Hagen Smith
SP · Charlotte Knights · Triple-A · 23.0y · #1034 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
57 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith 1st Chrome…. Priced above value.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Hagen Smith scores 57 out of 100 (#1034 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
We have 2 confirmed sales of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
Listed at your price — $40.99
target is $55.17
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Thin comp evidence
2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HS
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft - Hagen Smith #CPA-HS 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto PSA 10 at $332, 146% over the $128–135 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $128 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
57 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 57 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 51 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft Night Auto /99 Hagen Smith 1st Chrome #BDNA-HS White Sox
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 86h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $57.60
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Hagen Smith 1st Bowman Auto Purple Refractor /250 White Sox
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 86h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $63.93–73.67
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-HS White Sox PSA 10
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 1d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $128–135
PASS · 4% under
2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Hagen Smith #CPA-HS HTA Choice Refractor /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
modeled $73.76–104
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Hagen Smith Prospect Auto #CPA-HS 101/250 Purple Refractor RC
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$40.99
modeled $63.93–73.67
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith 1st Chrome Auto PSA 10 Chicago White Sox
base · PSA 10 · listed 2d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $128–135
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Hagen Smith, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $20.50–$43.04, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.95 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $155.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $155.50 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +136%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -74%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $149.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $149.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +264%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $306.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $306.25 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +106%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $145.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $145.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -52%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $383.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $383.24 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +163%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $281.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $281.50 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $330.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $330.17 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +17%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
26 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.7 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold for2 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market57 listed · 57 eBay-verified · 51 not shown above
- Listings
- 57
- Lowest seen
- $40.99
- Median ask
- $293.88
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $51.50
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $145.98
57 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 8 hours ago.
The other 51 cards
- $307.982024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME HAGEN SMITH AUTO /99 GREEN REFRACTOR 1ST PSA 10 #CPA-HSPASS
- $1957.992024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith Chrome Auto True Gold Refractor 1st /50 PSA 10PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Hagen Smith 1st Aqua Lava Auto /199 PSA 10 White SoxPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Hagen Smith 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 - PSA 10PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Hagen Smith /99 True Green Refractor White SoxPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith Bowman Chrome 1st Green Auto /99PASS
- $145.982024 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Wave Refractor AUTO /150 Hagen Smith #CPA-HSPASS
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome- True Blue HAGEN SMITH AUTO 2/150 BEAUTIFUL CARD!!!PASS
- $51.502024 Bowman Draft - Hagen Smith #CPA-HS 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 9 - White SoxWATCH
- $120.232024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor Hagen Smith PSA 9 MINT Auto 0e23WATCH
- $250.942024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Hagen Smith Gold Wave 32/50 Jersey Match PSA 9WATCH
- $274.99Hagen Smith Signed 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Green Grass Refractor /99 PSAWATCH
- $355.98Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Green 1st Auto /99 PSA 9WATCH
- $503.99HAGEN SMITH 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT 1ST ORANGE WAVE AUTO /25 PSA 9WATCH
- $3005.982024 Bowman Chrome Hagen Smith Black Xfractor AUTO /10 PSA 9WATCH
- $12505.992024 Bowman Chrome Hagen Smith Black X-Fractor AUTO /10 BGS 9.5 / AUTO 10WATCH
- —Bowman 2024 Draft Sapphire Hagen Smith Bowman 1st Auto SGC 9.5 CPA-HS /199WATCH
- —2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME REFRACTOR AUTO AQUA LAVA HAGEN SMITH /199 PSA 9WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith Auto Refractor 1st #/499 #CPA-HS PSA 9WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Hagen Smith 1st True Blue Auto PSA 9 White SoxWATCH
- —Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9WATCH
- —Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 10 Gem MintWATCH
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Hagen Smith True Blue Refractor Rookie /150 PSA 9 AutoWATCH
- $306.252024 Bowman Draft Chrome Hagen Smith 1st Blue Refractor Auto /150PASS
- $383.24Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-HS 1st Chrome True Blue AUTO [#121/150]PASS
- —HAGEN SMITH 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST REFRACTOR AUTO /499 WHITE SOXPASS
- $149.002024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Hagen Smith #CPA-HS Chrome Auto /199 1st ProspectPASS
- —Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Au-Image Var Auto /99 PSA 10PASS
- —Bowman 2024 Draft S/E Chrome Prospect Auto Red /5 Hagen Smith #CPAHS PSA 10PASS
- $65.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Hagen Smith 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-HS White SoxPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Hagen Smith Auto 1st #CPA-HS Chicago White SoxPASS
- —Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Auto White Sox PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith 1st Bowman RC True Blue Refractor Auto /150 CPA-HSPASS
- —HAGEN SMITH 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTO #CPA-HS WHITE SOXPASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Hagen Smith #CPA-HS Chrome Auto White SoxPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Hagen Smith 1st Bowman Auto CPA-HS White Sox MLBPASS
- —Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-HS White SoxPASS
- —Hagen Smith 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-HS RC White SoxPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft HAGEN SMITH #CPA-HS 1st Bowman Auto White SoxPASS
- $349.992024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith Blue Wave Auto /150 PSA 10 White Sox 1st BowmanPASS
- $281.502024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith Yellow Refractor 1st Auto Chicago White Sox #12/75PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith Bowman 1st Yellow Auto /75 Call Up PASS
- $65.952024 Bowman Chrome HAGEN SMITH 1st AUTOPASS
- $155.501st Bowman Chrome 2024 Hagen Smith #CPA-HS Auto /199 Chrome White SoxPASS
- $330.172024 1st Bowman Chrome Hagen Smith Gold Wave Auto 09/50 White SoxPASS
- $331.852024 Bowman Draft - Hagen Smith #CPA-HS 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto PSA 10PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Hagen Smith 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-HSPASS
- —Topps 2024 1st Bowman Sapphire Hagen Smith Auto Green 99/99 bookend PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Hagen Smith #CPA-HS 1st RC PSA 10PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Gold Wave Refractor Hagen Smith 1st AUTO /50 White SoxPASS
- —2024 Bowman 1st Hagen Smith Gold Wave Refractor auto /50 (AU, RC)PASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run