Bowman Sniper

Dylan DeLucia

SP · Akron RubberDucks · Akron RubberDucks · Double-A · 26.0y · #6747 of 7,942 we rate

Next: Tue 10:35 PM vs Richmond Flying Squirrels

The player
LONG SHOT

16 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

16 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Dylan DeLucia scores 16 out of 100 (#6747 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: control: above average — 10.3% BB — walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound Better than 61% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: pitcher — injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

The signal

  • Control: above average

    10.3% BB — walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound Better than 61% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Pitcher

    Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-DDA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-DDA

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $4.78 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

16 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Blue Wave Dylan DeLucia Auto /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 100h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    no sold price

    WATCH

  • 2022 BOWMAN CHROME REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTO DYLAN DELUCIA GUARDIANS

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 242d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.74

    modeled ~$7.50

    WATCH

  • Dylan DeLucia 2022 Draft Chrome 🔥 1st Bowman Auto Refractor #d/499 🔥 Guardians

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1006d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$7.50

    WATCH

  • Dylan DeLucia 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CDADDA

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 102d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$7.50

    WATCH

  • 2022 1st Bowman Draft Dylan DeLucia Chrome Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 102d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.78

    modeled ~$3.00

    WATCH

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-DDA Guardians Dylan DeLucia CLV

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 120d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$3.00

    WATCH

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +203%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +59%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +125%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 567 pitchers at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 567 pitchers at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Stuff

    Does he miss bats?

    47

    average · better than 38% at his level

    21.0% K

    strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners

  • Command

    Bats missed AND strikes thrown?

    49

    average · better than 45% at his level

    10.7% K-BB

    strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • Control

    Does he give away bases?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    10.3% BB

    walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound

  • Run prevention

    Do the runs stay off the board?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.71 WHIP

    walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too

  • Workload

    Is he carrying a starter's innings?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    83.2 IP

    innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 31th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 83% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 48 and his run prevention sits at 31, a gap of +17. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 566 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 83th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A
  • pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 567 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

BF

390

IP

83.2

ERA

6.78

WHIP

1.71

K-BB%

10.7

better than 45%

K%

21.0

BB%

10.3

HR9

1.72

GS

17

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — 11.5% to 10.7% K-BB.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

K-BB%

11.5%10.7%

Strikeouts

20.6%21.0%

Walks

9.1%10.3%

WHIP

1.131.71

ERA

3.196.78

Last season, 253 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market16 listed · 16 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
Listings
16

16 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.78
Median ask
$16.73
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.78
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$16.74

Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.

The other 10 cards

  • $6.992022 Bowman Chrome Dylan Delucia Auto 1stWATCH
  • $51.822022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Wave Refractor 9/50 Dylan DeLucia Auto 09anWATCH
  • 2022 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME Dylan DeLucia 1st Auto Guardians #CDA-DDA**WATCH
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-DDA Guardians Dylan DeLucia CLVWATCH
  • $53.542022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor Dylan DeLucia SGC 9.5 Mint+ Auto 1j7tWATCH
  • $40.892022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 1/499 Dylan DeLucia PSA 9 MINT Auto 6w9WATCH
  • $23.072022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor /199 Dylan DeLucia Auto 05k6WATCH
  • $14.502022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 450/499 Dylan DeLucia #CDA-DDA Auto 2a9WATCH
  • $9.832022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Dylan DeLucia #CDA-DDA Auto gb4WATCH
  • $16.732022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Dylan DeLucia #CDA-DDA Auto 9b1WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player