Bowman Sniper

Alejandro Hidalgo

SP · St. Paul Saints · St. Paul Saints · Triple-A · 23.0y · #959 of 7,942 we rate

Next: Today 11:35 PM at Omaha Storm Chasers

The player
SOLID

61 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

36 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st… at $31.75. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Alejandro Hidalgo scores 61 out of 100 (#959 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: pitcher — injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.

  • Strikeouts slipping

    27.9% last season to 26.4% this one.

  • Command: above average

    15.4% K-BB — strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion Better than 71% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Triple-A.

  • Stuff: above average

    26.4% K — strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners Better than 69% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Pitcher

    Injury risk is materially higher and the resale market is smaller, which is why the strategy caps what share of a book pitchers can take.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 20 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 21 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AH

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 20 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $3.99 costs 1.46× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 333d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $2.74

    modeled ~$16.99

    WATCH

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st On-card Auto CPA-AH Angels

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 957d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 108h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.95

    modeled ~$16.99

    WATCH

  • Alejandro Hidalgo #'d /499 AUTO - 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Autograph REF

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1020d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 108h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.99

    modeled ~$34.99

    WATCH

  • 2022 1st Bowman Chrome ~ Alejandro Hidalgo ~ #CPA-AH ~ Angles ~ Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 386d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 107h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.23

    modeled ~$16.99

    WATCH

  • Alejandro Hidalgo - 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph - ON-CARD AUTO

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 758d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 108h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.75

    modeled ~$16.99

    WATCH

  • ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 Bowman Base 1st Chrome Auto Autograph #CPA-AH

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 38d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 107h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.00

    modeled ~$16.99

    WATCH

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.26, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +132%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +35%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.18, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -59%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $18.47, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +257%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $34.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +87%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 907 pitchers at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 907 pitchers at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Stuff

    Does he miss bats?

    55

    above average · better than 69% at his level

    26.4% K

    strikeout rate per batter faced — never per nine innings, which flatters a pitcher who allows more baserunners

  • Command

    Bats missed AND strikes thrown?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    15.4% K-BB

    strikeouts minus walks — the gap that survives a promotion

  • Control

    Does he give away bases?

    52

    average · better than 56% at his level

    11.0% BB

    walk rate, inverted — lower is better from the mound

  • Run prevention

    Do the runs stay off the board?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.57 WHIP

    walks and hits per inning, inverted — the result, and the defence behind him is in it too

  • Workload

    Is he carrying a starter's innings?

    54

    above average · better than 65% at his level · context, not a skill

    36.1 IP

    innings carried — a starter's bulk is worth what a reliever's is not

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    71

    plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 3 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 65th percentile of the cohort, run prevention at the 46th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 85% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 65 and his run prevention sits at 46, a gap of +19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 907 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 85th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.1 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • pitcher — more of them break down before they arrive

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 907 other pitchers at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

BF

163

IP

36.1

ERA

7.43

WHIP

1.57

K-BB%

15.4

better than 71%

K%

26.4

BB%

11.0

HR9

3.47

GS

0

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — 16.1% to 15.4% K-BB.

Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

K-BB%

16.1%15.4%

Strikeouts

27.9%26.4%

Walks

11.8%11.0%

WHIP

1.431.57

ERA

5.437.43

Last season, 280 batters faced. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market36 listed · 0 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
Listings
36

0 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.74
Median ask
$9.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.74
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$3.99

The other 30 cards

  • $5.092022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st Bowman Base Auto Los Angeles Angels RCWATCH
  • $5.182022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo Purple Refractor 1st Bowman Auto /250WATCH
  • $8.992022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st Prospect Auto CPA-AH Los Angeles AngelsWATCH
  • $9.262022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Alejandro Hidalgo #CPA-AH Auto 10yfWATCH
  • $9.75ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 Bowman True Refractor /499 1st Chrome Auto AutographWATCH
  • $9.98Alejandro Hidalgo, Angels: 2022 Topps Prospects Chrome 1st Bowman Autograph AutoWATCH
  • $9.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor #/250 Alejandro Hidalgo RC Auto #CPA-AHWATCH
  • $10.152022 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor Alejandro Hidalgo /499 MLB TWINSWATCH
  • $10.96ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-AH LOS ANGELES ANGELSWATCH
  • $11.25ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 Bowman Purple Refractor /250 1st Chrome Auto AutographWATCH
  • $12.50ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 Bowman Speckle Refractor /299 1st Chrome Auto AutographWATCH
  • $13.99ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-AHWATCH
  • $13.99ALEJANDRO HIDALGO AUTO 1st 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph Rookie Card RCWATCH
  • $15.982022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st Bowman Autograph #CPA-AH Angels AutoWATCH
  • $18.472022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 12/150 Alejandro Hidalgo Auto 1n8aWATCH
  • $24.782022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor Alejandro Hidalgo PSA 9 Auto 10yfWATCH
  • $27.672022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Alejandro Hidalgo Auto 09anWATCH
  • $31.75ALEJANDRO HIDALGO 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman On Card AUTO Angels RCWATCH
  • $34.562022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 69/75 Alejandro Hidalgo Auto 17niWATCH
  • Alejandro Hidalgo Auto #CPA-AH 2020 Bowman Chrome 1stWATCH
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Alejandro Hidalgo Auto #CPA-AHWATCH
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st Auto Los Angeles AngelsWATCH
  • 2022 Bowman Alejandro Hidalgo Auto Chrome 1st #CPA-AH Angels A2WATCH
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-AH AngelsWATCH
  • 2022 Bowman #CPA-AH Alejandro Hidalgo Chrome Auto Green Refractors PSA 9 #/99WATCH
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Alejandro Hidalgo 1st On Card Auto (D609)WATCH
  • 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR ALEJANDRO HIDALGO AUTO /299 ANGELS !!!WATCH
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Alejandro Hidalgo Auto #CPA-AHWATCH
  • ALEJANDRO HIDALGO AUTO 1st 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph Rookie Card RCWATCH
  • ALEJANDRO HIDALGO AUTO 1st 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph Rookie Card RCWATCH
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player