Bowman Sniper

Houston Astros prospects

283 tracked players across 7 affiliates (Asheville Tourists, Corpus Christi Hooks, DSL Astros Blue, DSL Astros Orange, FCL Astros, Fayetteville Woodpeckers, Sugar Land Space Cowboys). 175 have a real stat line or market evidence behind them. Everything below is measured; a module with nothing measured says so.

Trajectory changes from two seasons of official stat lines, ranked by size and credibility, then by quality. Not a hot week.

  1. 1Alex Santos II

    SPAge 24Triple-AHouston Astros

    promoted Double-A → Triple-A · Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season, against better hitters — 11.7% to 32.0% K-BB after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
    Up stronglyMarket unread1.5 yrs young for AAABreakout

    strong prospect · 85/100 overall

    Core 1st auto · $13.99 delivered

    matches his benchmark series · no valuation · best offer

    See listing
  2. 3Pascanel Ferreras

    SSAge 24Triple-AHouston Astros

    promoted Double-A → Triple-A · Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .687 to .853 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
    Up stronglyMarket unread1.5 yrs young for AAABreakout

    solid · 61/100 overall

    Core 1st auto · $19.98 delivered

    matches his benchmark series · no valuation · best offer

    See listing
  3. 6Caden Powell

    CFAge 22High-AHouston Astros

    promoted Low-A → High-A · Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .748 to .803 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
    Up stronglyMarket unreadtypical age for High-ABreakout

    solid · 56/100 overall

    Core 1st auto · $16.09 delivered

    matches his benchmark series · no valuation · best offer

    See listing

Breakout radar

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Measured improvement while young for the level or freshly promoted, on a rated player.

Youngest for level

6View all

Two or more years younger than the typical player at the level. Context, not a quality claim.

Latest promotions

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At a higher level this season than last, from the two official stat lines. Dates live in the catalyst tracker.

Highest player quality

6The club on the player board

Our all-round read on the player. Nothing in this list is a card price.

Baseball up, cards flat

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The development has moved further than the price of the benchmark card. Needs sold evidence on the card side, which most prospects do not have.

No measured lag on this club. 6 players are up strongly with no readable card market yet — waiting for market evidence, not lagging it.

Waiting: Alex Santos II, Jason Schiavone, Pascanel Ferreras, Juan Fraide, Hector Salas, Caden Powell.

Latest catalysts

12View all

Promotions, step changes and logged events on this club, each with its evidence grade.

  1. DERIVEDPromoted High-A → Triple-Adate not recorded
    Lucas Spence

    Triple-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted High-A → Triple-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  2. DERIVEDPromoted Rookie → Low-Adate not recorded
    Kevin Alvarez

    Low-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Rookie → Low-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis improving — baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  3. DERIVEDPromoted Low-A → High-Adate not recorded
    Caden Powell

    High-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Low-A → High-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  4. DERIVEDPromoted High-A → Double-Adate not recorded
    Will Bush

    Double-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted High-A → Double-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  5. DERIVEDPromoted Low-A → High-Adate not recorded
    Ethan Frey

    High-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Low-A → High-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  6. DERIVEDPromoted High-A → Double-Adate not recorded
    Yamal Encarnacion

    Double-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted High-A → Double-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  7. DERIVEDPromoted Low-A → Double-Adate not recorded
    Chase Call

    Double-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Low-A → Double-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  8. DERIVEDPromoted Double-A → Triple-Adate not recorded
    Jax Biggers

    Triple-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Double-A → Triple-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  9. DERIVEDPromoted Rookie → High-Adate not recorded
    Anthony Huezo

    High-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Rookie → High-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis improving — baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  10. DERIVEDPromoted Low-A → Double-Adate not recorded
    Justin Thomas Jr.

    Double-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Low-A → Double-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  11. DERIVEDPromoted Rookie → Low-Adate not recorded
    Juan Sierra

    Low-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Rookie → Low-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.
  12. DERIVEDPromoted Rookie → High-Adate not recorded
    Yosweld Vasquez

    High-AHouston Astros

    Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.

    Why it matters
    What happened
    Promoted Rookie → High-A. Level changed between his 2025 and 2026 stat lines (MLB Stats API, official). The date of the move is not recorded here.
    Why it matters
    A promotion is the club's own read of the player, and the level a card was made at is the level the hobby prices it against. Each rung up is a re-rating event.
    What changed in the thesis
    Thesis intact — baseball momentum 41/100 — tracking the thesis.
    Has the card market responded?
    Cannot say: card-price momentum is unmeasured — no earlier observation of the same benchmark series to difference against. No sold evidence means no market response to read, and a listing's asking price is not one.
    What to watch next
    Whether the strikeout and walk rates hold at the new level over a real sample — the first 100 plate appearances say little.

Best Bowman cards

6

Each player's benchmark card — the one standardized card we track his market on — with how firmly we know it is his.

  • Anthony Huezo

    Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Autoobserved — likely, not establishedvaluation: insufficient evidence

    See listing
  • Kevin Alvarez

    Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Autoobserved — likely, not establishedconfirmed value, medium confidence

    See listing
  • Miguel Ullola

    Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Autoobserved — likely, not establishedvaluation: insufficient evidence

    See listing
  • Xavier Neyens

    Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Autoobserved — likely, not establishedvaluation: insufficient evidence

    See listing
  • Pascanel Ferreras

    Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Autoobserved — likely, not establishedvaluation: insufficient evidence

    See listing
  • Will Bush

    Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Autoobserved — likely, not establishedconfirmed value, low confidence

    See listing

Buyable right now

6

Players on this club with a best-fit live listing in the store — fit first, never cheapest first.

  1. 1Nehomar Ochoa Jr.

    CFAge 21High-AHouston Astros

    steady profile; no fresh signal
    UnmeasuredMarket unread1.3 yrs young for High-A

    solid · 62/100 overall

    Core 1st auto, numbered · $407.99 delivered

    title claims 1st — not verified · no valuation · best offer

    See listing
  2. 3Jeremy Peña

    SSAge 28Triple-AHouston Astros

    steady profile; no fresh signal
    UnmeasuredMarket unreadold for AAA

    long shot · 28/100 overall

    Core 1st auto, numbered · $356.98 delivered

    title claims 1st — not verified · no valuation · best offer

    See listing
  3. 4Trey Dombroski

    SPAge 25Double-AHouston Astros

    Down from 14.3% to 9.2% K-BB this season.
    Down sharplyMarket unread1.2 yrs old for AA

    long shot · 22/100 overall

    Core 1st auto, numbered · $2.77 delivered

    title claims 1st — not verified · no valuation · best offer

    See listing
  4. 5Nick Allen

    SSAge 27Triple-AHouston Astros

    steady profile; no fresh signal
    UnmeasuredMarket unread1.5 yrs old for AAA

    long shot · 18/100 overall

    Core 1st auto, numbered · $11.98 delivered

    title claims 1st — not verified · no valuation · best offer

    See listing
  5. 6Nate Pearson

    SPAge 30Triple-AHouston Astros

    Down from 17.7% to 0.0% K-BB this season.
    Down sharplyMarket unreadold for AAA

    long shot · 11/100 overall

    Core 1st auto, numbered · $15.99 delivered

    title claims 1st — not verified · no valuation · best offer

    See listing

Every Houston Astros prospect we track

Best-rated first. Players with a page of their own link to it; the rest are followed and appear as data lands.

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