Bowman Sniper

Josh Adamczewski

SS · Double-A · 21.0y · #56 of 7,922 we rate

The player
STRONG PROSPECT

82 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

12 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome Josh Adamczewski 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Strong prospect, untested market.

Josh Adamczewski scores 82 out of 100 (#56 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    1.028 last season to .856 this one.

  • Contact: plus

    17.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 84% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JAI — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JAI

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $85.49 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

12 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 12 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 6 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JAI Josh Adamczewski 1st Auto Brewers

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 15d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 85h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $85.49

    modeled ~$37.99

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 1st Bowman Chrome JOSH ADAMCZEWSKI Base Auto Milwaukee Brewers CPA-JAI

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 172d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $306.95

    modeled ~$37.99

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Josh Adamczewski 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 CPA-JAI Brewers

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 21d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $356.00

    modeled ~$205.00

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • Josh Adamczewski 2024 Bowman Chrome Orange Wave Auto PSA 10 GEM MINT #19/25 1st

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 85h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $2607.00

    no sold price

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Josh Adamczewski 1st Auto #CPA-JAI Brewers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 85h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$37.99

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Josh Adamczewski 1st True Blue Refractor Auto PSA 10 Brewers

    True Blue Refractor · PSA 10 · listed 13d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 85h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$202.50

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Josh Adamczewski, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $42.74–$89.76, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in psa 8, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 8.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 55 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    60

    plus · better than 84% at his level

    17.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    .204 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    52

    average · better than 58% at his level

    11.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    50

    average · better than 50% at his level

    17 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    60

    plus · better than 84% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .856 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 84th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 84, a gap of -16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 25th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.3 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • hitting well — 0.856 OPS in 208 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

208

AVG

.282

OBP

.370

SLG

.486

OPS

.856

better than 84%

HR

7

SB

6

BB%

11.1

K%

17.8

Is this player getting better?

Down from 1.028 to .856 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

1.028▼.856

Power

.210→.204

Walks

14.1%▼11.1%

Strikeouts

18.0%→17.8%

Last season, 206 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $140.00 · /499 · graded PSA 8 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market12 listed · 12 eBay-verified · 6 not shown above
Listings
12

12 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$85.49
Median ask
$331.48
Cheapest 1st auto
$85.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$2607.00

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 6 cards

  • —Josh Adamczewski 2024 Bowman Chrome Mini Diamond Refractor 1st RC Auto #d 66/100WATCH
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome - Josh Adamczewski 1st Chrome Auto Brewers #CPA-JAIWATCH
  • —Josh Adamczewski 2024 Bowman Chrome Mini Diamond Refractor 1st RC Auto /100WATCH
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Josh Adamczewski True Blue 1st Auto /150 BrewersWATCH
  • —Josh Adamczewski Bowman 1st Auto PSA 10 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPAJAI BrewersWATCH
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Josh Adamczewski 1st True Green AutoWATCH

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now