Players (7,949)
Every batter and pitcher we track, from Triple-A down to the complex leagues. Rank them, cut them down, and turn any row over for its card and its market.
Showing players who meet all 4 of these:
Breakout signal — Measurably better across two full seasons, while young for the level or after a promotion. A hot month is not a breakout, and neither is the momentum score on its own.
Young for their level — Roughly two years or more younger than the typical player at that level. Being young for the competition is the single best sign we have.
Catalyst — Something happened to him that we can evidence — a promotion, a call-up, an injury, a trade. Every sourced event we hold today is a level change read from the two official stat lines; dated events join as they are logged, and the row prints the event and how we know it.
Strong and young — Scores 70 or better all round, is roughly two years or more young for his level, and is not measurably fading. Three bars that already sit on the row, asked for at once — it is not a fourth score and it is not a verdict on his card.
- 1Christian ZazuetaTarget
33.9% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 23.8% to 33.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality96EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9023.8% → 33.9% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.48WHIP1.02K-BB%33.9K%37.9BB%4.0IP44.0 - 2Ryan SloanTarget
27.6% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 21.8% to 27.6% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality95EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9021.8% → 27.6% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.50WHIP1.08K-BB%27.6K%31.3BB%3.7IP92.2 - 3Josue De PaulaTarget
0.947 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .827 to .947 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality95EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.827 → .947Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.947ISO.244HR26SB29BB%13.2K%14.5 - 4Walker JenkinsTarget
0.939 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .913 to .939 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality93EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.913 → .939Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.939ISO.224HR12SB17BB%13.7K%15.6 - 5Eliazar DishmeyTarget
22.5% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.9% to 22.5% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality93EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory9510.9% → 22.5% K-BBArrival78/100DoorstepERA3.14WHIP1.05K-BB%22.5K%33.1BB%10.6IP66.0 - 6Robby SnellingTarget
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 20.9% to 26.4% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality92EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4120.9% → 26.4% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA1.86WHIP0.90K-BB%26.4K%40.0BB%13.6IP29.0 - 7Emil MoralesTarget
0.916 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .881 to .916 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality92EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.881 → .916Arrival53/100up from RookieOPS.916ISO.255HR19SB7BB%13.5K%24.7 - 8Denzer GuzmanTarget
0.974 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .974 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.749 → .974Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.974ISO.235HR12SB9BB%10.1K%17.9 - 9Luke AdamsTarget
0.927 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .859 to .927 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.859 → .927Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.927ISO.250HR13SB7BB%14.3K%14.0 - 10Pedro RamírezTarget
0.942 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .732 to .942 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality90EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.732 → .942Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.942ISO.235HR9SB19BB%10.7K%16.3 - 11Reinold NavarroTarget
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 25.8% to 29.4% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality90EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4125.8% → 29.4% K-BBArrival28/100up from RookieERA4.32WHIP1.08K-BB%29.4K%44.1BB%14.7IP8.1 - 12Jesús BáezTarget
1.029 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .724 to 1.029 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.724 → 1.029Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS1.029ISO.375HR22SB2BB%4.2K%15.3 - 13Caleb BonemerTarget
0.944 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .858 to .944 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.858 → .944Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.944ISO.301HR17SB6BB%14.9K%24.9 - 14James Tibbs IIITarget
0.962 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .962 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.755 → .962Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.962ISO.249HR27SB8BB%16.9K%22.6 - 15Henry BolteTarget
1.076 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .802 to 1.076 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.802 → 1.076Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.076ISO.310HR12SB17BB%9.6K%22.0 - 16Ramon MarquezTarget
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 22.7% to 33.1% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality89EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4122.7% → 33.1% K-BBArrival28/100up from RookieERA2.48WHIP0.75K-BB%33.1K%40.0BB%6.9IP40.0 - 17Theo GillenTarget
