Players (7,958)
Every batter and pitcher we track, from Triple-A down to the complex leagues. Rank them, cut them down, and turn any row over for its card and its market.
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Facts about his card and what it costs — never about him. A player can be excellent and have nothing listed.
Showing players who meet all 3 of these:
Breakout signal — Measurably better across two full seasons, while young for the level or after a promotion. A hot month is not a breakout, and neither is the momentum score on its own.
Catalyst — Something happened to him that we can evidence — a promotion, a call-up, an injury, a trade. Every sourced event we hold today is a level change read from the two official stat lines; dated events join as they are logged, and the row prints the event and how we know it.
Strong and young — Scores 70 or better all round, is roughly two years or more young for his level, and is not measurably fading. Three bars that already sit on the row, asked for at once — it is not a fourth score and it is not a verdict on his card.
Only 57 of 72 players have what this ordering needs; the rest are listed after them.
- 1Josue De PaulaTarget
0.943 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .827 to .943 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 84Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality94EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.827 → .943Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.239HR26SB30BB%13.5K%14.5 - 2Ryan SloanTarget
27.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 21.8% to 27.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 84Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality95EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9021.8% → 27.9% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.70WHIP1.09K-BB%27.9K%31.4BB%3.5IP97.1 - 3Walker JenkinsTarget
0.939 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .913 to .939 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 81Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality93EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.913 → .939Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.939ISO.224HR12SB17BB%13.7K%15.6 - 4George Lombard Jr.Watch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 80Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.695 → .845Arrival96/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.172HR6SB10BB%17.2K%21.8 - 5Theo GillenTarget
0.914 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .820 to .914 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 78Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality91EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.820 → .914Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.914ISO.218HR9SB16BB%14.3K%19.8 - 6Wyatt SanfordTarget
0.974 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .720 to .974 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 74Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.720 → .974Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.974ISO.259HR17SB33BB%14.1K%29.3 - 7Jesús MadeWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
About the same as last season — .761 to .766 OPS.
Value 73Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.761 → .766Arrival63/100up from Low-AOPS.766ISO.153HR13SB36BB%10.3K%14.3 - 8Luis LaraWatch
0.902 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .902 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 73Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.712 → .902Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.902ISO.149HR9SB24BB%15.6K%13.9 - 9Ralphy VelazquezWatch
0.903 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .792 to .903 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 71Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.792 → .903Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.903ISO.263HR22SB1BB%10.8K%21.0 - 10Denzer GuzmanTarget
0.974 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .974 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.749 → .974Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.974ISO.235HR12SB9BB%10.1K%17.9 - 11James Tibbs IIITarget
0.952 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .952 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 55Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.755 → .952Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.952ISO.248HR28SB9BB%16.7K%23.1 - 12Kaelen CulpepperWatch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .827 to .845 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.827 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.207HR14SB17BB%11.4K%18.4 - 13Gage MillerWatch
0.886 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .637 to .886 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.637 → .886Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.886ISO.218HR7SB7BB%15.3K%18.2 - 14Charlie CondonWatch
0.912 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .807 to .912 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.807 → .912Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.912ISO.246HR25SB8BB%13.0K%25.0 - 15Eduardo QuinteroWatch
0.940 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .959 to .940 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.959 → .940Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.940ISO.186HR12SB44BB%17.6K%20.4 - 16Angel CepedaWatch
0.831 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .714 to .831 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.714 → .831Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.831ISO.175HR11SB12BB%14.4K%27.1 - 17Brandon ComptonTarget
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .713 to 1.227 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.713 → 1.227Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.227ISO.318HR2SB5BB%15.4K%26.9 - 18Arjun NimmalaWatch
0.805 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .694 to .805 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.694 → .805Arrival63/100up from High-AOPS.805ISO.189HR8SB5BB%14.2K%23.4 - 19Juan TomasTarget
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .653 to 1.250 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A3+ yrs young for Low-APlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.653 → 1.250Arrival16/100up from RookieOPS1.250ISO.333HR1SB1BB%14.3K%28.6 - 20Kahlil WatsonWatch
0.832 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .798 to .832 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.798 → .832Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.832ISO.227HR19SB22BB%13.7K%27.4 - 21Christian MooreTarget
0.943 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .665 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.665 → .943Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.210HR11SB15BB%17.5K%22.5 - 22Xavier IsaacWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .812 to 1.152 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.812 → 1.152Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.152ISO.354HR3SB2BB%20.0K%27.5 - 23Seaver KingWatch
