Josh Knoth
SP · High-A · 21.0y · #2958 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
45 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
7 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2026 Bowman - Josh Knoth - 1st Bowman Auto…. Player not there yet.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Josh Knoth scores 45 out of 100 (#2958 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
No rung of his has both a live ask and a confirmed sold value, so there is no measured entry today.
$16.40 delivered on his closest listing is where the evidence would support a buy.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
7 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 7 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 1 are under "The whole live market".
JOSH KNOTH 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BLUE X-FRACTOR AUTO /150 #CPA-JK BREWERS
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 81h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $36
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Josh Knoth Auto Gold Shimmer Refractor 24/50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
$306.84
modeled $14.40–24
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Josh Knoth 1st Auto Yellow X-fractor /75 Brewers
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 86h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $12–20
PASS
2026 Bowman #CPA-JK Josh Knoth 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 81h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $15
PASS
Topps Bowman Chrome 2026 Josh Knoth CPA-JK Refractor Auto /499 Rookie
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
sold $15
PASS
JOSH KNOTH 1ST BOWMAN AUTO BOWMAN LOGOFRACTOR /35
/35 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — the year
$180.17
modeled $31.30–57.60
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Josh Knoth, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$186.98Watch30% under fair value
- Walker Jenkinsbase$179.97Watch32% under fair value
- Walker Jenkinsbase$179.97Watch32% under fair value
Compared within $90.08–$189.18, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $180.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $180.17 live
- Scarcity
- 35 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $306.84, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $306.84 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +70%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.5 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $60.00 · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market7 listed · 7 eBay-verified · 1 not shown above
- Listings
- 7
- Lowest seen
- $180.17
- Median ask
- $243.51
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $306.84
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $306.84
7 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 12 hours ago.
The other 1 card
- —2026 Bowman - Josh Knoth - 1st Bowman Auto - Chrome - Brewers /150PASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run