Bowman Sniper

Braden Montgomery

RF · Charlotte Knights · Triple-A · 23.0y · #386 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

54 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome… at $1,256. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Braden Montgomery scores 67 out of 100 (#386 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — rF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    13.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 76% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Power: above average

    .180 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 66% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499 at $130, 73% over the $74.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $74.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

54 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 54 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 48 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Prospect Refractor Auto /499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 85h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $129.99

    sold $74.99

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BM Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 RC

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 85h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $111.99

    sold $74.99

    PASS

  • Bowman 2024 Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-BM PSA 9 RC

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 85h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $65.17

    modeled ~$99.99

    WATCH

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 85/499 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM Auto 13c1

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $74.82

    modeled ~$45.00

    WATCH

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st - Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM Red Sox - AUTO PSA 9

    Red · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 0d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $91.75

    modeled ~$80.00

    WATCH

  • Bowman 2024 Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-BM PSA 9

    base · PSA 9 · listed 15d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 86h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $94.98

    modeled ~$99.99

    WATCH

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Braden Montgomery, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $32.59–$68.43, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $804.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $74.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -91%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $304.89, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +308%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $355.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $382.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green /99THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium

30 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    24.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    .180 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    57

    above average · better than 76% at his level

    13.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    51

    average · better than 54% at his level

    14 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    60

    plus · better than 84% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .912 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 84th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 86% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 84, a gap of -24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 14th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.0 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.912 OPS in 132 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

132

AVG

.315

OBP

.417

SLG

.495

OPS

.912

better than 84%

HR

4

SB

3

BB%

13.6

K%

24.2

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$199.99 plus $0.00 shipping · /99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market54 listed · 54 eBay-verified · 48 not shown above
Listings
54

54 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$65.17
Median ask
$292.94
Cheapest 1st auto
$65.17
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$111.99

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 48 cards

  • $183.982024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPABM PSA 10 Gem MTWATCH
  • $190.002024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery #CPABM PSA 10 Chrome Prospect Autograph AUTOWATCH
  • $256.992024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM White Sox PSA 10💥WATCH
  • $258.002024 Bowman Draft - Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 GEM MINTWATCH
  • $259.99Braden Montgomery Signed 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Lunar Refractor /199 Auto PSAWATCH
  • $270.752024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Chrome Auto PSA 10 PSA10 WATCH
  • $289.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Auto PSA 10 GEM MT #CPA-BM RCWATCH
  • $292.942024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 💎 MINT 🔥📈WATCH
  • $304.89Braden Montgomery AUTO #/250 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Purple RefractorWATCH
  • $306.482024 Bowman Draft 1st Blue Wave Auto BRADEN MONTGOMERY /150 PSA 9WATCH
  • $324.952024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery #CPABM PSA 9 23/75 Baseball Mint AUTO 1stWATCH
  • $325.49Braden Montgomery Signed 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor PSA 10 AUTOWATCH
  • $338.98Braden Montgomery 2024 Bowman Draft Psa 10 1st Bowman Auto Gem Mint Rookie RcWATCH
  • $349.99Braden Montgomery signed 2023 1st Bowman Chrome PSA 10 Auto Green /99 RefractorWATCH
  • $355.45Braden Montgomery 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto Chrome Blue Wave Refractor /150WATCH
  • $382.00BRADEN MONTGOMERY 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome True Blue Refractor AUTO RC /150WATCH
  • $481.982024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery HTA Choice Rookie RC Auto /150 PSA 10WATCH
  • $506.982024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery HTA Choice Rookie RC Auto /150 PSA 10WATCH
  • $804.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Wave Refractor Braden Montgomery Auto sc8WATCH
  • $1255.502024 Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA 10 Gem BKWATCH
  • $1518.002024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Braden Montgomery 1st Chrome Auto Orange /25 PSA 10WATCH
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPABM Green Grass Braden Montgomery PSA 10 #99WATCH
  • Braden Montgomery 1st Auto 2024 Bowman CPA-BM True Yellow Refractor Auto 43/75 WATCH
  • Braden Montgomery Bowman 1st Auto PSA 10 2024 #CPABMWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 Chicago White SoxWATCH
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Braden Montgomery Auto Steel Metal Refractor #/100WATCH
  • 2026 Bowman Braden Montgomery Chrome Auto Blue Mojo Refractor /150 White SoxWATCH
  • Braden Montgomery 2025 Bowman Chrome Blue Mojo Refractor Auto /150 White SoxWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor AUTO /250 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BMWATCH
  • 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor /499 BRADEN MONTGOMERY Auto White Sox #CPA-BMWATCH
  • Topps Bowman Draft 2024 Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM 1st Auto Red SoxWATCH
  • 2024 1st Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery Chrome Prospect On Card Auto PSA 10 SoxWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BM Braden Montgomery 1st Auto /75 White Sox NEAR MINT!WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Braden Montgomery Green Auto /99WATCH
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 1st 2024 Braden Montgomery Auto Green /99 #CPA-BMWATCH
  • 2024 1st Bowman Auto Chrome Sapphire Braden Montgomery Green Auto /99 CPA-BM WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery #CPA-BM 1st Blue Wave Auto /150 PSA 9WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Auto PSA 10 White SoxWATCH
  • Braden Montgomery 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-BM PSA 10 White SoxWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Sapphire Auto /199 PSA9WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Auto Aqua Lava /199 RC WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Auto Blue Wave /150 PSA 9 Red SoxWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Green Sapphire Auto /99WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Year Purple Refractor Auto #/250!WATCH
  • Braden Montgomery Aqua Auto #/199 🔥 2024 Bowman Draft Bowman 1st Chrome AutoWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 CPA-BM Psa 10WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft- #CPA-BM Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Braden Montgomery 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PASS

Worth reading for this player