Bowman Sniper

JJ Goss

SP · Midland RockHounds · Midland RockHounds · Double-A · 25.0y · #7510 of 7,942 we rate

Next: Wed 12:05 AM at San Antonio Missions

The player
LONG SHOT

8 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

39 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

JJ Goss scores 8 out of 100 (#7510 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: pitcher — injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

The signal

  • Stuff: well below

    15.6% K — strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners

  • K-BB% slipping

    11.9% last season to 4.8% this one.

  • Strikeouts slipping

    19.4% last season to 15.6% this one.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Pitcher

    Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 6 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /150 at $5.49 costs 1.29× base, and print run alone suggests 1.50×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

39 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 38 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 32 are under "The whole live market".

  • JJ Goss 2020 Bowman 1st Auto Chrome Autograph Mojo Refractor Green Rays #/99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 151d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    no sold price

    WATCH

  • JJ Goss 2020 Bowman 1st Auto Chrome Autograph Mojo Refractor Blue Rays #/150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 316d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.49

    no sold price

    WATCH

  • 2019 BOWMAN CHROME JJ GOSS 1st AUTO BLUE WAVE REFRACTOR RC #/150 TAMPA BAY RAYS

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 779d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.98

    modeled ~$12.50

    WATCH

  • JJ GOSS 2019 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO /250 Tampa Bay Rays

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1098d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $19.98

    modeled ~$7.00

    WATCH

  • 2019 BOWMAN CHROME REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTO JJ GOSS RAYS

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 686d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $4.99

    modeled ~$7.50

    WATCH

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft JJ Goss 1st Refractor Auto RC #/499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 61d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$7.50

    WATCH

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +89%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -38%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +155%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -45%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +174%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 567 pitchers at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 44 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 567 pitchers at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Stuff

    Does he miss bats?

    38

    well below · better than 11% at his level

    15.6% K

    strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners

  • Command

    Bats missed AND strikes thrown?

    42

    below average · better than 21% at his level

    4.8% K-BB

    strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • Control

    Does he give away bases?

    52

    average · better than 56% at his level

    10.8% BB

    walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound

  • Run prevention

    Do the runs stay off the board?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.55 WHIP

    walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too

  • Workload

    Is he carrying a starter's innings?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    51.2 IP

    innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 29th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 46th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 81% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 29 and his run prevention sits at 46, a gap of -17. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 566 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 19th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.9 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A
  • pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 567 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

BF

231

IP

51.2

ERA

5.23

WHIP

1.55

K-BB%

4.8

better than 21%

K%

15.6

BB%

10.8

HR9

0.87

GS

2

Is this player getting better?

Down from 11.9% to 4.8% K-BB this season.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

K-BB%

11.9%4.8%

Strikeouts

19.4%15.6%

Walks

7.5%10.8%

WHIP

1.031.55

ERA

3.385.23

Last season, 160 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market39 listed · 39 eBay-verified · 32 not shown above
Listings
39

39 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.24
Median ask
$8.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.24
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$4.99

Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.

The other 32 cards

  • $23.98JJ Goss 2019 Bowman Chrome Auto Rookie Blue #d 15/150 PSA 9 Tampa Bay RaysWATCH
  • $24.792019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG PSA 10 GEM MT Auto d1sWATCH
  • $30.252020 Bowman JJ Goss Chrome Prospect Auto Mega Box Mojo Refractor #BMA-JJG PSA 10WATCH
  • $4.242019 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-JJG JJ Goss 1st Auto RaysWATCH
  • $4.52JJ Goss AUTO RC 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st BowmanWATCH
  • $4.742019 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO JJ GOSS RAYSWATCH
  • $4.94🚨2019 JJ Goss 1st Bowman ⚾️CHROME ON CARD AUTO! 🚨 FREE SHIPPING!🚨 T B Rays🚨WATCH
  • $4.99JJ Goss 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Rays Prospect WATCH
  • $8.00(2) 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft JJ Goss 1st Rookie Auto + 2020 Mojo Refractor AutoWATCH
  • $10.402019 Bowman Chrome Draft JJ Goss Prospect Auto #CDA-JJG - Tampa 1st round DPWATCH
  • $13.992019 Bowman Draft Chrome JJ Goss Auto Tampa Bay Rays #BDC-61 1st Card SignedWATCH
  • $13.99JJ GOSS 2019 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-JJGWATCH
  • $15.022019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 84/99 JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto u6mWATCH
  • JJ Goss 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Baseball Prospect Autograph Rookie RC AutoWATCH
  • JJ Goss 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-JJG 🔥 Auto 1st Bowman 🔥 Rays ProspectWATCH
  • 2019 Bowman Draft JJ Goss 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto #CDA-JJG - RaysWATCH
  • 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st JJ Goss Auto #CPA-JJG Tampa Bay RaysWATCH
  • $4.25JJ Goss 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Baseball Prospect Autograph Rookie RC AutoWATCH
  • $12.722019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 195/250 JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 6o3WATCH
  • $7.142019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Refractor /499 JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 0hrWATCH
  • $7.822019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Refractor 447/499 JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 2a9WATCH
  • $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 312/499 JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 0qb8WATCH
  • $6.972019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 4k8WATCH
  • $6.972019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 4k8WATCH
  • $7.202019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto v9tWATCH
  • $7.262019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto qh5WATCH
  • $7.532019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 00lzWATCH
  • $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 13c1WATCH
  • $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 13c1WATCH
  • $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto 0lj0WATCH
  • $10.422019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto d1sWATCH
  • $17.322019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick JJ Goss #CDA-JJG Auto ni4WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player