Ty Floyd
SP · Dayton Dragons · Dayton Dragons · High-A · 25.0y · #5784 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Today 11:05 PM vs West Michigan Whitecaps
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
24 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
24 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Ty Floyd scores 24 out of 100 (#5784 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: moved up and held it — Low-A to High-A.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -2.0y vs his level at High-A puts him younger than only 20% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
The signal
Old for the level
-2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than only 20% of the players there.
Control: below average
17.1% BB — walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
K-BB% slipping
18.3% last season to 6.7% this one.
Strikeouts slipping
28.4% last season to 23.8% this one.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Age for the level
-2.0y vs his level at High-A puts him younger than only 20% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-TF — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-TF
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Draft Ty Floyd Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-TF Reds PSA 10 at $36.75, 110% over the $17.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $17.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
24 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 23 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 17 are under "The whole live market".
Ty Floyd BLUE Refractor /150 AUTO 1st Bowman 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 995d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$283.13
modeled ~$3.25
WATCH
2024 Bowman Chrome Ty Floyd 1st Auto Cincinnati Reds #CDA-TF
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 102h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.79
modeled ~$3.00
WATCH
2023 1st Bowman Chrome Rookie RC Auto TY Floyd #CDA-TF CINCINNATI REDS
Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 281d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 102h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.81
modeled ~$3.00
WATCH
2023 Bowman Draft Ty Floyd 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDATF Cincinnati Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 102h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.50
modeled ~$3.00
WATCH
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome TY FLOYD RC AUTO #CDA-TF 1st Bowman
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 409d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 102h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.24
modeled ~$3.25
WATCH
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Ty Floyd 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-TF Cincinnati Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 85d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 102h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$15.98
modeled ~$3.00
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Ty Floyd, just what the money can do today.
- Alessander De La Cruzbase$9.99Watch23% under fair value
Compared within $4.89–$10.28, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.75 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.79, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.79 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.32 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +77%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $283.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $283.13 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1535%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.57 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -88%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $46.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $46.07 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +33%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 620 pitchers at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 47 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 620 pitchers at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
51
average · better than 55% at his level
23.8% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
46
below average · better than 35% at his level
6.7% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level
17.1% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.32 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
49
average · better than 45% at his level · context, not a skill
25.0 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level · context, not a skill
-2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 38th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 75th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 95% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 38 and his run prevention sits at 75, a gap of -37. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 620 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 5th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.2 / 10
- old for High-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 620 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
105
IP
25.0
ERA
3.60
WHIP
1.32
K-BB%
6.7
better than 35%
K%
23.8
BB%
17.1
HR9
0.72
GS
6
Is this player getting better?
Down from 18.3% to 6.7% K-BB, but that came with a move up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
K-BB%
18.3%▼6.7%
Strikeouts
28.4%▼23.8%
Walks
10.1%▲17.1%
WHIP
0.90▲1.32
ERA
3.25▲3.60
Last season, 109 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market24 listed · 0 eBay-verified · 17 not shown above
- Listings
- 24
- Lowest seen
- $9.79
- Median ask
- $15.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $9.79
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $283.13
0 eBay-verified
The other 17 cards
- $20.002023 Bowman Draft Chrome TY FLOYD 1st RC Prospect Auto Reds JP1WATCH
- $21.992023 Bowman Draft Chrome Ty Floyd 1st Bowman AutoWATCH
- $46.072023 Bowman Chrome Draft Sapphire Prospect Green 37/99 Ty Floyd Auto 09anWATCH
- —2023 Bowman Draft Ty Floyd CDA-TF Chrome 1st Auto Cincinatti RedsWATCH
- —Ty Floyd 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-TF Chrome 1st AUTOWATCH
- —TY FLOYD 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO RC CINCINNATI REDS #CDA-TF ROOKIEWATCH
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Prospect 1st Auto Ty Floyd #CDA-TF AutoWATCH
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-TF Ty Floyd 1st RC AUTO Cincinnati RedsWATCH
- —Ty Floyd 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CDA-TFWATCH
- $34.572023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor /150 Ty Floyd Auto 09anWATCH
- $17.322023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 238/499 Ty Floyd #CDA-TF Auto 6o3WATCH
- $28.822023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 413/499 Ty Floyd #CDA-TF Auto 1p3oWATCH
- $10.752023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ty Floyd #CDA-TF Auto 1u5yWATCH
- $10.762023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ty Floyd #CDA-TF Auto pe8WATCH
- $11.512023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ty Floyd #CDA-TF Auto bn5WATCH
- $13.012023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ty Floyd #CDA-TF Auto nd3WATCH
- $36.752023 Bowman Draft Ty Floyd Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-TF Reds PSA 10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run