Jaron DeBerry
SP · Biloxi Shuckers · Biloxi Shuckers · Double-A · 24.0y · #2698 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Tue 11:35 PM vs Birmingham Barons
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
17 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Jaron DeBerry…. Player not there yet.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Jaron DeBerry scores 47 out of 100 (#2698 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — 0.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 70% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: pitcher — injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
The signal
Young for the level
0.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 70% of the players there.
Stuff: above average
25.8% K — strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners Better than 64% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Command: above average
14.1% K-BB — strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion Better than 66% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Strikeouts improving
23.0% last season to 25.8% this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JDE — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 9 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JDE
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
No rung of his has both a live ask and a confirmed sold value, so there is no measured entry today.
$7.99 delivered on his closest listing is where the evidence would support a buy.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
17 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome - Jaron DeBerry 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 96h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$65.49
modeled ~$6.50
WATCH
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Jaron DeBerry #CPA-JDE 1st Base Prospect Auto Brewers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 32d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.99
modeled ~$5.52
WATCH
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Jaron DeBerry CPA-JDE 1st Base Prospect Auto Brewers
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 83d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.20
modeled ~$5.52
WATCH
2024 Bowman Draft Jaron DeBerry Chrome Prospect Auto Brewers #CPA-JDE 1st RC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$14.35
modeled ~$5.52
WATCH
2024 Bowman Draft Jaron DeBerry Chrome Prospect Auto Brewers #CPA-JDE 1st RC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.35
modeled ~$5.52
WATCH
2024 Bowman Draft Jaron DeBerry Chrome Auto #CPA-JDE 1st Prospect Brewers
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 48d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.43
modeled ~$5.52
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jaron DeBerry, just what the money can do today.
- Cole Carriggbase$11.80Watch55% under fair value
Compared within $6.00–$12.59, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.49 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +446%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $107.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $107.90 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +65%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.75 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +182%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 567 pitchers at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 567 pitchers at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level
25.8% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level
14.1% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
50
average · better than 50% at his level
11.7% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.34 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill
119.0 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 72th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his run prevention sits at 72, a gap of -12. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 566 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 26th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.7 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 567 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
511
IP
119.0
ERA
4.31
WHIP
1.34
K-BB%
14.1
better than 66%
K%
25.8
BB%
11.7
HR9
1.36
GS
24
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — 14.6% to 14.1% K-BB.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
K-BB%
14.6%→14.1%
Strikeouts
23.0%▲25.8%
Walks
8.4%▲11.7%
WHIP
1.46▼1.34
ERA
5.43▼4.31
Last season, 239 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market17 listed · 17 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
- Listings
- 17
- Lowest seen
- $11.99
- Median ask
- $23.20
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $11.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $65.49
17 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.
The other 11 cards
- $304.75Jaron DeBerry 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JDE First (1st) AUTO Gold Wave [#36/50]WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Jaron DeBerry Chrome Auto #CPA-JDE 1st Prospect BrewersWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Jaron DeBerry #CPA-JDE BrewersWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-JDE Jaron DeBerry 1st Bowman Chrome AutoWATCH
- —JARON DEBERRY - 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-JDE BrewersWATCH
- $29.972024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jaron DeBerry #CPA-JDE Auto 0a98WATCH
- $34.572024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jaron DeBerry #CPA-JDE Auto 14b0WATCH
- $107.902024 1st Bowman Draft Jaron DeBerry /150 * True Blue * Auto Brewers RefractorWATCH
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Jaron DeBerry Brewers #CPA-JDE Chrome Prospect Auto RCWATCH
- —Jaron DeBerry 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CPA-JDEPASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Jaron DeBerry Brewers Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-JDEPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run