The highest confidence-adjusted mispricing across quality cards — the discount that survives the evidence haircut, not the loudest raw number.
1 ☆ WATCH
Not yet
71% below market
Close on everything · 71% below what these have sold for — $57.00 of it
Fair value
$67–80
midpoint $80.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
71%
$57.00 in your favour
Opportunity 7.6/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM urgency high live 2h ago
GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 76
Why it ranks here
· 71% below what these have sold for — $57.00 of it · real chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there · big power for his level (91th percentile) Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
9.4
big power for his level (91th percentile)
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
LOW
needs a measured price
Bear / base / bull
$12 / $115 / $1,447
modelled, not observed
Identified 84% — confident Research 84/100 — research complete Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Wait for a price
called a buy strong ≤ $53.60 buy ≤ $64.00 fair to $80.00 then don't chase
2 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 13m ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 77/100 — research complete Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
3 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 15m ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 77/100 — research complete Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
4 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 32h ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 77/100 — research complete Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
5 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 10h ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 77/100 — research complete Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
6 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 10h ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 77/100 — research complete Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
7 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 4d ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 72/100 — data stale Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
8 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 4d ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 72/100 — data stale Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
9 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
80% below market
Player not there yet · 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it
Fair value
$140–750
midpoint $700.00 · a few past sales
Under value
80%
68% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 8.2/10 CONVICTION At your priceurgency high live 4d ago STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 80% below what these have sold for — $560.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $139.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
MEDIUM
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$105 / $1,376 / $1,823
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 72/100 — data stale Seller risk low (0.5/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $139.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $111.99 buy ≤ $560.00 fair to $750.00 then don't chase
10 Juneiker Caceres 2026 · Bowman Chrome · Chrome Auto — 1st status unconfirmed · Mojo Refractor
CF Age 19 High-A
☆ PASS
Not this one
67% below market
Not a core card · 67% below what these have sold for — $40.00 of it
Fair value
$59–66
midpoint $60.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
67%
$40.00 in your favour
Opportunity 6.8/10 WATCHABLE urgency high live 8h ago
GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 68
Why it ranks here
· 67% below what these have sold for — $40.00 of it · real chance of reaching the majors · promoted Rookie -> High-A Risks
· identity only 70% established — whether this is a true 1st Bowman · unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
6.5
CF is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
EXTREMELY LOW
LOW if he stars
5x potential
LOW
needs a measured price
Bear / base / bull
$9 / $64 / $379
modelled, not observed
Identified 70% — review recommended Research 81/100 — identity uncertain Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Pass — nothing here to act on.
if you buy it anyway Wait for a price
called a buy strong ≤ $47.02 buy ≤ $48.00 fair to $65.99 then don't chase
11 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
60% below market
Player not there yet · 60% below what these have sold for — $120.01 of it
Fair value
$185–230
midpoint $200.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
60%
$120.01 in your favour
Opportunity 7.9/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM urgency high live 10h ago
GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 79
Why it ranks here
· 60% below what these have sold for — $120.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there · modelled bull case is 13.1x what you pay Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $79.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 13.1x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$30 / $356 / $1,047
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 83/100 — research complete Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $79.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $148.00 buy ≤ $160.00 fair to $230.00 then don't chase
12 ☆ WATCH
Not yet
56% below market
Close on everything · 56% below what these have sold for — $45.00 of it
Fair value
$67–80
midpoint $80.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
56%
$45.00 in your favour
Opportunity 7.6/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM urgency high live 4d ago
GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 76
Why it ranks here
· 56% below what these have sold for — $45.00 of it · real chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there · big power for his level (91th percentile) Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
9.4
big power for his level (91th percentile)
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
LOW
needs a measured price
Bear / base / bull
$12 / $115 / $1,447
modelled, not observed
Identified 84% — confident Research 79/100 — data stale Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Wait for a price
called a buy strong ≤ $53.60 buy ≤ $64.00 fair to $80.00 then don't chase
13 Émilien Pitre 2025 · Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
SS Age 23 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