0.882 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .600 to .882 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.600 → .882Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.882ISO.216HR14SB9BB%8.1K%22.3 - 24Robert AriasWatch
0.859 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .791 to .859 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.791 → .859Arrival34/100up from RookieOPS.859ISO.171HR5SB21BB%15.3K%14.2 - 25Johanfran GarciaWatch
0.838 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .838 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.755 → .838Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.838ISO.208HR18SB3BB%6.6K%28.7 - 26Pedro RamírezTarget
0.942 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .732 to .942 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.732 → .942Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.942ISO.235HR9SB19BB%10.7K%16.3 - 27Steven EchavarriaWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.2% to 23.4% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality74StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4110.2% → 23.4% K-BBArrival53/100up from High-AERA5.30WHIP1.55K-BB%23.4K%29.6BB%6.2IP18.2 - 28Henry BolteTarget
1.076 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .802 to 1.076 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.802 → 1.076Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.076ISO.310HR12SB17BB%9.6K%22.0 - 29Eric BitontiWatch
0.916 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .762 to .916 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.762 → .916Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.916ISO.255HR25SB24BB%16.6K%32.9 - 30Sean KeysTarget
1.044 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to 1.044 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.773 → 1.044Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.044ISO.319HR14SB1BB%14.2K%20.4 - 31Héctor RodríguezWatch
0.880 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .838 to .880 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.838 → .880Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.880ISO.259HR27SB6BB%9.2K%20.4 - 32Braylon PayneWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .736 to .795 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.736 → .795Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.795ISO.205HR2SB2BB%7.1K%28.2 - 33Boston BatemanWatch
18.6% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.7% to 18.6% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality76StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory8216.7% → 18.6% K-BBArrival46/100up from Low-AERA3.65WHIP1.38K-BB%18.6K%31.6BB%13.0IP86.1 - 34Tai PeeteWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .692 to .885 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality73StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.692 → .885Arrival53/100up from High-AOPS.885ISO.188HR3SB4BB%7.0K%22.1 - 35Franklin AriasWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .709 to .880 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.709 → .880Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.880ISO.172HR4SB1BB%7.7K%14.8 - 36Enddy AzocarTarget
0.890 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .587 to .890 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.587 → .890Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.890ISO.246HR15SB13BB%6.9K%22.3 - 37Noah SchultzWatch
18.5% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 8.8% to 18.5% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality81StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory908.8% → 18.5% K-BBArrival88/100DoorstepERA2.01WHIP0.87K-BB%18.5K%26.3BB%7.8IP44.2 - 38Justin GonzalesWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
About the same as last season — .804 to .807 OPS.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality73StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.804 → .807Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.807ISO.176HR2SB1BB%13.2K%26.5 - 39Johnny KingWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
Down from 20.2% to 16.9% K-BB, but that came with a move up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality79StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4120.2% → 16.9% K-BBArrival53/100up from Low-AERA1.50WHIP1.00K-BB%16.9K%31.0BB%14.1IP18.0 - 40Robby SnellingTarget
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 20.9% to 26.4% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality92EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4120.9% → 26.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.86WHIP0.90K-BB%26.4K%40.0BB%13.6IP29.0 - 41Joshua Kuroda-GrauerWatch
0.866 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .715 to .866 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.715 → .866Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.866ISO.109HR1SB4BB%7.4K%6.5 - 42Cooper PrattWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .691 to .735 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.691 → .735Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.735ISO.145HR6SB17BB%13.0K%14.2 - 43Leo BernalWatch
0.831 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .726 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 54Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.726 → .831Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.831ISO.190HR16SB9BB%11.8K%19.9 - 44Luke AdamsTarget
0.927 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .859 to .927 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 45Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.859 → .927Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.927ISO.250HR13SB7BB%14.3K%14.0 - 45Zyhir HopeWatch
0.879 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .805 to .879 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 45Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.805 → .879Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.879ISO.225HR28SB24BB%11.1K%25.4 - 46Emil MoralesTarget
0.914 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .881 to .914 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality91EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.881 → .914Arrival53/100up from RookieOPS.914ISO.253HR20SB7BB%13.0K%25.3 - 47Jesús BáezTarget
1.027 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .724 to 1.027 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality88EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.724 → 1.027Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS1.027ISO.358HR23SB3BB%4.3K%16.2 - 48Angel GenaoWatch
0.889 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .682 to .889 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.682 → .889Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.889ISO.185HR10SB9BB%12.3K%15.5 - 49Cristofer TorinWatch
0.790 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .766 to .790 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.766 → .790Arrival63/100up from High-AOPS.790ISO.161HR15SB12BB%8.3K%11.3 - 50Welbyn FranciscaWatch
