We just launched. Comp coverage is still building, so some fair-value numbers are preliminary — here's how we handle that.

Bowman Sniper

Shop Dax Kilby

His card market: the vehicles we prefer, the listings we have analysed, and the live eBay market beyond them.

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What we hold for him

Existence first, opinions after. These are counts of our own index, before any investment gate — and the last two say how much of it we have actually analysed.

Listed

43

matched to him in our index

Buyable

14

condition passes, price readable

Verified live

0

eBay confirmed the item page

Analysed

43

none clears the buy gate

Cheapest ask

$109.88

all-in, not re-checked lately

These count OUR index, not eBay's. A number here going to zero means our scans hold nothing, never that nothing is for sale — which is what the searches further down are for.

What the hobby pays for his benchmark card: $78.89 midpoint, from 2 confirmed sales, low confidence. How that is derived.

The vehicles we prefer

Four rungs, in a fixed hierarchy — a position in a documented list, not a score. Each rung shows what our index holds and opens the same rung on eBay, whether we hold anything or not.

  1. Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome AutoCore vehicle #1 of 4 in Bowman hierarchy — the canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it.1 held, none priced
    eBay All of these on eBayThe search is eBay's whole market for this rung, analysed or not.
  2. Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome AutoHis core cardCore vehicle #2 of 4 in Bowman hierarchy — the draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line.5 held, none priced
    eBay All of these on eBayThe search is eBay's whole market for this rung, analysed or not.
  3. Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome (non-auto)Core vehicle #3 of 4 in Bowman hierarchy — no certified 1st auto exists for this player — the non-auto 1st Chrome is the core card.none in our index
    eBay All of these on eBayNothing of his on this rung in our index — the search asks eBay directly.
  4. Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome (non-auto)Core vehicle #4 of 4 in Bowman hierarchy — documented fallback — neither an auto nor a flagship Chrome 1st is observed.none in our index
    eBay All of these on eBayNothing of his on this rung in our index — the search asks eBay directly.
  5. Every search above carries Dax Kilby's name, the 1st Bowman framing and our standing exclusions (reprints, customs, digital, sticker autos, coins, breaks). eBay decides what it returns; we only ask.

Listings we have analysed

Our own rows, ranked by card fit, then identity confidence, then a measured value edge, then listing quality — price last. Each carries the action our gates reached for it, and each link re-checks the listing is still live on the way out.

  1. 1WATCH2025 Bowman Draft Dax Kilby Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150 YankeesCore 1st auto, numbered · Title claims it — not verified · modeled value, 159% over · not re-checked lately · takes offers$305.98eBay View listing
  2. 2WATCH2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Dax Kilby Auto Sapphire Refractor /199 Card YankeesCore 1st auto, numbered · Title claims it — not verified · modeled value, 229% over · not re-checked lately · takes offers$349.99eBay View listing
  3. 3WATCHDAX KILBY 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199 #YANKEES PHENOM!Core 1st auto, numbered · Title claims it — not verified · modeled value, 237% over · not re-checked lately · takes offers$358.90eBay View listing
  4. 4WATCHDax Kilby 2025 Bowman Draft Sapphire AUTO 1st Bowman #151/199 #CPA-DK YankeesCore 1st auto, numbered · Title claims it — not verified · modeled value, 257% over · not re-checked lately · takes offers$380.25eBay View listing
  5. 5WATCH2025 Bowman Chrome Dax Kilby Blue Wave #/150 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-DKCore 1st auto, numbered · Title claims it — not verified · modeled value, 284% over · not re-checked lately · takes offers$455.00eBay View listing
  6. 6WATCH2025 Bowman Draft Sapphire Dax Kilby BLACK /10 Auto 1st Bowman Yankees PSA 9Core 1st auto, numbered · Title claims it — not verified · no valuation — sold evidence insufficient · not re-checked lately · takes offers$6508.00eBay View listing
  7. 7PASS2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Dax Kilby #CPA-DK Auto 8g8Secondary auto · Identity uncertain · confirmed value, 39% over · not re-checked lately$109.88eBay View listing
  8. 8PASS2025 Bowman Chrome Dax Kilby #CPA-DK Refractor Auto /499Secondary auto · Identity uncertain · modeled value, 197% over · not re-checked lately · takes offers$269.85eBay View listing
  9. 9PASS2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Sapphire Prospect 62/199 Dax Kilby #CPA-DK Auto 1d59Secondary auto · Identity uncertain · modeled value, 251% over · not re-checked lately$373.59eBay View listing
  10. 10WATCH2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Sapphire Prospect Green 89/99 Dax Kilby Auto 1d59Secondary auto · Identity uncertain · modeled value, 274% over · not re-checked lately$531.09eBay View listing
  11. 11WATCH2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 52/75 Dax Kilby Auto 4k8Secondary auto · Identity uncertain · modeled value, 341% over · not re-checked lately$695.54eBay View listing
  12. 12WATCH2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Dax Kilby Orange Wave /25 Yankees PSA 10 Secondary auto · Identity uncertain · modeled value, 479% over · not re-checked lately · takes offers$5005.16eBay View listing
  13. 2 more analysed listings ranked below these.

Closest to a buy: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Dax Kilby Chrome Prospects YankeesNo comparable copy has sold recently, so there is nothing solid to price against. It clears our bar at $68.80 delivered or below.

The live eBay market

Everything above is what we hold. This is everything else.

These go straight to eBay, unanalysed. They run our targeted query for Dax Kilby — his 1st Bowman series, with our standing exclusions — but what comes back has passed none of our gates. No identity check, no condition read, no valuation, and no verdict of ours attaches to any of it. Treat it as the marketplace, not as a recommendation.

Completed sales are a different question from current inventory — what somebody paid, not what somebody wants. We price cards from our own stored sold comps; this link is for reading, and nothing behind it is fed back into a valuation.