Juan Carela
SP · Double-A · 24.0y · #4944 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
29 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
41 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Blue… at $36.49. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Juan Carela scores 29 out of 100 (#4944 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JCA — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 14 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 15 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JCA
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 14 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /299 at $6.50 costs 1.63× base, and print run alone suggests 1.25×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
41 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 41 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 35 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Blue Refractor 1st Prospect Auto #/150 SGC 10
/150 · SGC 10 · listed 98d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$36.49
no sold price
WATCH
JUAN CARELA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO /499 SGC 9.5 Yankees 1st CPA-jca
/499 · SGC 9.5 · takes offers · listed 985d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
WATCH
PSA 9 Juan Carela 2023 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Purple /250 CPAJCA Mint
/250 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1075d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$29.99
no sold price
WATCH
JUAN CARELA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO SGC 10/10 Yankees 1st Cpa-jca
base · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 986d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
—
no sold price
WATCH
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st ATOMIC REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Juan Carela 076/100
/100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1115d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$302.50
no sold price
WATCH
JUAN CARELA 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor RC Autograph Auto #132/250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 543d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 81h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.24
modeled ~$8.50
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Lunar RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.01, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.01 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +276%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.50 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.24 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +42%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.52, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.52 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +209%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $302.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $302.50 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +961%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
10 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.7 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market41 listed · 41 eBay-verified · 35 not shown above
- Listings
- 41
- Lowest seen
- $3.99
- Median ask
- $13.24
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.99
41 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 8 hours ago.
The other 35 cards
- —JUAN CARELA 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st PURPLE AUTO /250 YankeesWATCH
- —2023 Bowman - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Juan Carela #CPA-JCA Purple /250WATCH
- —2023 Bowman 1st Chrome Juan Carela Purple Auto /250WATCH
- $6.502023 Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Juan Carela 1st Auto /299 #CPA-JCAWATCH
- $9.24JUAN CARELA 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor RC Autograph Auto #298/299WATCH
- $13.24JUAN CARELA 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor RC Autograph Auto #299/299WATCH
- $5.99JUAN CARELA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME REFRACTOR 1ST ROOKIE AUTO /499 YANKEESWATCH
- $9.952023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Bowman 1st Refractor auto /499 Yankees CPA-JCAWATCH
- $16.312023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Bowman 1st Refractor auto /499 Yankees CPA-JCAWATCH
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Bowman 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-JCAWATCH
- —Bowman 2023 Chrome Juan Carela RC Auto CPA-JCA Blue Refractor /150 PSA 9WATCH
- $3.992023 Bowman #CPA-JCA Juan Carela Chrome 1st Bowman Autograph AutoWATCH
- $4.31Juan Carela 2023 Bowman #CPA-JCA Chrome Auto Rookie 1st RCWATCH
- $4.902023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela CPA-JCA 1st Auto | New York YankeesWATCH
- $6.982023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Bowman 1st AutoWATCH
- $9.25Juan Carela 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospects Auto #CPA-JCA YankeesWATCH
- $13.99JUAN CARELA 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JCAWATCH
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela CPA-JCA 1st Auto | New York YankeesWATCH
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Juan Carela Yankees 1st Rookie #CPA-JCAWATCH
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autos 1st Juan Carela Auto Yankees CPA-JCAWATCH
- —Juan Carela 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto WATCH
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela #CPA-JCA 1st Bowman Auto New York YankeesWATCH
- —2023 1st Bowman Chrome Juan Carela On Card AutoWATCH
- —2023 1st Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Auto #CPA-JCA NY YankeesWATCH
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JCAWATCH
- —Juan Carela 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto RC CPA-JCA Yankees BW12WATCH
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Speckle /299 PSA 9 Juan Carela #CPA-JCAWATCH
- —2023 BOWMAN CHROME SGC 10 MINT JUAN CARELA WHITE SOX AUTO ROOKIE RC SGWATCH
- $28.522023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Juan Carela #CPA-JCA Auto 0hw6WATCH
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Juan Carela #CPA-JCA Yankees Chrome Prospect Auto /99 SGC 10WATCH
- $16.172023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Juan Carela #CPA-JCA Auto 05k6WATCH
- $39.992023 Bowman Chrome Juan Carela Prospect Auto PSA 9 YankeesWATCH
- $13.582023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 324/499 Juan Carela #CPA-JCA Auto 0c2tWATCH
- $15.012023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Lunar Crater Refractor Juan Carela Auto 00jzWATCH
- —2023 Bowman Juan Carela Chrome Prospect Auto Purple /250 PSA 9 1stPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run