Low-APromoted to Low-APlayer quality86EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory8318.7% → 24.3% K-BBArrival41/100up from RookieERA4.20WHIP1.20K-BB%24.3K%31.2BB%6.9IP55.2 - 63Boston BatemanWatch
19.4% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.7% to 19.4% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality79StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory8216.7% → 19.4% K-BBArrival46/100up from Low-AERA3.46WHIP1.34K-BB%19.4K%32.1BB%12.7IP83.1 - 64Christian ZazuetaTarget
33.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 23.8% to 33.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality96EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9023.8% → 33.9% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.48WHIP1.02K-BB%33.9K%37.9BB%4.0IP44.0 - 65Eliazar DishmeyTarget
22.5% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.9% to 22.5% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality93EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9510.9% → 22.5% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.14WHIP1.05K-BB%22.5K%33.1BB%10.6IP66.0 - 66Joshua QuezadaWatch
promoted Rookie -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.5% to 25.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4116.5% → 25.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%25.0K%25.0BB%0.0IP1.1 - 67Juan ValeraWatch
36.1% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 21.5% up to 36.1% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality83StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory—21.5% → 36.1% K-BBArrival28/100ERA1.93WHIP0.86K-BB%36.1K%47.2BB%11.1IP9.1 - 68Julio GonzalezTarget
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 13.7% to 33.3% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.0 yrs young for Low-APromoted to Low-APlayer quality87EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4113.7% → 33.3% K-BBArrival16/100up from RookieERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%33.3K%33.3BB%0.0IP0.2 - 69Neiker PalaciosTarget
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 2.0% to 26.9% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.0 yrs young for Low-APromoted to Low-APlayer quality86EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory412.0% → 26.9% K-BBArrival16/100up from RookieERA0.00WHIP1.00K-BB%26.9K%34.6BB%7.7IP6.0 - 70Noah SchultzWatch
18.3% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 8.8% to 18.3% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory908.8% → 18.3% K-BBArrival88/100DoorstepERA1.99WHIP0.89K-BB%18.3K%26.1BB%7.8IP40.2 - 71Ramon MarquezTarget
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 22.7% to 33.1% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.3 yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality89EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4122.7% → 33.1% K-BBArrival28/100up from RookieERA2.48WHIP0.75K-BB%33.1K%40.0BB%6.9IP40.0 - 72Reinold NavarroTarget
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 25.8% to 29.4% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for High-APromoted to High-APlayer quality90EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4125.8% → 29.4% K-BBArrival28/100up from RookieERA4.32WHIP1.08K-BB%29.4K%44.1BB%14.7IP8.1 - 73Robby SnellingTarget
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 20.9% to 26.4% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality92EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4120.9% → 26.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.86WHIP0.90K-BB%26.4K%40.0BB%13.6IP29.0 - 74Ryan SloanTarget
27.6% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 21.8% to 27.6% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality95EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9021.8% → 27.6% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.50WHIP1.08K-BB%27.6K%31.3BB%3.7IP92.2 - 75Steven EchavarriaWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.2% to 22.4% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality71StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4110.2% → 22.4% K-BBArrival53/100up from High-AERA7.62WHIP1.77K-BB%22.4K%29.3BB%6.9IP13.0
Who leads each ranking
The top three on each axis, over every player we track — not the cut above. Three of these rank the ballplayer; the fourth ranks the whole purchase, and they routinely disagree.
Hottest bats
Hitters whose numbers are climbing fastest.
Arms closest to the majors
Pitchers nearest a call-up. Ranked by how close they are, not by form — a call-up is the moment that reprices a card.
Knocking on the door
Closest to playing in the majors — cards often peak around the call-up.
Who had a big game
Last night's standout lines, for the players we track. Real box scores — nothing here is written by us.
Trey PaigeMemphis Redbirds · Triple-A 3-for-3
Anthony SeiglerWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 2-for-2
Jonathon LongJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A 4-for-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI
Jacob BerryOmaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A 3-for-4
Kristian CampbellWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB
Cooper IngleColumbus Clippers · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Showing 6 of 151 big games from Saturday. One good night is the earliest signal there is, and the noisiest — it is a reason to look, not a reason to buy.