Players (7,949)
Every batter and pitcher we track, from Triple-A down to the complex leagues. Rank them, cut them down, and turn any row over for its card and its market.
Showing players who meet all 3 of these:
Breakout signal — Measurably better across two full seasons, while young for the level or after a promotion. A hot month is not a breakout, and neither is the momentum score on its own.
Knocking on the door — Close enough to a big-league call-up to matter — readiness 70 or more. A call-up is usually when a card jumps.
Young for their level — Roughly two years or more younger than the typical player at that level. Being young for the competition is the single best sign we have.
- 1Luis LaraWatch
0.902 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .902 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.712 → .902Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.902ISO.149HR9SB24BB%15.6K%13.9 - 2Ralphy VelazquezWatch
0.919 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .792 to .919 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.792 → .919Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.919ISO.267HR21SB1BB%10.2K%20.5 - 3Walker JenkinsTarget
0.939 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .913 to .939 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality93EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.913 → .939Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.939ISO.224HR12SB17BB%13.7K%15.6 - 4George Lombard Jr.Watch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.695 → .845Arrival96/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.172HR6SB10BB%17.2K%21.8 - 5Blaze JordanWatch
0.921 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .714 up to .921 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory67.714 → .921Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.921ISO.235HR11SB2BB%7.5K%11.5 - 6Christian MooreTarget
0.943 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .665 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.665 → .943Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.210HR11SB15BB%17.5K%22.5 - 7Denzer GuzmanTarget
0.974 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .974 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.749 → .974Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.974ISO.235HR12SB9BB%10.1K%17.9 - 8Edwin ArroyoWatch
0.924 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .716 to .924 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.716 → .924Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.924ISO.238HR15SB13BB%8.5K%18.3 - 9Emmanuel RodriguezTarget
0.993 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .852 up to .993 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory79.852 → .993Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.993ISO.295HR11SB7BB%19.6K%26.8 - 10Henry BolteTarget
1.076 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .802 to 1.076 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.802 → 1.076Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.076ISO.310HR12SB17BB%9.6K%22.0 - 11James Tibbs IIITarget
0.962 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .962 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.755 → .962Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.962ISO.249HR27SB8BB%16.9K%22.6 - 12Luke AdamsTarget
0.927 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .859 to .927 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.859 → .927Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.927ISO.250HR13SB7BB%14.3K%14.0 - 13Pedro RamírezTarget
0.942 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .732 to .942 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.732 → .942Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.942ISO.235HR9SB19BB%10.7K%16.3 - 14Sean KeysTarget
1.044 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to 1.044 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.773 → 1.044Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.044ISO.319HR14SB1BB%14.2K%20.4 - 15Seaver KingWatch
0.910 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .600 to .910 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.600 → .910Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.910ISO.228HR14SB9BB%8.5K%22.1 - 16Angel GenaoWatch
0.889 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .682 to .889 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.682 → .889Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.889ISO.185HR10SB9BB%12.3K%15.5 - 17Cam CauleyWatch
0.828 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.773 → .828Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.185HR14SB35BB%12.6K%20.9 - 18Charlie CondonWatch
0.892 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .807 to .892 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.807 → .892Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.892ISO.232HR22SB7BB%13.2K%24.6 - 19
0.838 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .674 up to .838 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory67.674 → .838Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.838ISO.219HR21SB18BB%8.1K%19.5 - 20Gage MillerTarget
0.887 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .637 to .887 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.637 → .887Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.887ISO.210HR6SB7BB%15.6K%17.5 - 21Héctor RodríguezWatch
0.880 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .838 to .880 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.838 → .880Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.880ISO.259HR27SB6BB%9.2K%20.4 - 22Joshua Kuroda-GrauerWatch
0.866 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .715 to .866 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.715 → .866Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.866ISO.109HR1SB4BB%7.4K%6.5 - 23Kaelen CulpepperWatch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .827 to .845 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.827 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.207HR14SB17BB%11.4K%18.4 - 24Leo BernalWatch
0.831 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .726 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.726 → .831Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.831ISO.190HR16SB9BB%11.8K%19.9 - 25Noah SchultzWatch