0.894 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .622 to .894 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.622 → .894Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.894ISO.261HR17SB11BB%11.1K%22.1 - 51José PirelaWatch
promoted Low-A -> High-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .618 to .986 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.618 → .986Arrival28/100up from Low-AOPS.986ISO.282HR5SB0BB%12.2K%25.5 - 52Nathan FlewellingWatch
0.816 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .729 to .816 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.729 → .816Arrival38/100up from Low-AOPS.816ISO.209HR21SB8BB%14.6K%27.2 - 53Carlos VirahondaWatch
0.861 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .719 to .861 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.719 → .861Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.861ISO.196HR8SB3BB%10.8K%16.9 - 54Devin TaylorWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .869 to 1.175 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.869 → 1.175Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.175ISO.269HR2SB0BB%10.3K%24.1 - 55Paulino SantanaWatch
0.821 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .751 to .821 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality73StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.751 → .821Arrival34/100up from RookieOPS.821ISO.169HR15SB29BB%14.1K%24.9 - 56Javier MogollonWatch
0.842 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .734 to .842 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.734 → .842Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.842ISO.189HR7SB13BB%14.7K%28.2 - 57Jaison ChourioWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .664 to .754 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Value 44Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.664 → .754Arrival53/100up from High-AOPS.754ISO.133HR7SB29BB%13.6K%21.2 - 58Angel OrtizWatch
0.818 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .752 to .818 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.752 → .818Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.818ISO.206HR6SB4BB%10.7K%18.7 - 59Argenis CayamaWatch
23.0% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 18.7% to 23.0% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality81StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory8318.7% → 23.0% K-BBArrival41/100up from RookieERA4.87WHIP1.29K-BB%23.0K%30.0BB%7.0IP57.1 - 60Cam CauleyWatch
0.828 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.773 → .828Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.185HR14SB35BB%12.6K%20.9 - 61Christian ZazuetaTarget
33.7% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 23.8% to 33.7% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality97EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9023.8% → 33.7% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.42WHIP0.98K-BB%33.7K%37.2BB%3.5IP50.0 - 62Dylan GregoWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to 1.217 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.695 → 1.217Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.217ISO.167HR0SB0BB%10.0K%15.0 - 63Edwin ArroyoWatch
0.924 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .716 to .924 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.716 → .924Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.924ISO.238HR15SB13BB%8.5K%18.3 - 64Eliazar DishmeyTarget
22.2% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.9% to 22.2% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality92EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9510.9% → 22.2% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.30WHIP1.06K-BB%22.2K%32.4BB%10.2IP71.0 - 65Joshua QuezadaWatch
promoted Rookie -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.5% to 25.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4116.5% → 25.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%25.0K%25.0BB%0.0IP1.1 - 66Julio GonzalezTarget
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 13.7% to 33.3% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality87EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4113.7% → 33.3% K-BBArrival16/100up from RookieERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%33.3K%33.3BB%0.0IP0.2 - 67Levi SterlingWatch
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 6.0% to 21.8% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality81StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory416.0% → 21.8% K-BBArrival28/100up from RookieERA6.39WHIP1.11K-BB%21.8K%32.7BB%10.9IP12.2 - 68Miguel HernándezWatch
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .852 to .960 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A3+ yrs young for Low-APlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.852 → .960Arrival16/100up from RookieOPS.960ISO.190HR2SB7BB%19.4K%26.2 - 69Neiker PalaciosTarget
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 2.0% to 26.9% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality86EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory412.0% → 26.9% K-BBArrival16/100up from RookieERA0.00WHIP1.00K-BB%26.9K%34.6BB%7.7IP6.0 - 70Ramiro DominguezWatch
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .780 to 1.045 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.780 → 1.045Arrival28/100up from RookieOPS1.045ISO.400HR3SB1BB%10.8K%21.6 - 71Ramon MarquezTarget
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 22.7% to 33.1% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality89EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4122.7% → 33.1% K-BBArrival28/100up from RookieERA2.48WHIP0.75K-BB%33.1K%40.0BB%6.9IP40.0 - 72Zach EhrhardWatch
0.855 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .855 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.773 → .855Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.855ISO.179HR19SB25BB%15.1K%20.8
Who leads each ranking
The top three on each axis, over every player we track — not the cut above. Three of these rank the ballplayer; the fourth ranks the whole purchase, and they routinely disagree.
Hottest bats
Hitters whose numbers are climbing fastest.
Arms closest to the majors
Pitchers nearest a call-up. Ranked by how close they are, not by form — a call-up is the moment that reprices a card.
Knocking on the door
Closest to playing in the majors — cards often peak around the call-up.
Who had a big game
Last night's standout lines, for the players we track. Real box scores — nothing here is written by us.
Charlie CondonAlbuquerque Isotopes · Triple-A 4-for-5, 2 HR, 9 RBI
Kristian CampbellWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 3-for-4, 2 RBI
Mitch JebbIndianapolis Indians · Triple-A 3-for-4
Ismael MunguiaBuffalo Bisons · Triple-A 3-for-4, 3 RBI
Brock WilkenNashville Sounds · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Zach ColeSugar Land Space Cowboys · Triple-A 2-for-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Showing 6 of 180 big games from Sunday. One good night is the earliest signal there is, and the noisiest — it is a reason to look, not a reason to buy.