Alex Faedo
SP · Salt Lake Bees · Salt Lake Bees · Triple-A · 30.0y · #6982 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Wed 1:45 AM at Sacramento River Cats
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
14 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Alex Faedo scores 14 out of 100 (#6982 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 30.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 57 batters faced this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Old for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 8% of the players there.
Control: below average
14.0% BB — walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 30.0 is old for a prospect card.
K-BB% improving
0.0% last season to 8.8% this one.
Strikeouts improving
20.7% last season to 22.8% this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
57 batters faced this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Age for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 8% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /150 at $11.34 costs 1.42× base, and print run alone suggests 1.50×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
20 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".
2017 Bowman Chrome Alex Faedo 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 23/499 Tigers
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 456d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.98
modeled ~$7.97
WATCH
2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Alex Faedo BGS 9.5 Auto 5j0
/250 · BGS 9.5 · listed 20d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$29.39
no sold price
WATCH
2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Refractor /50 Alex Faedo BGS 9.5 Auto 0c6
/50 · BGS 9.5 · listed 9d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$82.29
no sold price
WATCH
2017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Refractor /50 Alex Faedo BGS 9 MINT Auto 0c6
/50 · BGS 9 · listed 9d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$83.44
no sold price
WATCH
2017 Bowman Chrome Alex Faedo 1st Bowman On Card Auto Autograph
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 411d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.99
modeled ~$3.00
WATCH
Alex Faedo 2017 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Signed Autographed Card #CDA-AF PSA
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$55.99
no sold price
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.50 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -6%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.34, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.34 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.32 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +53%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $81.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $81.72 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +372%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 907 pitchers at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 47 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 907 pitchers at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
50
average · better than 51% at his level
22.8% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
47
average · better than 40% at his level
8.8% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level
14.0% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.70 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level · context, not a skill
12.1 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
36
well below · better than 8% at his level · context, not a skill
-4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 41th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 34th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 41 and his run prevention sits at 34, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 907 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 67th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 907 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
57
IP
12.1
ERA
4.38
WHIP
1.70
K-BB%
8.8
better than 40%
K%
22.8
BB%
14.0
HR9
0.73
GS
0
Is this player getting better?
Missing more bats and walking fewer batters than last season — 0.0% up to 8.8% K-BB — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
K-BB%
0.0%▲8.8%
Strikeouts
20.7%▲22.8%
Walks
20.7%▼14.0%
WHIP
1.58▲1.70
ERA
5.68▼4.38
Last season, 29 batters faced — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
- Listings
- 20
- Lowest live
- $7.50
- Median ask
- $12.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $7.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $12.98
20 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.
The other 13 cards
- $81.722017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Wave Refractor 1/50 Alex Faedo Auto 0c6WATCH
- $69.642017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Alex Faedo #CDA-AF BGS 9.5 GEM MINT Auto 01wqWATCH
- $11.342017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto 03j5WATCH
- $17.322017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor 147/150 Alex Faedo Auto 1t0hWATCH
- $30.532017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor Alex Faedo BGS 9 MINT Auto 0sp7WATCH
- $30.532017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor Alex Faedo BGS 9 Auto 0sp7WATCH
- $7.502017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 113/499 Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto 13iqWATCH
- $7.972017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 393/499 Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto 0sp7WATCH
- $8.122017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 151/499 Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto q3oWATCH
- $9.272017 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 137/499 Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto 0c6WATCH
- $8.052017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto 4l3WATCH
- $8.122017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto 0o4tWATCH
- $10.422017 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Alex Faedo #CDA-AF Auto nd3WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run