David Guzman
CF · New Hampshire Fisher Cats · Double-A · 20.0y · #1883 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
81 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN DAVID GUZMAN… at $355. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
David Guzman scores 51 out of 100 (#1883 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 8 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
Plate discipline: bottom of the scale
0.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
8 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DGN — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 9 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 11 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DGN
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 9 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /150 at $6.55 costs 1.80× base, and print run alone suggests 1.50×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
81 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 81 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 75 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-DGN Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 437d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.64
modeled ~$18.41
WATCH
2024 Bowman David Guzman #CPA-DGN Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 58d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 82h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.99
modeled ~$18.41
WATCH
2024 Bowman Chrome DAVID GUZMAN 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-DGN Toronto Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 345d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.50
modeled ~$18.41
WATCH
David Guzman 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CPA-DGN Blue Jays
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 712d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 82h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.57
modeled ~$18.41
WATCH
2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO DAVID GUZMAN BLUE JAYS
Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 241d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.74
modeled ~$18.41
WATCH
2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman Auto 1st #CPA-DGN
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 101d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 82h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.78
modeled ~$19.38
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder16 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.78 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- BlueTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.64 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -24%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.78 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +169%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Sparkle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +74%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.84, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.84 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +104%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.50 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.61, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.61 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -42%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.55, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.55 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Lunar Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +159%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.73, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.73 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -41%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -33%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Wave /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $315.15, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $315.15 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +3055%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $354.51, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $354.51 live
- Scarcity
- 10 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +13%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 43 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 43 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
51
average · better than 53% at his level
25.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
47
average · better than 38% at his level
.125 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level
0.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level · the result, not a skill
.375 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 29th percentile of the cohort, production at the 5th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 86% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 29 and his production sits at 5, a gap of +24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 86th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.4 / 10
- already at Double-A
- young for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
8
AVG
.125
OBP
.125
SLG
.250
OPS
.375
better than 5%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
0.0
K%
25.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market81 listed · 81 eBay-verified · 75 not shown above
- Listings
- 81
- Lowest live
- $3.64
- Median ask
- $12.22
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.64
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.55
81 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 15 hours ago.
The other 75 cards
- $4.992024 Bowman Chrome DAVID GUZMAN 1st Prospect Auto - BLUE JAYSWATCH
- $5.442024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-DGN David GuzmanWATCH
- $5.75David Guzman 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-DGM Blue JaysWATCH
- $5.892024 Bowman Draft Chrome David Guzman #CPA-DGN 1st Prospect Auto Blue Jays SPWATCH
- $6.552024 Bowman David Guzman Chrome Auto Choice 1st Prospect #/150 Blue JaysWATCH
- $6.84DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor RC Autograph Auto #383/499WATCH
- $6.942024 Bowman 1st Chrome David Guzman Auto Prospect #CPA-DGN Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- $6.952024 Bowman David Guzman Chrome Auto #CPA-DGN 1st Prospect Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- $7.142024 Bowman - David Guzman- 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-DGN 💎WATCH
