Patrick Forbes
SP · Hillsboro Hops · Hillsboro Hops · High-A · 22.0y · #311 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Wed 1:35 AM at Eugene Emeralds
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
74 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $15.99, over the $14 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Bowman Chrome 2025 1st Bowman Patrick…. Player not there yet.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Patrick Forbes scores 74 out of 100 (#311 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 86% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–10 off 2 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 95 batters faced this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 86% of the players there.
Command: plus-plus
28.4% K-BB — strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion Better than 95% at his level.
Stuff: plus-plus
34.7% K — strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners Better than 93% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
95 batters faced this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Pitcher
Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PF — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.93–9.50midpoint $8.64
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PF
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Patrick Forbes Auto #CPA-PF Diamondbacks at $22.90, 165% over the $3.26–8.64 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $3.26 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Patrick Forbes Purple Refractor Auto /250 SP PSA 10
/250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 6d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 112h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$207.99
no sold price
WATCH
2025 1st Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes * Green Sapphire * /99 Auto PSA 10 15/99
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 6d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 112h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$812.90
no sold price
WATCH
2025 Bowman Draft - Chrome Patrick Forbes Gold Wave Refractor Auto /50 PSA 9/10
/50 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 4d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$156.90
no sold price
WATCH
2025 Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes Sparkle On Card Auto /71 1st Bowman PSA 9
/71 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 22d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
WATCH
2025 1st Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes * True Purple * /250 Refractor Auto PSA 10
/250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 6d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$512.90
no sold price
WATCH
Patrick Forbes 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft CPA-PF Sparkle Refractor Auto 1st RC /71
/71 · raw · condition not stated · listed 187d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
$255.99
modeled $3.52–26.61
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Patrick Forbes, just what the money can do today.
- Alessander De La Cruzbase$9.99Watch23% under fair value
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $8.00–$16.79, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $31.12, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $31.12 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +95%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.90 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +112%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $80.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $80.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $255.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $255.99 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +216%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 65 on the 20–80 scale, against 620 pitchers at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 65 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 620 pitchers at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Stuff
Does he miss bats?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level
34.7% K
strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners
Command
Bats missed AND strikes thrown?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
28.4% K-BB
strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion
Control
Does he give away bases?
64
plus · better than 92% at his level
6.3% BB
walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound
Run prevention
Do the runs stay off the board?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · the result, not a skill
0.85 WHIP
walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too
Workload
Is he carrying a starter's innings?
49
average · better than 45% at his level · context, not a skill
24.2 IP
innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 93th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 95th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 93 and his run prevention sits at 95, a gap of -2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 620 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 47th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.7 / 10
- old for High-A
- pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 620 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
BF
95
IP
24.2
ERA
2.55
WHIP
0.85
K-BB%
28.4
better than 95%
K%
34.7
BB%
6.3
HR9
1.09
GS
9
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market22 listed · 0 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
- Listings
- 22
- Lowest seen
- $15.99
- Median ask
- $40.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $15.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $40.00
0 eBay-verified
The other 16 cards
- $80.99Bowman Chrome Patrick Forbes 1st Bowman Auto Green /99 #CPA-PF Diamondbacks 2025PASS
- $65.902025 Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes Chrome 1st Auto Blue Wave Refractor #/150PASS
- —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Patrick Forbes Auto Blue Wave/150 CPA-PF (RC)PASS
- $15.99🔥2025 Bowman Draft - Patrick Forbes 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-PF DiamondbacksWATCH
- $16.492025 Bowman Chrome Draft Patrick Forbes Auto 1st #CPA-PF Arizona DiamondbacksWATCH
- $40.002025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Patrick Forbes Refractor Auto /499 Rookie RC SPPASS
- $17.902025 Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes 1st Bowman Chrome AutoWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-PF DiamondbacksPASS
- —Patrick Forbes 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC #CPAPF - Diamondbacks RookiePASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes #CPA-PF 1st Bowman Auto Sparkle /71PASS
- $31.122025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 233/499 Patrick Forbes Auto 1b03PASS
- $39.742025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 496/499 Patrick Forbes Auto 0y2qPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Patrick Forbes 1st Bowman True Orange Refractor Auto /25 POP 1PASS
- $21.962025 Bowman Chrome Patrick Forbes 1st Auto #CPA-PF DIAMONDBACKSPASS
- $22.902025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Patrick Forbes Auto #CPA-PF DiamondbacksPASS
- —Bowman Chrome 2025 1st Bowman Patrick Forbes Prospect Auto #CPA-PF DBacksPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run