Bowman Sniper

Jun-Seok Shim

SP · FCL Mets · FCL Mets · Rookie · 22.0y · #7751 of 7,942 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

1 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

27 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Jun-Seok Shim Auto… at $40.98. Player not there yet.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Jun-Seok Shim scores 1 out of 100 (#7751 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: command risk — command grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (-12.4% K-BB). strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than only 15% of the players there.

  • Control: well below

    28.6% BB — walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound

  • K-BB% slipping

    -9.0% last season to -12.4% this one.

  • Strikeouts slipping

    20.5% last season to 16.2% this one.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Command risk

    Command grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (-12.4% K-BB). strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • Age for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Rookie puts him younger than only 15% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Pitcher

    Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JSH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 15 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 15 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JSH

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 15 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /299 at $7.29 costs 1.46× base, and print run alone suggests 1.25×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

27 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Jun-Seok Shim Auto SGC 9.5 Pittsburgh Pirates

    base · SGC 9.5 · takes offers · listed 93d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    $40.98

    no sold price

    WATCH

  • JUN-SEOK SHIM 2023 Bowman Chrome SPECKLE REFRACTOR ~ Pirates 1st RC AUTO /299

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.29

    modeled ~$2.00

    WATCH

  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-JSH Jun-Seok Shim Prospect Auto Speckle /299

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 41d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.78

    no sold price

    WATCH

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Jun-Seok Shim 1st Auto Refractor /499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 166d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$7.50

    WATCH

  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-JSH Jun-Seok Shim

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 41d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.78

    modeled ~$6.99

    WATCH

  • Jun-Seok Shim 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-JSH

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 151d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$7.50

    WATCH

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +40%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +54%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -32%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 41 on the 20–80 scale, against 1285 pitchers at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 41 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1285 pitchers at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Stuff

    Does he miss bats?

    45

    below average · better than 32% at his level

    16.2% K

    strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners

  • Command

    Bats missed AND strikes thrown?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    -12.4% K-BB

    strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • Control

    Does he give away bases?

    38

    well below · better than 12% at his level

    28.6% BB

    walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound

  • Run prevention

    Do the runs stay off the board?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level · the result, not a skill

    2.10 WHIP

    walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too

  • Workload

    Is he carrying a starter's innings?

    50

    average · better than 50% at his level · context, not a skill

    20.0 IP

    innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    40

    well below · better than 15% at his level · context, not a skill

    -3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 19th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 34th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 80% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 19 and his run prevention sits at 34, a gap of -15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,280 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 20th percentile.

Will he get there?

Unlikely 2.3 / 10

  • old for Rookie
  • pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 58% of what it wants to know — missing readiness, production, form.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1285 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

BF

105

IP

20.0

ERA

8.55

WHIP

2.10

K-BB%

-12.4

better than 14%

K%

16.2

BB%

28.6

HR9

0.45

GS

0

Is this player getting better?

Down from -9.0% to -12.4% K-BB this season — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.

K-BB%

-9.0%-12.4%

Strikeouts

20.5%16.2%

Walks

29.5%28.6%

WHIP

2.402.10

ERA

10.808.55

Last season, 78 batters faced — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market27 listed · 27 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
Listings
27

27 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.99
Median ask
$9.25
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.99

Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.

The other 21 cards

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Jun-Seok Shim 1st Auto Refractor /499WATCH
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Jun-Seok Shim 1st Auto Autographs Refractor /499WATCH
  • $35.132023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Jun-Seok Shim #CPA-JSH PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 18t1WATCH
  • $4.99Jun-Seok Shim 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Pirates WATCH
  • $6.99Jun-Seok Shim 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto Pittsburgh Pirates #CPA-JSH 1stWATCH
  • $7.502023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Jun-Seok Shim #CPA-JSH Auto 1st Card PWEWATCH
  • $7.992023 Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JSH PiratesWATCH
  • $9.252023 1st Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim AUTO !! Pittsburgh PiratesWATCH
  • $9.90JUN-SEOK SHIM 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL AUTOWATCH
  • $11.002023 BOWMAN CHROME JUN-SEOK SHIM 1ST PROSPECT AUTOGRAPH AUTO #CPA-JSH PIRATESWATCH
  • $11.602023 Jun-Seok Shim Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JSH (H1143)WATCH
  • $13.99JUN-SEOK SHIM 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JSHWATCH
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Autographs Jun-Seok Shim #CPA-JSH AutoWATCH
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JSH PiratesWATCH
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim 1st Prospect Auto Pittsburgh PiratesWATCH
  • Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim Pirates 1st Bowman Mojo Auto #CPA-JSHWATCH
  • 2023 Topps Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim #CPA-JSH 1st Bowman AutoWATCH
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JSH PiratesWATCH
  • $35.712023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Jun-Seok Shim #CPA-JSH SGC 10 GEM Auto uw5WATCH
  • $7.002023 Bowman Chrome Jun-Seok Shim 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JSH PiratesWATCH
  • Jun Seok-Shim 2023 Bowman Chrome Blue Raywave Auto /150 PSA 10WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player