18.3% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 8.8% to 18.3% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality80StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory908.8% → 18.3% K-BBArrival88/100DoorstepERA1.99WHIP0.89K-BB%18.3K%26.1BB%7.8IP40.2 - 26Zach EhrhardWatch
0.867 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .867 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.773 → .867Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.867ISO.183HR19SB25BB%15.1K%20.2 - 27Alejandro OsunaWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .728 to .778 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality68SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.728 → .778Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.778ISO.108HR2SB8BB%13.6K%9.6 - 28Angel OrtizWatch
0.818 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .752 to .818 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.752 → .818Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.818ISO.206HR6SB4BB%10.7K%18.7 - 29Eduardo RiveraWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 5.2% to 14.2% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality68SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory775.2% → 14.2% K-BBArrival80/100DoorstepERA2.96WHIP1.31K-BB%14.2K%27.8BB%13.6IP45.2 - 30James TriantosWatch
0.812 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .684 up to .812 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality70SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.684 → .812Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.812ISO.143HR9SB26BB%6.7K%11.1 - 31Jose FernandezWatch
0.799 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .775 to .799 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality70SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.775 → .799Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.799ISO.196HR7SB11BB%7.7K%24.9 - 32Kahlil WatsonWatch
0.809 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .798 to .809 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.798 → .809Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.809ISO.210HR16SB21BB%14.3K%27.3 - 33Yaqui RiveraWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — 14.0% to 13.6% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality59SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4114.0% → 13.6% K-BBArrival80/100DoorstepERA3.40WHIP1.45K-BB%13.6K%27.2BB%13.6IP47.2 - 34Caleb BonemerTarget
0.944 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .858 to .944 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.858 → .944Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.944ISO.301HR17SB6BB%14.9K%24.9 - 35Christian ZazuetaTarget
33.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 23.8% to 33.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality96EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9023.8% → 33.9% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.48WHIP1.02K-BB%33.9K%37.9BB%4.0IP44.0 - 36Eliazar DishmeyTarget
22.5% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.9% to 22.5% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality93EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9510.9% → 22.5% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.14WHIP1.05K-BB%22.5K%33.1BB%10.6IP66.0 - 37Fernando PegueroWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .582 to .765 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality66SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.582 → .765Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.765ISO.149HR2SB4BB%10.5K%27.6 - 38Franklin AriasWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .709 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.709 → .828Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.171HR4SB1BB%8.8K%16.8 - 39Jesús BáezTarget
1.029 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .724 to 1.029 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.724 → 1.029Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS1.029ISO.375HR22SB2BB%4.2K%15.3 - 40Josue De PaulaTarget
0.947 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .827 to .947 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality95EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.827 → .947Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.947ISO.244HR26SB29BB%13.2K%14.5 - 41Nelson RadaWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .736 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality64SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.712 → .736Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.736ISO.085HR3SB35BB%12.5K%18.5 - 42Ryan SloanTarget
27.6% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 21.8% to 27.6% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality95EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9021.8% → 27.6% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.50WHIP1.08K-BB%27.6K%31.3BB%3.7IP92.2 - 43Aron EstradaWatch
0.821 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .798 to .821 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.798 → .821Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.821ISO.212HR23SB7BB%5.5K%17.7 - 44Johanfran GarciaWatch
0.839 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .839 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.755 → .839Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.839ISO.208HR17SB3BB%5.7K%29.0 - 45Theo GillenTarget
0.890 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .820 to .890 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.820 → .890Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.890ISO.214HR9SB14BB%15.4K%20.3 - 46Zyhir HopeWatch
0.871 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .805 to .871 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.8 yrs young for AAPromoted to AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.805 → .871Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.871ISO.225HR27SB23BB%11.2K%25.6 - 47Andrew PainterWatch
16.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 13.7% up to 16.9% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality55SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory—13.7% → 16.9% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA4.56WHIP1.44K-BB%16.9K%24.8BB%7.9IP23.2 - 48Andry LaraPass
K-BB% 2.2 -> 10.1