- $7.502024 Bowman David Guzman 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- $9.612024 BOWMAN CHROME DAVID GUZMAN RC AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR #D 243/250 TORONTO 1STWATCH
- $9.782024 Bowman David Guzman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor /499 Blue JaysWATCH
- $9.99David Guzman 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Green Grass Refractor Auto /99 CPA-DGNWATCH
- $10.98DAVID GUZMAN 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST HTA CHOICE AUTOGRAPH AUTO /150WATCH
- $11.002024 1st Bowman Chrome DAVID GUZMAN Base Auto CPA-DGN Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- $11.112024 BOWMAN CHROME DAVID GUZMAN ON CARD AUTO 1ST BLUE JAYSWATCH
- $11.202024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman CPA-DGN 1st Bowman Auto Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- $11.73DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1stWATCH
- $11.882024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Auto #CPA-DGN Blue JaysWATCH
- $12.002024 Bowman 1st Chrome David Guzman Prospect #CPA-DGN Auto Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- $12.432024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Prospect Auto / #CPA-DGN / Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- $13.23DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 196/499 1stWATCH
- $13.23DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 280/499 1stWATCH
- $13.50(2) DAVID GUZMAN 2024 1st BOWMAN CHROME AUTOGRAPH BASE AUTOWATCH
- $13.742024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Green Grass Refractor Auto /99 Blue JaysWATCH
- $13.98DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Speckle Refractor Auto 145/299 1stWATCH
- $13.98DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto 87/250 1stWATCH
- $13.99DAVID GUZMAN 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR RC AUTO PARALLEL 379/499 #CPA-DGNWATCH
- $13.99DAVID GUZMAN 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-DGNWATCH
- $13.99DAVID GUZMAN 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-DGNWATCH
- $14.992024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Auto Green Grass /99 Rookie RC 🔥📈WATCH
- $15.042024 Bowman Chrome- David Guzman Green Grass 1st Refractor Auto /99 #CPA-DGNWATCH
- $16.502024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DGN David Guzman 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250WATCH
- $16.602024 David Guzman Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Auto RC 8/299 (H1670)WATCH
- $16.982024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Auto /299 Blue Sparkle Refractor - ProspectWATCH
- $16.98DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Blue Lunar Refractor Auto 117/150 1stWATCH
- $18.732024 BOWMAN CHROME DAVID GUZMAN RC AUTO BLUE REFRACTOR #D 074/150 TORONTO 1STWATCH
- $19.68DAVID GUZMAN (4) 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto 1stWATCH
- $20.002024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman Auto PSA 9WATCH
- $20.182024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 David Guzman Auto 1q4hWATCH
- $29.972024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 235/250 David Guzman Auto 0rd2WATCH
- $34.572024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 417/499 David Guzman #CPA-DGN Auto 9e1WATCH
- $40.892024 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor David Guzman SGC 10 Auto 11fiWATCH
- $59.992024 Bowman David Guzman Chrome Auto Gold Refractor 1st Prospect 12/50 PSA 9WATCH
- $315.152024 Bowman David Guzman 1st Chrome Prospect Orange Wave Auto 10/25 #CPA-DGNWATCH
- $354.512024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN DAVID GUZMAN PEARL REFRACTOR AUTO #/10WATCH
- —David Guzman 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Speckle /299 PSA 9WATCH
- —David Guzman 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO ORANGE Shimmer Blue Jays #d /25WATCH
- —2024 Bowman David Guzman 1st Chrome Prospect Orange Wave Auto 8/25 #CPADGN PSA10WATCH
- —DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome ORANGE SHIMMER REFRACTOR AUTO 1st Bowman #04/25WATCH
- —DAVID GUZMAN 2024 BOWMAN #CPA-DGN CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT BLUE JAYSWATCH
- —RC 1st Auto DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect: Blue JaysWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman Green Lava Refractor 1st Auto #34/99 Blue JaysWATCH
- —🔥2024 Bowman Chrome HTA Choice Refractor AUTO /150 David Guzman PSA 10 💎WATCH
- —David Guzman 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Grass Auto /99 PSA 10 Blue JaysWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-DGN David Guzman (BLUE JAYS) 1st BowmanWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Prospect Auto Blue JaysWATCH
- —2024 Bowman David Guzman Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-DGN Blue JaysWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto (F590)WATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto David Guzman #CPA-DGN 1st BowmanWATCH
- —DAVID GUZMAN 2024 Bowman Chrome Green Lava Refractor Auto 97/99 1st Blue Jays WATCH
- —2024 Bowman David Guzman Chrome Auto Choice Mojo Refractor 1st /150 Blue JaysWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Speckle Refractor Auto 147/299WATCH
- — ● DAVID GUZMAN ●2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-DGM Blue Jays GET-IT WATCH
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome David Guzman Auto Refractor /499 Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome DAVID GUZMAN 1st Rookie Prospect Auto On-CardWATCH
- —David Guzman RC 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Jays ProspectWATCH
- —2024 Bowman - Chrome 1st Prospect Auto David Guzman #CPA-DGN Speckle RefractorWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman 1st Auto #CPA-DGN Toronto Blue JaysWATCH
- —DAVID GUZMAN 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO #137/250 Blue JaysWATCH
- —David Guzman 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-DGN Blue JaysWATCH
- —2024 Bowman Chrome David Guzman Base Auto Autograph Blue Jays 1st ProspectWATCH
- —2024 Bowman 1st Chrome David Guzman #CPA-DGN Rookie RC Auto Blue Jays 🔥WATCH
- —2024 Bowman 1st Chrome David Guzman #CPA-DGN Rookie RC Auto Blue Jays 🔥WATCH
- —David Guzman 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Refractor #CPA-DG - Blue Jays WATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run