0.890 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .820 to .890 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality89EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.820 → .890Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.890ISO.214HR9SB14BB%15.4K%20.3 - 18Julio GonzalezTarget
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 13.7% to 33.3% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality87EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4113.7% → 33.3% K-BBArrival16/100up from RookieERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%33.3K%33.3BB%0.0IP0.2 - 19Enddy AzocarTarget
0.915 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .587 to .915 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality87EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.587 → .915Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.915ISO.258HR15SB11BB%7.1K%22.8 - 20Ramiro DominguezTarget
promoted Rookie -> High-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .780 to 1.517 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality87EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.780 → 1.517Arrival28/100up from RookieOPS1.517ISO.734HR3SB0BB%15.0K%20.0 - 21Neiker PalaciosTarget
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 2.0% to 26.9% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality86EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory412.0% → 26.9% K-BBArrival16/100up from RookieERA0.00WHIP1.00K-BB%26.9K%34.6BB%7.7IP6.0 - 22Christian MooreTarget
0.943 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .665 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.665 → .943Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.943ISO.210HR11SB15BB%17.5K%22.5 - 23Argenis CayamaTarget
24.3% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 18.7% to 24.3% K-BB after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality86EliteStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory8318.7% → 24.3% K-BBArrival41/100up from RookieERA4.20WHIP1.20K-BB%24.3K%31.2BB%6.9IP55.2 - 24Sean KeysTarget
1.044 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to 1.044 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality86EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.773 → 1.044Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS1.044ISO.319HR14SB1BB%14.2K%20.4 - 25Welbyn FranciscaTarget
0.931 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .622 to .931 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.622 → .931Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.931ISO.276HR17SB11BB%11.0K%21.6 - 26Gage MillerTarget
0.887 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .637 to .887 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality85EliteProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.637 → .887Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.887ISO.210HR6SB7BB%15.6K%17.5 - 27Gavin ConticelloWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .804 to .956 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory76.804 → .956Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.956ISO.246HR7SB1BB%7.4K%17.4 - 28Edwin ArroyoWatch
0.924 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .716 to .924 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality85StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.716 → .924Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.924ISO.238HR15SB13BB%8.5K%18.3 - 29Héctor RodríguezWatch
0.880 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .838 to .880 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.838 → .880Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.880ISO.259HR27SB6BB%9.2K%20.4 - 30Angel GenaoWatch
0.889 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .682 to .889 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.682 → .889Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.889ISO.185HR10SB9BB%12.3K%15.5 - 31Zyhir HopeWatch
0.871 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .805 to .871 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.805 → .871Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.871ISO.225HR27SB23BB%11.2K%25.6 - 32Joshua QuezadaWatch
promoted Rookie -> Triple-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.5% to 25.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4116.5% → 25.0% K-BBArrival70/100DoorstepERA0.00WHIP0.00K-BB%25.0K%25.0BB%0.0IP1.1 - 33Justin GonzalesWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .804 to .988 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.804 → .988Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.988ISO.227HR2SB1BB%12.0K%22.0 - 34Xavier IsaacWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .812 to 1.167 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.812 → 1.167Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.167ISO.334HR1SB1BB%25.0K%20.0 - 35Seaver KingWatch
0.910 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .600 to .910 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality84StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.600 → .910Arrival95/100DoorstepOPS.910ISO.228HR14SB9BB%8.5K%22.1 - 36Ralphy VelazquezWatch
0.919 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .792 to .919 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.792 → .919Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.919ISO.267HR21SB1BB%10.2K%20.5 - 37Wyatt SanfordWatch
