Stiven Marinez
SS · Rookie · 19.0y · #104 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
79 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $12.98, over the $11.50–12.50 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Stiven… at $12.98. Needs a $4 drop.
Our take
Strong prospect, expensive market.
Stiven Marinez scores 79 out of 100 (#104 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 94 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $10–14 off 2 confirmed sales.
The player is not the problem here; the entry is. Waiting for a reset costs nothing while the baseball case is intact.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: benchmark not checklist-verified — his core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
The signal
Speed: plus-plus
94 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: plus-plus
.230 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 93% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (93th percentile); elite speed (97th percentile).
OPS improving
.799 last season to .989 this one.
Power improving
.100 last season to .230 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SMA — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$10.35–13.75midpoint $11.50
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SMA
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 BOWMAN CHROME STIVEN MARINEZ PRIME SUPERFRACTOR 1/1 AUTO AUTOGRAPH YANKEES at $5,030, 43639% over the $11.50–12.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
1/1 at or under $11.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $4 drop
- Player not there yet
- Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Stiven… at or under $9.20 delivered.
What is for sale right now
24 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".
Stiven Marinez 2025 1st Bowman Auto Orange Sapphire /25 Au Rc Yankees (CPA-SM)
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $18.63–57.75
WATCH
2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Stiven Marinez 1st Bowman Auto /25 Orange Sapphire
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 313d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $18.63–57.75
WATCH
2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez #CPA-SMA Red Shimmer Auto 3/5 1st Baltimore NY
/5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $18.63–57.75
WATCH
2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez 1st Auto, Gold Diamonds, /50, #CPA-SMA
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 67d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$304.50
modeled $14.90–46.20
WATCH
2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez 1st Auto, Gold Sapphire, /50, #CPSA-SMA
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 145d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$306.00
modeled $14.90–46.20
WATCH
2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez 1st Auto, Gold Diamonds, /50, #CPA-SMA
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 152d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$306.00
modeled $14.90–46.20
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Stiven Marinez, just what the money can do today.
- Cole Carriggbase$11.80Watch55% under fair value
Compared within $6.49–$13.63, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder14 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $27.67, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $27.67 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +113%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $135.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $135.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $38.88, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $38.88 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -71%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $64.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $64.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $56.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $56.49 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Gold /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.50 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $306.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $306.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5029.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5029.99 live
- Scarcity
- 1 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1544%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 62 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 62 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level
12.4% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level
.230 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
52
average · better than 56% at his level
16.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level
94 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
66
plus-plus · better than 94% at his level · the result, not a skill
.989 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 54% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 84th percentile of the cohort, production at the 94th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 84 and his production sits at 94, a gap of -10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 34th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.8 / 10
- hitting well — 0.989 OPS in 250 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
250
AVG
.315
OBP
.444
SLG
.545
OPS
.989
better than 94%
HR
8
SB
39
BB%
16.4
K%
12.4
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .799 up to .989 OPS.
Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.
OPS
.799▲.989
Power
.100▲.230
Walks
20.0%▼16.4%
Strikeouts
22.4%▼12.4%
Last season, 205 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for4 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
- 2026-08-26 — $65.00 plus $6.99 shipping · /99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
- 2026-08-26 — $49.99 plus $6.99 shipping · /199 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
- 2026-08-26 — $125.00 plus $7.99 shipping · /75 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
- 2026-08-26 — $34.99 plus $6.99 shipping · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market24 listed · 24 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
- Listings
- 24
- Lowest seen
- $12.98
- Median ask
- $65.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $12.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $56.49
24 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 18 cards
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez Yankees 1st Bowman Auto CPA-SMA /50WATCH
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez 1st bowman auto Gold Mini Diamond /50WATCH
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez 1st Auto, Gold Diamonds, /50, #CPA-SMAWATCH
- $56.49Stiven Marinez 2025 Bowman Chrome Green Refractor AUTO Yankees /99 RC 1st LavaWATCH
- $64.992025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto /150 Mojo Refractor Stiven MarinezWATCH
- $65.002025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez 1st Bowman HTA Choice Auto /150 NY YankeesWATCH
- —Stiven Marinez 1st Chrome Auto Mini Diamond /100 #BCP-189 2025 Bowman ChromeWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Stiven Marinez 1st Blue Reptilian Auto /150WATCH
- $12.98Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Stiven Marinez Auto #CPA-SMA YankeesWATCH
- —Stiven Marinez 2025 1st Bowman Auto Orange Wave /25 Au Rc Yankees (CPA-SM)PASS
- $38.882025 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor 122/199 Stiven Marinez #BMA-SR Auto 0b3oPASS
- $135.982025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 170/299 Stiven Marinez Auto 16wcPASS
- $27.672025 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Prospect Mojo Blue Refractor Stiven Marinez Auto yl0PASS
- $39.98Stiven Marinez 2025 Bowman Chrome #BMA-SR Chrome Prospect Mojo Auto 40/99 BGS-9WATCH
- $65.49Stiven Marinez 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9 YankeesWATCH
- $27.002025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez Auto 1st Prospect YankeesPASS
- $5029.992025 BOWMAN CHROME STIVEN MARINEZ PRIME SUPERFRACTOR 1/1 AUTO AUTOGRAPH YANKEES PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Stiven Marinez 1st Bowman AutoPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run