Bowman Sniper

T.J. Sikkema

SP · Worcester Red Sox · Worcester Red Sox · Triple-A · 28.0y · #7608 of 7,942 we rate

Next: Tue 10:05 PM at Buffalo Bisons

The player
LONG SHOT

6 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

22 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

T.J. Sikkema scores 6 out of 100 (#7608 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: moved up and held it — Double-A to Triple-A.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 27 batters faced this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Command: well below

    -3.7% K-BB — strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • K-BB% slipping

    12.3% last season to -3.7% this one.

  • Strikeouts slipping

    20.9% last season to 14.8% this one.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 28.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    27 batters faced this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Command risk

    Command grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (-3.7% K-BB). strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • Pitcher

    Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-TJS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-TJS

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $4.31 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st TJ Sikkema Blue Refractor Auto 81/150 PSA GEM MINT 10 RC

    /150 · raw · takes offers · listed 1718d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $307.98

    no sold price

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • T.J. Sikkema 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 NY Yankees #CDA-TJS

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 161d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$10.50

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Draft 1st T.J. Sikkema auto blue refractor 143/150 PSA 10 CDATJS

    /150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 23d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    $258.00

    no sold price

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • TJ Sikkema 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDA-TJS NEW YORK YANKEES

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 117d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $4.31

    modeled ~$4.25

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • TJ SIKKEMA 1st 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Rookie Card #CDA-TJS RC AUTO

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 747d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$4.25

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st T.J. Sikkema Auto Yankees CDA-TJS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1189d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$4.25

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $4.31 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $33.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $33.42 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +675%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 38 on the 20–80 scale, against 907 pitchers at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 38 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 907 pitchers at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Stuff

    Does he miss bats?

    38

    well below · better than 12% at his level

    14.8% K

    strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners

  • Command

    Bats missed AND strikes thrown?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    -3.7% K-BB

    strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • Control

    Does he give away bases?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    18.5% BB

    walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound

  • Run prevention

    Do the runs stay off the board?

    34

    bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level · the result, not a skill

    3.00 WHIP

    walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too

  • Workload

    Is he carrying a starter's innings?

    40

    well below · better than 15% at his level · context, not a skill

    4.2 IP

    innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    46

    below average · better than 33% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 11th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 5th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 11 and his run prevention sits at 5, a gap of +6. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 907 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 64th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.2 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A
  • pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 907 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

BF

27

IP

4.2

ERA

9.64

WHIP

3.00

K-BB%

-3.7

better than 8%

K%

14.8

BB%

18.5

HR9

1.93

GS

2

Is this player getting better?

Down from 12.3% to -3.7% K-BB, but that came with a move up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

K-BB%

12.3%▼-3.7%

Strikeouts

20.9%▼14.8%

Walks

8.6%▲18.5%

WHIP

1.25▲3.00

ERA

4.97▲9.64

Last season, 268 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
Listings
22

22 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.31
Median ask
$10.41
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.31
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$258.00

Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.

The other 16 cards

  • $5.312019 Bowman Chrome T.J. Sikkema 1st On Card Auto New York Yankees SPWATCH
  • $6.782019 Bowman Draft TJ Sikkema 1st Chrome Auto Yankees #CDA-TJSWATCH
  • $7.942019 Bowman Chrome Draft TJ Sikkema 1st Signed Auto Kansas City Royals BDC-34WATCH
  • $9.882019 Bowman Chrome Auto TJ Sikkema 1st Bowman RC New York YankeesWATCH
  • $11.992019 TJ Sikkema Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-TJSWATCH
  • $13.602019 TJ Sikkema Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-TJS (D631)WATCH
  • $15.482019 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect T.J. Sikkema Rookie RC On Card Auto SP!!!WATCH
  • —Topps 2019 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Rookie Auto T.J. Sikkema CDA-TJSWATCH
  • —T.J. Sikkema 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome 🔥 Auto 1st Bowman 🔥 Yankees ProspectWATCH
  • $33.422019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 165/499 TJ Sikkema #CDA-TJS Auto xp6WATCH
  • $4.742019 Bowman Draft #CDA-TJS T.J. Sikkema Chrome Draft Pick AUTOWATCH
  • $9.272019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ Sikkema #CDA-TJS Auto tx9WATCH
  • $10.412019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ Sikkema #CDA-TJS Auto 2g6WATCH
  • $11.102019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ Sikkema #CDA-TJS Auto 5lqWATCH
  • $11.572019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ Sikkema #CDA-TJS Auto 08jkWATCH
  • $12.132019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick TJ Sikkema #CDA-TJS Auto 0w8WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now