0.936 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .720 to .936 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.720 → .936Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.936ISO.239HR14SB31BB%14.1K%30.6 - 38José PirelaWatch
promoted Low-A -> High-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .618 to 1.091 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.618 → 1.091Arrival28/100up from Low-AOPS1.091ISO.339HR5SB0BB%14.3K%24.7 - 39Luis LaraWatch
0.902 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .712 to .902 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality83StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.712 → .902Arrival100/100DoorstepOPS.902ISO.149HR9SB24BB%15.6K%13.9 - 40George Lombard Jr.Watch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to .845 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.695 → .845Arrival96/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.172HR6SB10BB%17.2K%21.8 - 41Carlos VirahondaWatch
0.908 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .719 to .908 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality82StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.719 → .908Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.908ISO.211HR8SB3BB%11.6K%16.1 - 42Eric BitontiWatch
0.925 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .762 to .925 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.762 → .925Arrival53/100up from Low-AOPS.925ISO.260HR24SB22BB%16.3K%33.5 - 43Angel OrtizWatch
0.818 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .752 to .818 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.752 → .818Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.818ISO.206HR6SB4BB%10.7K%18.7 - 44Zach EhrhardWatch
0.867 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .867 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality81StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.773 → .867Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.867ISO.183HR19SB25BB%15.1K%20.2 - 45Kaelen CulpepperWatch
0.845 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .827 to .845 OPS.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.827 → .845Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.845ISO.207HR14SB17BB%11.4K%18.4 - 46Noah SchultzWatch
18.3% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 8.8% to 18.3% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality80StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory908.8% → 18.3% K-BBArrival88/100DoorstepERA1.99WHIP0.89K-BB%18.3K%26.1BB%7.8IP40.2 - 47Charlie CondonWatch
0.892 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .807 to .892 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.807 → .892Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.892ISO.232HR22SB7BB%13.2K%24.6 - 48Nathan FlewellingWatch
0.826 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .729 to .826 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A3+ yrs young for High-APlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.729 → .826Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.826ISO.214HR21SB8BB%14.8K%27.0 - 49Miguel HernándezWatch
promoted Rookie -> Low-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .852 to .927 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A3+ yrs young for Low-APlayer quality80StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.852 → .927Arrival16/100up from RookieOPS.927ISO.188HR2SB5BB%19.1K%24.7 - 50Cam CauleyWatch
0.828 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .773 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.773 → .828Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.185HR14SB35BB%12.6K%20.9 - 51Dylan GregoWatch
promoted Low-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .695 to 1.217 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.695 → 1.217Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS1.217ISO.167HR0SB0BB%10.0K%15.0 - 52Boston BatemanWatch
19.4% K-BB while far younger than the level
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 16.7% to 19.4% K-BB after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality79StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory8216.7% → 19.4% K-BBArrival46/100up from Low-AERA3.46WHIP1.34K-BB%19.4K%32.1BB%12.7IP83.1 - 53Robert AriasWatch
0.859 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .791 to .859 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality79StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.791 → .859Arrival34/100up from RookieOPS.859ISO.171HR5SB21BB%15.3K%14.2 - 54Angel CepedaWatch
0.820 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .714 to .820 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to High-A2.3 yrs young for High-APlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory90.714 → .820Arrival46/100up from Low-AOPS.820ISO.183HR11SB12BB%14.9K%27.1 - 55Aron EstradaWatch
0.821 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .798 to .821 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.798 → .821Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.821ISO.212HR23SB7BB%5.5K%17.7 - 56Cristofer TorinWatch
