Liam Sullivan
SP · Wilmington Blue Rocks · Wilmington Blue Rocks · High-A · 24.0y · #5489 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Tue 10:35 PM vs Hudson Valley Renegades
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Nothing listed
- What to do
- Nothing to buy
26 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
Nothing of his is in the store right now. That is a statement about inventory, not about the player — the search links at the foot of the page ask eBay directly.
No card of his is listed, and we have no benchmark price to set a target against yet.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, nothing for sale.
Liam Sullivan scores 26 out of 100 (#5489 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: moved up and held it — Low-A to High-A.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
There is nothing of his to buy right now, so this is a page to come back to rather than act on.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: pitcher — injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
The signal
K-BB% slipping
24.0% last season to 10.2% this one.
Strikeouts slipping
29.8% last season to 23.0% this one.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Nothing to buy
No card of his is listed in the store right now, so none of the market reading above is actionable today.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Something of his has to be listed before there is anything to act on.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
No live listings. Nothing of his is in the store right now.
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Liam Sullivan, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
- Brandon Comptonbase$35.88Watch28% under fair value
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within under $40.00, your stated ceiling. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 620 pitchers at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 620 pitchers at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
50
average · better than 50% at his level
23.0% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
50
average · better than 51% at his level
10.2% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
51
average · better than 52% at his level
12.8% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.91 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
50
average · better than 51% at his level · context, not a skill
30.1 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 41% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 25th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 91% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 51 and his run prevention sits at 25, a gap of +26. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 620 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 91th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.3 / 10
- old for High-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 620 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
148
IP
30.1
ERA
8.01
WHIP
1.91
K-BB%
10.2
better than 51%
K%
23.0
BB%
12.8
HR9
3.56
GS
9
Is this player getting better?
Down from 24.0% to 10.2% K-BB, but that came with a move up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
K-BB%
24.0%▼10.2%
Strikeouts
29.8%▼23.0%
Walks
5.8%▲12.8%
WHIP
1.11▲1.91
ERA
3.23▲8.01
Last season, 121 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live marketnothing of his is listed
Nothing of his is in the store right now. That is a statement about inventory, not about the player — the search links at the foot of the page ask eBay directly.
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
- We do not have a live card to price.