Matt Canterino
SP · Cedar Rapids Kernels · High-A · 28.0y · #7775 of 7,949 we rate
Next: Today 11:05 PM at South Bend Cubs
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
0 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
40 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Matt Canterino scores 0 out of 100 (#7775 of the 7,949 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 28.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Old for the level
-5.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than only 1% of the players there.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 28.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Age for the level
-5.0y vs his level at High-A puts him younger than only 1% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Baseball vs card market
INSUFFICIENT MARKET EVIDENCE- The baseball
- trajectory unmeasured
- The cards
- no measurable move
Why this divergence exists
We have not measured his baseball trajectory, so there is nothing to set the card market against.
Compare him with every player whose baseball has outrun his cards.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — benchmark not computed yet. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best Bowman card to own
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Secondary and avoid: 22 live listings are a certified auto that is not (or not provably) his 1st Bowman Chrome — a later or lesser vehicle, ranked below the canonical card whatever its serial number.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 207/499 Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 7qg at $40.32, 3973% over the $0.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $0.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
Live listings that fit the thesis
Ranked by card fit, identity and listing quality — never by what pays us, and never cheapest-first.
- 12019 Bowman Chrome Matt Canterino 1st Auto MINNESOTA TWINS CDA-MCCore 1st auto · matches his benchmark series · modeled value, +307% over$3.50See listing
- 22019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph MATT CANTERINO 1st Auto Minnesota TwinsCore 1st auto · matches his benchmark series · modeled value, +451% over · best offer$4.74See listing
- 32019 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Matt CanterinoCore 1st auto · matches his benchmark series · modeled value, +572% over$5.78See listing
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
40 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 40 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 34 are under "The whole live market".
2019 Bowman Draft Matt Canterino #CDAMC Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1st RC PSA 10
/499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 59d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 77h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
WATCH
Matt Canterino 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10 GEM CDAMC TWINS
/499 · PSA 10 · listed 566d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
WATCH
Matt Canterino 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO REFRACTOR (061/499) Minnesota Twins
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1506d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$3.36
modeled ~$7.50
WATCH
2019 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-MC - Matt Canterino Auto - SGC 10 / Auto 10
base · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 31d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
no sold price
WATCH
Matt Canterino 2019 Bowman Draft #CDA-MC Chrome Draft Pick Auto Refractor /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 157d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$2.25
sold $0.99
PASS
2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Matt Canterino 1st Bowman Auto MINNESOTA TWINS
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 501d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$2.99
modeled $0.86–1.09
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
Catalyst timelineno logged or derived event yet
No event on his timeline yet — no logged promotion, call-up or injury, and no level change between the two seasons we hold. Derived events appear as stat lines land; logged ones appear with their source.
Every event on the catalyst tracker carries the same grade.
His canonical cardsno card identity established yet
A card reaches verified only from a checklist source. A seller's title can make it likely when independent sellers agree, and never more. Cards with a page of their own link to it.
No card identity has been established for him yet. A card enters this list when independent sellers describe the same card the same way or a confirmed sale names it — a single seller's title never does.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.25 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.26, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.26 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +312%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.72 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +102%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $97.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $97.82 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +423%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $97.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $97.81 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $74.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $74.81 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -24%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 616 pitchers at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
—
not measured for him yet
—
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
27
bottom of the scale · better than 1% at his level · context, not a skill
-5.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.0 / 10
- old for High-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market40 listed · 0 eBay-verified · 34 not shown above
- Listings
- 40
- Lowest live
- $2.25
- Median ask
- $7.44
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $3.36
0 eBay-verified
The other 34 cards
- $3.492019 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-MC Matt Canterino 1st Prospect Auto RCPASS
- $3.502019 Bowman Chrome Matt Canterino 1st Auto MINNESOTA TWINS CDA-MCPASS
- $4.742019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph MATT CANTERINO 1st Auto Minnesota TwinsPASS
- $5.782019 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Matt CanterinoPASS
- $6.972019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 03xgPASS
- $6.972019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 01nwPASS
- $6.972019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto z5mPASS
- $6.972019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 0y8oPASS
- $7.262019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 7c5PASS
- $7.262019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 19l2PASS
- $7.262019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 7c5PASS
- $7.302019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 436/499 Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto ok2PASS
- $7.442019 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Matt Canterino AUTO Autograph Minnesota TwinsPASS
- $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 253/499 Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto z5mPASS
- $8.492019 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME MATT CANTERINO CDA-MC 1ST PROSPECT AUTO MINNESOTA TWINSPASS
- $9.262019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 247/250 Matt Canterino Auto 00jzPASS
- $9.272019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 0a2PASS
- $10.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 244/250 Matt Canterino Auto 0ot5PASS
- $10.422019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 225/499 Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 2a9PASS
- $10.782019 1st Bowman Chrome Matt Canterino Purple Refractor Auto /250 PASS
- $11.982019 Bowman Chrome Draft MATT CANTERINO 1st Rookie AUTO #CDA-MC Twins RC SPPASS
- $18.722019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Black Refractor 45/75 Matt Canterino Auto 13iqPASS
- $34.282019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 469/499 Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 7c5PASS
- $40.322019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 207/499 Matt Canterino #CDA-MC Auto 7qgPASS
- $43.772019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 30/250 Matt Canterino Auto 0p45PASS
- $74.812019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Wave Refractor 34/50 Matt Canterino Auto w5pPASS
- $97.812019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Refractor 14/50 Matt Canterino Auto w5pPASS
- $97.822019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Sparkles Refractor 60/71 Matt Canterino Auto 1kkPASS
- —2019 Bowman Draft Matt Canterino SuperFractor 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #1/1 TwinsPASS
- —2019 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Matt Canterino AUTO Autograph Minnesota TwinsPASS
- —Matt Canterino 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome 🔥 Auto 1st Bowman 🔥 Twins ProspectPASS
- —Matt Canterino 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Green Refractor Auto 70/99 RCPASS
- —2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Auto MATT CANTERINO 1st Bowman RC, TWINS #CDA-MCPASS
- —2019 Bowman Chrome Matt Canterino Auto Autograph 1st Rookie RC TwinsPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run