Blaze Alexander
3B · Norfolk Tides · Norfolk Tides · Triple-A · 27.0y · #4151 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Tue 10:35 PM vs Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
36 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
5 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Blaze Alexander scores 36 out of 100 (#4151 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: above average — 12.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 67% at his level.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 8 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Contact: well below
37.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Plate discipline: above average
12.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 67% at his level.
Premium position
3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
3B is a position the hobby pays up for; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
8 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 35 on the 20–80 scale (37.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — benchmark not computed yet. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, No base auto listed — cheapest numbered option shown; premium ratio unavailable. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
5 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 5 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 5 worth looking at, best first.
2019 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Blaze Alexander #CPA-BA Blue Refractor /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 100h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$65.00
modeled ~$3.75
WATCH
2019 BOWMAN CHROME BLAZE ALEXANDER 1ST ORANGE #BA AUTO /25 PSA 10
/25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 9d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 100h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$393.00
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Blaze Alexander #BA Speckle Auto /299 PSA 10 Gem Mint
/299 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 14d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 100h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Bowman Chrome Blaze Alexander 1st Bowman Auto Arizona Diamondbacks CPA-BA
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 100h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$3.99
WATCH
Blaze Alexander 2019 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto #CPA-BA 1st Bowman
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$3.99
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Blaze Alexander, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /499$49.99Watch
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $32.50–$68.25, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 741 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 46 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 741 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
35
well below · better than 7% at his level
37.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
.143 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
12.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level · the result, not a skill
.804 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
47
average · better than 38% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 38th percentile of the cohort, production at the 64th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 87% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 38 and his production sits at 64, a gap of -26. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 740 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 13th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.0 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 741 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
8
AVG
.286
OBP
.375
SLG
.429
OPS
.804
better than 64%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
12.5
K%
37.5
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $8.00 plus $0.00 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market5 listed · 5 eBay-verified
- Listings
- 5
- Lowest seen
- $65.00
- Median ask
- $229.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $65.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $65.00
5 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 3 days ago.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run