Ryan Jensen
SP · Iowa Cubs · Iowa Cubs · Triple-A · 28.0y · #7498 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Today 10:35 PM at Columbus Clippers
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
8 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
46 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Ryan Jensen scores 8 out of 100 (#7498 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 28.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: pitcher — injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
The signal
Control: well below
19.1% BB — walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
K-BB% slipping
9.5% last season to 2.7% this one.
Strikeouts slipping
28.3% last season to 21.8% this one.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 28.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-RJ — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-RJ
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.49 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
46 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 46 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 40 are under "The whole live market".
RYAN JENSEN 1st Bowman autograph SGC 10 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome AUTO Cubs
base · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 1485d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$26.50
no sold price
WATCH
Ryan Jensen 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto #344/499 BGS 9/10 Cubs
/499 · BGS 9 · listed 26d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$27.98
no sold price
WATCH
3x Ryan Jensen 2019 1st Auto Bowman Chrome Draft RC Refractor /250 /499 Cubs
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 100h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$21.50
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Bowman Draft Chrome- Ryan Jensen 1st Bowman Auto True Purple Refractor /250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Jensen 1st RC Auto PSA 9 Cubs #15 Prospect 🆎️
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1795d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$36.98
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Ryan Jensen 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 795d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 104h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.49
modeled ~$10.50
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $20.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $20.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +501%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.10 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -57%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.75 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.81 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -43%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.50 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +175%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.62 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.02 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 43 on the 20–80 scale, against 907 pitchers at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 43 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 907 pitchers at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
48
average · better than 44% at his level
21.8% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level
2.7% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level
19.1% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.94 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
49
average · better than 46% at his level · context, not a skill
21.2 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level · context, not a skill
-2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 26th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 20th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 26 and his run prevention sits at 20, a gap of +6. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 907 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 64th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 907 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
110
IP
21.2
ERA
4.57
WHIP
1.94
K-BB%
2.7
better than 20%
K%
21.8
BB%
19.1
HR9
0.42
GS
0
Is this player getting better?
Down from 9.5% to 2.7% K-BB this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
K-BB%
9.5%▼2.7%
Strikeouts
28.3%▼21.8%
Walks
18.8%→19.1%
WHIP
1.85▲1.94
ERA
6.59▼4.57
Last season, 138 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market46 listed · 0 eBay-verified · 40 not shown above
- Listings
- 46
- Lowest live
- $3.49
- Median ask
- $12.81
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.49
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $13.49
0 eBay-verified
The other 40 cards
- $14.982019 Bowman Chrome Draft RYAN JENSEN 1st Rookie SILVER REFRACTOR AUTO #/499 RCWATCH
- $20.98Ryan Jensen 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Auto Cards 121/499 + (3) BaseWATCH
- —Ryan Jensen 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome 🔥 Auto Refractor #d /499 🔥 Cubs 1stWATCH
- —2019 Bowman Draft Ryan Jensen 1st Chrome Refractor Autograph Auto /499 CDA-RJ CuWATCH
- $25.98Ryan Jensen 2019 Bowman Chrome Blue Wave Refractor AUTO /150 BGS 9.5/10 GEM-MTWATCH
- $15.982019 Bowman Draft Chrome Purple Refractor /250 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto | PSA 9WATCH
- $3.49Ryan Jensen 2020 Bowman Platinum Auto Plus 1st Chrome Chicago Cubs ProspectWATCH
- $4.012019 Bowman Chrome #CDA-RJ Ryan Jensen 1st AUTO Rookie Chicago CubsWATCH
- $4.752019 Bowman Draft RYAN JENSEN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN Autograph Prospect Auto #CDA-RJWATCH
- $5.782019 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ AUTOWATCH
- $6.002019 Bowman Draft RYAN JENSEN 1ST BOWMAN CHROME Autograph Prospect Auto #CDA-RJWATCH
- $8.992019 Bowman Chrome Draft Ryan Jensen Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-RJ Chicago CubsWATCH
- $9.982019 Bowman Chrome Draft RYAN JENSEN 1st Rookie AUTO #CDA-RJ Minnesota Twins RCWATCH
- —Ryan Jensen 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Auto WATCH
- —2019 Bowman Draft RYAN JENSEN 1ST BOWMAN CHROME Autograph Prospect Auto #CDA-RJWATCH
- —2019 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Ryan JensenWATCH
- $15.022019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor 103/150 Ryan Jensen Auto u6mWATCH
- $15.022019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor /150 Ryan Jensen Auto 13c1WATCH
- $17.322019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor /150 Ryan Jensen Auto tx9WATCH
- $19.622019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto tx9WATCH
- $31.112019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor 5/150 Ryan Jensen Auto 2g6WATCH
- $7.812019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 4l3WATCH
- $7.812019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 4l3WATCH
- $11.512019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto sc2WATCH
- $13.752019 Bowman Draft Chrome Class of 2019 20/250 Ryan Jensen #C19A-RJ Auto 0c6WATCH
- $13.872019 Bowman Draft Chrome Class of 2019 194/250 Ryan Jensen #C19A-RJ Auto 6o3WATCH
- $16.572019 Bowman Draft Chrome Class of 2019 70/250 Ryan Jensen #C19A-RJ Auto 2a9WATCH
- $17.322019 Bowman Draft Chrome Class of 2019 24/250 Ryan Jensen #C19A-RJ Auto 0p45WATCH
- $9.102019 Bowman Draft Chrome Autographs Ryan Jensen Refractor Auto RC 008/499WATCH
- $9.262019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 124/499 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 2a9WATCH
- $10.942019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 77/499 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 10noWATCH
- $13.872019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Refractor /499 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto v9tWATCH
- $14.672019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 299/499 Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 0c6WATCH
- $3.752019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Autographs Ryan Jensen Auto Chicago Cubs #CDA-RJWATCH
- $7.262019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto qh5WATCH
- $7.462019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 0u79WATCH
- $7.542019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 0j5iWATCH
- $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 0au4WATCH
- $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto sc2WATCH
- $12.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Jensen #CDA-RJ Auto 4l3WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run