Helcris Olivárez
SP · Omaha Storm Chasers · Omaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A · 26.0y · #6807 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Tue 11:35 PM vs St. Paul Saints
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
15 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
53 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Helcris Olivárez scores 15 out of 100 (#6807 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: command risk — command grades 34 on the 20–80 scale (-7.7% K-BB). strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
The signal
Control: bottom of the scale
27.4% BB — walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
K-BB% slipping
5.4% last season to -7.7% this one.
Strikeouts slipping
29.8% last season to 19.7% this one.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Command risk
Command grades 34 on the 20–80 scale (-7.7% K-BB). strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HO — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 32 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 38 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HO
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 32 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2021 BOWMAN CHROME HELCRIS OLIVAREZ CPA-HO 1ST BLUE MEGA REFRACTOR AUTO 26/150 at $8.49, 226% over the $2.60 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/150 at or under $2.60 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
53 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 53 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 47 are under "The whole live market".
Helcris Olivarez - 2021 Bowman Chrome Green Sapphire Auto /99 1st Bowman
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 145d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.24
no sold price
WATCH
HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 1st AUTO 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft GREEN PURPLE REFRACTORS #/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 459d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.50
no sold price
WATCH
2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Helcris Olivarez No. CPA-HO Blue Mega Auto /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 319d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.94
modeled ~$11.45
WATCH
Helcris Olivarez 52/150 - 2021 Bowman Chrome Mega 1st Bowman Auto Blue
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 102d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$11.45
WATCH
2021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez 1st Auto BLUE MOJO REFRACTOR 39/150 CPA-HO
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 154d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
WATCH
HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR RC AUTO 119/299 #HO
/299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 427d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 95h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.99
modeled ~$5.00
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.36, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.36 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.73, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.73 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +275%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.94 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -58%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.49 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +43%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.50 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +94%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.24 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -62%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 37 on the 20–80 scale, against 907 pitchers at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 37 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 907 pitchers at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level
19.7% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level
-7.7% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
31
bottom of the scale · better than 3% at his level
27.4% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level · the result, not a skill
2.15 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
31.2 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 13th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 13th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 13 and his run prevention sits at 13, a gap of 0. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 907 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 51th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 907 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
157
IP
31.2
ERA
7.39
WHIP
2.15
K-BB%
-7.7
better than 5%
K%
19.7
BB%
27.4
HR9
0.85
GS
0
Is this player getting better?
Down from 5.4% to -7.7% K-BB this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
K-BB%
5.4%▼-7.7%
Strikeouts
29.8%▼19.7%
Walks
24.4%▲27.4%
WHIP
1.67▲2.15
ERA
4.00▲7.39
Last season, 131 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market53 listed · 53 eBay-verified · 47 not shown above
- Listings
- 53
- Lowest live
- $3.36
- Median ask
- $6.14
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.36
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $3.73
53 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.
The other 47 cards
- —2021 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Helcris Olivarez Sparkle /299 Colorado Rockies CPAHOWATCH
- $3.732021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez 1st Bowman On-Card Auto Refractor #/499WATCH
- $4.29HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 2021 Bowman Chrome REFRACTOR ~ Rockies 1st RC AUTO /499WATCH
- $13.62Helcris Olivarez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Refractor RC AUTO /499 #CRA-HOWATCH
- $18.982021 Bowman Chrome - Helcris Olivarez - Auto Refractor #'d 459/499 1st RC WATCH
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez Refractor 1st Prospect Auto # /499 RockiesWATCH
- $3.362021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez HO 1st Prospect Auto Colorado Rockies TZ 8CWATCH
- $3.362021 Bowman Chrome HELCRIS OLIVAREZ Colorado Rockies 1st Chrome Auto B TZ 8CWATCH
- $3.492021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospects Baseball CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez Auto AutographWATCH
- $3.502021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez 1st Auto Colorado RockiesWATCH
- $3.502021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez Colorado Rockies 1st AutoWATCH
- $3.502021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez 1st Auto Colorado RockiesWATCH
- $3.63HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTO RC CPA-HO COLORADO ROCKIES SPWATCH
- $3.642021 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Helcris Olivarez Auto Colorado RockiesWATCH
- $3.742020 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez #CPA-HO 1st Bowma Auto! WATCH
- $4.512021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez 1st AUTO RockiesWATCH
- $4.772021 Bowman Chrome HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-HO Colorado RockiesWATCH
- $4.95Helcris Olivarez - 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Autograph - ON-CARD AUTOWATCH
- $4.952021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez 1st Bowman Auto Colorado RockiesWATCH
- $4.99HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC Colorado Rockies LOOK!!WATCH
- $4.99HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC Colorado Rockies LOOK!! 3WATCH
- $5.952021 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez Rockies AutographWATCH
- $6.102021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez 1st AutoWATCH
- $6.142021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez 1st Bowman Rookie RC Auto - RockiesWATCH
- $6.302021 Bowman Chrome 1st - Helcris Olivarez #CPA-HO Colorado Rockies - AUTOWATCH
- $6.50Helcris Olivarez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Base Auto RC Rockies A-230WATCH
- $6.642021 1st Bowman Chrome Baseball #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez AutoWATCH
- $7.372021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Helcris Olivarez Chrome Auto / #CPA-HO / RockiesWATCH
- $7.502021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez AUTO 1st CHROME ROCKIESWATCH
- $8.00Helcris Olivarez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Prospect Autograph Auto Rockies #2WATCH
- $8.00Helcris Olivarez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Prospect Autograph Auto Rockies #1WATCH
- $9.692021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-HOWATCH
- $10.962021 Helcris Olivarez 1st Auto Bowman Chrome # CPA-HO - Colorado RockiesWATCH
- $11.072021 Bowman Chrome Auto Helcris Olivarez Rockies Rookie RC 1st Bowman AutographWATCH
- $12.992021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-HO Colorado RockiesWATCH
- $13.99HELCRIS OLIVAREZ 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-HOWATCH
- $21.622021 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez Rockies Autograph MLBWATCH
- —Helcris Olivarez 2021 Bowman Chrome Autographs Auto 1st #CPA-HO Colorado RockiesWATCH
- —Helcris Olivarez - 2021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO 1st Prospect Auto Colorado RockiesWATCH
- —2021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez Prospect Auto 1stWATCH
- —Helcris Olivarez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto RockiesWATCH
- —2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Helcris Olivarez Colorado RockiesWATCH
- —2021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HO Helcris Olivarez 1st Bowman Rookie RC Auto - Rockies WATCH
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Helcris Olivarez 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-HO RockiesWATCH
- $8.122021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 302/499 Helcris Olivarez #CPA-HO Auto ni4WATCH
- $8.492021 BOWMAN CHROME HELCRIS OLIVAREZ CPA-HO 1ST BLUE MEGA REFRACTOR AUTO 26/150PASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome (2) Helcris Olivarez 1st Bowman AUTO (2 Base Autos)PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run