D'Andre Smith
CF · Syracuse Mets · Syracuse Mets · Triple-A · 25.0y · #489 of 7,942 we rate
Next: Today 10:35 PM vs Rochester Red Wings
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
69 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
37 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
D'Andre Smith scores 69 out of 100 (#489 of the 7,942 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 64 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 47 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Speed: plus-plus
64 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: plus
.269 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 89% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Elite speed (97th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
47 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-DS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-DS
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $4.00 costs 0.89× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
37 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 37 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 31 are under "The whole live market".
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor /499 D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto New York Mets
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 15d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$4.00
modeled ~$11.99
WATCH
2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO D'ANDRE SMITH
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 95d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 105h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.49
modeled ~$8.00
WATCH
2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO D'ANDRE SMITH
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 95d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 105h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.49
modeled ~$8.00
WATCH
D’Andre Smith AU RC Mojo Refractor 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto #BCMA-DS NY Mets
Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$6.85
modeled ~$8.00
WATCH
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto qf6
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$6.91
modeled ~$8.00
WATCH
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 1v2f
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 17d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$6.97
modeled ~$8.00
WATCH
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- MojoTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +234%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.85 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -54%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.95 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +133%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -75%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.86, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.86 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +247%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.37, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.37 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +83%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -53%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.78 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 61 on the 20–80 scale, against 741 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 61 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 741 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
14.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level
.269 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
10.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level
64 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.036 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 80th percentile of the cohort, production at the 93th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 80 and his production sits at 93, a gap of -13. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 740 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 27th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.6 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 76% of what it wants to know — missing production, form.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 741 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
47
AVG
.341
OBP
.426
SLG
.610
OPS
1.036
better than 93%
HR
3
SB
5
BB%
10.6
K%
14.9
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market37 listed · 0 eBay-verified · 31 not shown above
- Listings
- 37
- Lowest live
- $4.00
- Median ask
- $10.42
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.49
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $7.23
0 eBay-verified
The other 31 cards
- $7.202022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 1d0xWATCH
- $7.232022 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Auto Refractor 291/499 NY Mets - D'ANDRE SMITHWATCH
- $7.25D'Andre Smith 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto Card #CDA-DSWATCH
- $7.542022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 1a39WATCH
- $7.662022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 18t1WATCH
- $7.832022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 6fsWATCH
- $8.95D'ANDRE SMITH 2022 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME AUTO AUTOGRAPH CDA-DS RC 1ST FIRST METSWATCH
- $9.352022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome D'Andre Smith Auto Refractor #CDA-DS 071/499 (Read)WATCH
- $9.40D’ANDRE SMITH 2022 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST PROSPECT BASE AUTOGRAPH AUTO🔥🔥WATCH
- $9.51D'Andre Smith 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Autograph Auto Card #CDA-DSWATCH
- $10.422022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 16s2WATCH
- $11.282022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 11ehWATCH
- $11.362022 1st Bowman Chrome Draft D’Andre Smith Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-DSWATCH
- $11.572022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS Auto 11urWATCH
- $12.002022 Bowman Chrome Draft Blue Refractor D'Andre Smith 1st Rookie AUTO 070/150WATCH
- $12.072022 BOWMAN CHROME D’ANDRE SMITH 189/499 REFRACTOR AUTO 1ST METSWATCH
- $13.48D'Andre Smith 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Mets Top Prospect Rookie RC ⭐️ MINTWATCH
- $13.862022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor 106/199 D'Andre Smith Auto 8azWATCH
- $14.98D'ANDRE SMITH 2022 Bowman Draft 1ST BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT PICK AUTO #CDA-DS MetsWATCH
- $14.992023 Bowman Chrome D'Andre Smith 1st MOJO AUTO NY Mets SS BCMA-DSWATCH
- $15.78D'Andre Smith 2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Green Refractor AUTO /99 #CDA-DSWATCH
- $15.95D'Andre Smith 2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor AUTO #CDA-DS - Mets - SALEWATCH
- $16.49D'ANDRE SMITH 2022 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME 1ST PROSPECT ON CARD AUTOWATCH
- $25.25D’Andre Smith 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Aqua Lava Refractor Auto #d /199 PSA 9WATCH
- $25.372022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 172/250 D'Andre Smith Auto 0rd2WATCH
- $27.672022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor 122/150 D'Andre Smith Auto 0xz8WATCH
- —D'Andre Smith 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Raywave Refractor - 2022 Bowman Chrome MetsWATCH
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Auto 1st D'Andre Smith Chrome #CDA-DSWATCH
- —2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto D'Andre Smith #CDA-DS New York Mets RookieWATCH
- —2022 1st Bowman Draft Chrome ~ D'Andre Smith ~ #CDA-DS ~ Auto ~ New York MetsWATCH
- $12.992022 BOWMAN CHROME D’ANDRE SMITH 053/499 REFRACTOR AUTO 1ST METSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run