0.785 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .766 to .785 OPS.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality78StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory83.766 → .785Arrival63/100up from High-AOPS.785ISO.163HR15SB12BB%8.0K%11.4 - 57Lizandro EspinozaWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .611 to .891 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.611 → .891Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.891ISO.179HR2SB6BB%14.9K%19.1 - 58Adrian BohorquezWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 14.9% to 18.9% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality77StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4114.9% → 18.9% K-BBArrival53/100up from Low-AERA1.00WHIP1.11K-BB%18.9K%29.7BB%10.8IP9.0 - 59Arjun NimmalaWatch
0.804 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .694 to .804 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.694 → .804Arrival63/100up from High-AOPS.804ISO.173HR6SB5BB%13.0K%23.6 - 60Leo BernalWatch
0.831 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .726 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality77StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.726 → .831Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.831ISO.190HR16SB9BB%11.8K%19.9 - 61Kahlil WatsonWatch
0.809 OPS while far younger than the level
About the same as last season — .798 to .809 OPS.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality76StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.798 → .809Arrival80/100DoorstepOPS.809ISO.210HR16SB21BB%14.3K%27.3 - 62Jesús MadeWatch
promoted Low-A -> Double-A
About the same as last season — .761 to .768 OPS.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA3+ yrs young for AAPlayer quality75StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.761 → .768Arrival63/100up from Low-AOPS.768ISO.155HR13SB35BB%10.6K%14.8 - 63Franklin AriasWatch
promoted High-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .709 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality74StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.709 → .828Arrival78/100DoorstepOPS.828ISO.171HR4SB1BB%8.8K%16.8 - 64Tai PeeteWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .692 to .885 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality73StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.692 → .885Arrival53/100up from High-AOPS.885ISO.188HR3SB4BB%7.0K%22.1 - 65Paulino SantanaWatch
0.822 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .751 to .822 after moving up to Low-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to Low-A2.0 yrs young for Low-APlayer quality73StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.751 → .822Arrival34/100up from RookieOPS.822ISO.171HR15SB28BB%14.2K%25.0 - 66Cooper PrattWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .691 to .735 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory41.691 → .735Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.735ISO.145HR6SB17BB%13.0K%14.2 - 67Joshua Kuroda-GrauerWatch
0.866 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .715 to .866 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA2.5 yrs young for AAAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory81.715 → .866Arrival88/100DoorstepOPS.866ISO.109HR1SB4BB%7.4K%6.5 - 68Steven EchavarriaWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 10.2% to 22.4% K-BB after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality71StrongStuffCmdCtlRunPLoadTrajectory4110.2% → 22.4% K-BBArrival53/100up from High-AERA7.62WHIP1.77K-BB%22.4K%29.3BB%6.9IP13.0 - 69Jaison ChourioWatch
promoted High-A -> Double-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .664 to .757 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality71StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory64.664 → .757Arrival53/100up from High-AOPS.757ISO.137HR7SB28BB%13.1K%21.9 - 70Johanfran GarciaWatch
0.839 OPS while far younger than the level
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .839 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AA2.8 yrs young for AAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory69.755 → .839Arrival71/100DoorstepOPS.839ISO.208HR17SB3BB%5.7K%29.0 - 71Bryant BetancourtWatch
promoted Double-A -> Triple-A
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .677 to .761 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Breakout signalPromoted to AAA3+ yrs young for AAAPlayer quality70StrongProdPowConEyeSpdTrajectory61.677 → .761Arrival70/100DoorstepOPS.761ISO.173HR3SB2BB%7.0K%13.9
Who leads each ranking
The top three on each axis, over every player we track — not the cut above. Three of these rank the ballplayer; the fourth ranks the whole purchase, and they routinely disagree.
Hottest bats
Hitters whose numbers are climbing fastest.
Arms closest to the majors
Pitchers nearest a call-up. Ranked by how close they are, not by form — a call-up is the moment that reprices a card.
Knocking on the door
Closest to playing in the majors — cards often peak around the call-up.
Who had a big game
Last night's standout lines, for the players we track. Real box scores — nothing here is written by us.
Trey PaigeMemphis Redbirds · Triple-A 3-for-3
Anthony SeiglerWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 2-for-2
Jonathon LongJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A 4-for-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI
Jacob BerryOmaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A 3-for-4
Kristian CampbellWorcester Red Sox · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 SB
Cooper IngleColumbus Clippers · Triple-A 3-for-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Showing 6 of 151 big games from Saturday. One good night is the earliest signal there is, and the noisiest — it is a reason to look, not a reason to buy.