Jonathan Hernández
SP · Oklahoma City Comets · Oklahoma City Comets · Triple-A · 30.0y · #6116 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Tue 11:45 PM at Round Rock Express
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
21 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
43 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Jonathan Hernández scores 21 out of 100 (#6116 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: stuff: above average — 24.6% K — strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners Better than 62% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -4.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 8% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
The signal
Old for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 8% of the players there.
Stuff: above average
24.6% K — strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners Better than 62% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 30.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
4 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Age for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 8% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /25 at $17.99 costs 2.09× base, and print run alone suggests 3.00×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
43 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 43 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 37 are under "The whole live market".
Jonathan Hernandez 2019 Bowman Chrome 🔥 Auto 1st Bowman Speckle /299 🔥 Rangers
/299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 920d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Auto /499 Refractor 1st Rangers
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 469d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
modeled ~$7.53
WATCH
JONATHAN HERNANDEZ 2019 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR RC AUTO 297/499 #CDA-JH
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 427d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.99
modeled ~$7.50
WATCH
2019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Speckle Refractor /299
/299 · BGS 9.5 · listed 120d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$14.99
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Speckle Refractor /299
/299 · BGS 9.5 · listed 120d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$14.99
no sold price
WATCH
2019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Speckle Refractor /299
/299 · BGS 9.5 · listed 120d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$14.99
no sold price
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.60 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- SpeckleTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.64 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.42 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +74%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.97 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
25 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 907 pitchers at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 907 pitchers at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
24.6% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
52
average · better than 56% at his level
12.3% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
49
average · better than 45% at his level
12.3% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.97 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
49
average · better than 48% at his level · context, not a skill
23.1 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
36
well below · better than 8% at his level · context, not a skill
-4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 54th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 19th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 95% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 54 and his run prevention sits at 19, a gap of +35. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 907 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 95th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 907 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
114
IP
23.1
ERA
5.01
WHIP
1.97
K-BB%
12.3
better than 56%
K%
24.6
BB%
12.3
HR9
1.54
GS
0
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — 13.5% to 12.3% K-BB — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
K-BB%
13.5%→12.3%
Strikeouts
25.0%→24.6%
Walks
11.5%→12.3%
WHIP
1.25▲1.97
ERA
2.25▲5.01
Last season, 52 batters faced — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market43 listed · 43 eBay-verified · 37 not shown above
- Listings
- 43
- Lowest seen
- $5.99
- Median ask
- $11.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.99
43 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 2 hours ago.
The other 37 cards
- $14.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Speckle Refractor /299WATCH
- $14.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Speckle Refractor /299WATCH
- $14.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Speckle Refractor /299WATCH
- $15.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Purple Refractor /250WATCH
- $15.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Purple Refractor /250WATCH
- $17.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 10 Auto Blue Refractor /150WATCH
- $17.992019 Bowman Chrome Auto Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 Green Shimmer Refractor /99WATCH
- $17.992019 Bowman Chrome Auto Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9 Orange Shimmer Refractor /25WATCH
- $19.992019 Bowman Chrome Auto Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9.5 Orange Shimmer Refractor /25WATCH
- $8.602019 Jonathan Hernandez Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JH (D638)WATCH
- $9.602019 Jonathan Hernandez Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-JH (D633)WATCH
- —2019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Auto /5 Red Refractor #CPA-JHWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9.5 10 AutoWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9.5 10 AutoWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9.5 10 AutoWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9.5 10 AutoWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9.5 10 AutoWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9.5 10 AutoWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9.5 10 AutoWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9 10 Auto Speckle Refractor /299WATCH
- $19.992019 Bowman Chrome Auto Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 10 PRISTINEWATCH
- $8.642019 Jonathan Hernandez 1st Bowman Chrome ON CARD AUTO SPECKLE💥100/299💥 CPA-JHWATCH
- $11.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez BGS 9 10 Auto Refractor /499WATCH
- $10.972019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 61/250 Jonathan Hernandez Auto 09xyWATCH
- $15.022019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 46/250 Jonathan Hernandez Auto 0b3WATCH
- $17.022019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 105/250 Jonathan Hernandez Auto 5h0WATCH
- $17.322019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 34/250 Jonathan Hernandez Auto s3gWATCH
- $22.772019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 164/250 Jonathan Hernandez Auto 7i2WATCH
- $10.422019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Jonathan Hernandez Auto 11qyWATCH
- $9.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9 10 AutoWATCH
- $9.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9 10 AutoWATCH
- $9.992019 Bowman Chrome Jonathan Hernandez Texas Rangers BGS 9 10 AutoWATCH
- $7.432019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 18/499 Jonathan Hernandez #CPA-JH Auto 2s1WATCH
- $7.532019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Jonathan Hernandez #CPA-JH Auto 06n6WATCH
- $8.122019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Jonathan Hernandez #CPA-JH Auto 15ttWATCH
- $9.562019 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 98/499 Jonathan Hernandez #CPA-JH Auto 2a9WATCH
- —2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Jonathan Hernandez Green Auto /99 RangersPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run