Trey Dombroski
SP · Corpus Christi Hooks · Corpus Christi Hooks · Double-A · 25.0y · #5730 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Tue 11:35 PM vs Springfield Cardinals
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
24 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
19 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Trey Dombroski scores 24 out of 100 (#5730 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: pitcher — injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
The signal
K-BB% slipping
14.3% last season to 9.7% this one.
Strikeouts slipping
24.8% last season to 21.7% this one.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /99 at $19.98 costs 1.08× base, and print run alone suggests 1.80×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
19 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".
2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Trey Dombroski III 1st Auto Green 68/99 Houston Astros
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 51d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$19.98
no sold price
WATCH
2022 Bowman Chrome - Trey Dombroski III 1st Auto #CDA-TD Blue Wave /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 28d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$5.25
no sold price
WATCH
2022 Bowman Chrome Trey Dombroski III Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199 1st Bowman
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 44d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.25
modeled ~$2.01
WATCH
TREY DOMBROSKI III AUTO 1st 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 RC
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1286d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$2.77
modeled ~$7.50
WATCH
2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor 1st Trey Dombroski Auto /250 Purple #4
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 373d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$7.50
WATCH
2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor 1st Trey Dombroski Auto /250 Purple #3
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 373d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$7.50
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.47, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.47 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.25 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -55%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.25 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +61%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.77, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.77 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -79%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.25 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +90%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +281%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $72.54, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $72.54 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +263%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 567 pitchers at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 48 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 567 pitchers at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
48
average · better than 43% at his level
21.7% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
47
average · better than 40% at his level
9.7% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
12.0% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.41 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
84.2 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
50
average · better than 49% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 43th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 63th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 86% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 43 and his run prevention sits at 63, a gap of -20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 566 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 14th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.2 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 567 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
368
IP
84.2
ERA
4.68
WHIP
1.41
K-BB%
9.7
better than 40%
K%
21.7
BB%
12.0
HR9
1.49
GS
18
Is this player getting better?
Down from 14.3% to 9.7% K-BB this season.
Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.
K-BB%
14.3%▼9.7%
Strikeouts
24.8%▼21.7%
Walks
10.5%▲12.0%
WHIP
1.25▲1.41
ERA
3.61▲4.68
Last season, 467 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
- Listings
- 19
- Lowest live
- $2.77
- Median ask
- $13.25
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.77
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $2.77
19 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.
The other 13 cards
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor 1st Trey Dombroski Auto /250 Purple #2WATCH
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor 1st Trey Dombroski Auto /250 PurpleWATCH
- $8.252022 Bowman Chrome Trey Dombroski III Refractor Auto /499 1st BowmanWATCH
- —2022 Bowman Draft Trey Dombroski III Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/499 AstrosWATCH
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor 1st Trey Dombroski Auto /500WATCH
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Trey Dombroski III Refactor /499 1st Bowman Auto WATCH
- $72.542022 Bowman Draft Trey Dombroski III 02/75 Black Refractor 1st Auto #CDA-TDWATCH
- $15.022022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Trey Dombroski III Auto 16s2WATCH
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Trey Dombroski III Negative Refractor Auto 1st BowmanWATCH
- $12.692022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 68/499 Trey Dombroski III Auto 1j1iWATCH
- $12.722022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Trey Dombroski III #CDA-TD Auto hn8WATCH
- $23.072022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 3/499 Trey Dombroski III Auto 02u3WATCH
- $18.472022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor Trey Dombroski III Auto 1j91WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run