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 2.2% up to 10.1% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality49FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory722.2% → 10.1% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA5.26WHIP1.43K-BB%10.1K%18.8BB%8.7IP104.1 - 49Bryant BetancourtWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .761 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.677 → .761Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.761ISO.173HR3SB2BB%7.0K%13.9 - 50Chase PettyPass
10.8% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 8.4% up to 10.8% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality40FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory—8.4% → 10.8% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA6.18WHIP1.59K-BB%10.8K%21.2BB%10.4IP51.0 - 51Cooper PrattWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .691 to .735 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.691 → .735Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.735ISO.145HR6SB17BB%13.0K%14.2 - 52Devin TaylorWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .869 to 1.100 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality64SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.869 → 1.100Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.100ISO.000HR0SB0BB%20.0K%20.0 - 53Diego VelasquezWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .810 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality69SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.677 → .810Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.810ISO.135HR0SB1BB%13.5K%21.3 - 54Dylan GregoWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to 1.217 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.695 → 1.217Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.217ISO.167HR0SB0BB%10.0K%15.0 - 55Émilien PitreWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .819 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality68SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.749 → .819Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.819ISO.121HR0SB1BB%10.0K%10.0 - 56Gavin ConticelloWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .804 to .956 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.804 → .956Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.956ISO.246HR7SB1BB%7.4K%17.4 - 57Jesus CastilloPass
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .613 to .686 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality51FringeProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.613 → .686Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.686ISO.015HR0SB2BB%10.4K%18.2 - 58Jose AstudilloWatch
promoted Rookie -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .972 to 1.167 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality67SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.972 → 1.167Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.167ISO.000HR0SB0BB%33.3K%0.0 - 59Joshua QuezadaWatch
promoted Rookie -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.5% to 25.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4116.5% → 25.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%25.0K%25.0BB%0.0IP1.1 - 60Kendry RojasWatch
17.4% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 5.3% up to 17.4% K-BB.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality60SolidStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory—5.3% → 17.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA3.18WHIP1.21K-BB%17.4K%24.6BB%7.2IP34.0 - 61Lizandro EspinozaWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .611 to .891 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.611 → .891Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.891ISO.179HR2SB6BB%14.9K%19.1 - 62Logan McGuirePass
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Down from 22.9% to 0.0% K-BB, but that came with a move up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality43FringeStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4122.9% → 0.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%0.0K%0.0BB%0.0IP1.0 - 63Nick MorabitoWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
About the same as last season — .733 to .743 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality62SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.733 → .743Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.743ISO.134HR13SB42BB%11.2K%20.9 - 64Noah MillerWatch
0.725 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season — .613 up to .725 OPS.
Breakout signal2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality59SolidProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory—.613 → .725Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.725ISO.145HR10SB4BB%9.3K%17.4 - 65Robby SnellingTarget
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 20.9% to 26.4% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality92EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4120.9% → 26.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.86WHIP0.90K-BB%26.4K%40.0BB%13.6IP29.0 - 66Xavier IsaacWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .812 to 1.167 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signal3+ yrs young for AAAPromoted to AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.812 → 1.167Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.167ISO.334HR1SB1BB%25.0K%20.0
Who leads each ranking
The top three on each axis, over every player we track — not the cut above. Three of these rank the ballplayer; the fourth ranks the whole purchase, and they routinely disagree.
Hottest bats
Hitters whose numbers are climbing fastest.
Arms closest to the majors
Pitchers nearest a call-up. Ranked by how close they are, not by form — a call-up is the moment that reprices a card.
Knocking on the door
Closest to playing in the majors — cards often peak around the call-up.
Who had a big game
Last night's standout lines, for the players we track. Real box scores — nothing here is written by us.
Trey PaigeMemphis Redbirds · Triple-A 3-for-3
Anthony SeiglerWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 2-for-2
Jonathon LongJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A 4-for-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI
Jacob BerryOmaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A 3-for-4
Kristian CampbellWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB
Cooper IngleColumbus Clippers · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Showing 6 of 151 big games from Saturday. One good night is the earliest signal there is, and the noisiest — it is a reason to look, not a reason to buy.