60% below market
Player not there yet · 60% below what these have sold for — $12.00 of it
Fair value
$19–20
midpoint $19.99 · a few past sales
Under value
60%
51% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 7.4/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM urgency high live 3d ago
GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 75
Why it ranks here
· 60% below what these have sold for — $12.00 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · promoted High-A -> Triple-A Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
4.7
little power for his level (12th percentile)
$1K potential
LOW
MEDIUM if he stars
5x potential
LOW
needs a measured price
Bear / base / bull
$3 / $29 / $660
modelled, not observed
Identified 84% — confident Research 73/100 — data stale Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Wait for a price
called a buy strong ≤ $15.22 buy ≤ $15.99 fair to $20.00 then don't chase
14 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
50% below market
Player not there yet · 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it
Fair value
$185–230
midpoint $200.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
50%
$100.01 in your favour
Opportunity 7.9/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM At your priceurgency extreme live 4d ago GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 79
Why it ranks here
· 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $99.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 10.5x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$30 / $356 / $1,047
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 78/100 — data stale Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $99.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $148.00 buy ≤ $160.00 fair to $230.00 then don't chase
15 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
50% below market
Player not there yet · 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it
Fair value
$185–230
midpoint $200.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
50%
$100.01 in your favour
Opportunity 7.9/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM At your priceurgency extreme live 4d ago GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 79
Why it ranks here
· 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $99.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 10.5x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$30 / $356 / $1,047
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 78/100 — data stale Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $99.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $148.00 buy ≤ $160.00 fair to $230.00 then don't chase
16 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
50% below market
Player not there yet · 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it
Fair value
$185–230
midpoint $200.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
50%
$100.01 in your favour
Opportunity 7.9/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM At your priceurgency extreme live 4d ago GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 79
Why it ranks here
· 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $99.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 10.5x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$30 / $356 / $1,047
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 78/100 — data stale Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $99.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $148.00 buy ≤ $160.00 fair to $230.00 then don't chase
17 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
50% below market
Player not there yet · 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it
Fair value
$185–230
midpoint $200.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
50%
$100.01 in your favour
Opportunity 7.9/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM At your priceurgency extreme live 4d ago GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 79
Why it ranks here
· 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $99.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 10.5x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$30 / $356 / $1,047
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 78/100 — data stale Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $99.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $148.00 buy ≤ $160.00 fair to $230.00 then don't chase
18 Franklin Arias Bowman Chrome · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto · Red
SS Age 20 Triple-A
☆ WATCH
Not yet
50% below market
Player not there yet · 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it
Fair value
$185–230
midpoint $200.00 · plenty of past sales
Under value
50%
$100.01 in your favour
Opportunity 7.9/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM At your priceurgency extreme live 4d ago GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 79
Why it ranks here
· 50% below what these have sold for — $100.01 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · at your price · 1st Bowman Chrome Auto — one of the vehicles that actually gets there Risks
· unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work · $99.99 in Franklin Arias would exceed the $75 per-player cap. Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
7.4
SS is a position the hobby pays up for
$1K potential
LOW
HIGH if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 10.5x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$30 / $356 / $1,047
modelled, not observed
Identified 80% — confident Research 78/100 — data stale Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $99.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $148.00 buy ≤ $160.00 fair to $230.00 then don't chase
19 Cole Carrigg 2023 · Bowman Draft · Chrome Auto — 1st status unconfirmed
CF Age 24 Triple-A Albuquerque Isotopes
☆ WATCH
Not yet
55% below market
Not a core card · 55% below what these have sold for — $14.20 of it
Fair value
$25–33
midpoint $26.00 · a few past sales
Under value
55%
46% confidence-adjusted
Opportunity 7.4/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM At your priceurgency high live 8h ago GOOD PRICE — ORDINARY CARD SCORE 74
Why it ranks here
· 55% below what these have sold for — $14.20 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · at your price · modelled bull case is 35.2x what you pay · elite speed (98th percentile) Risks
· identity only 70% established — whether this is a true 1st Bowman · condition given as "Ungraded", which we could not place on a scale · unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
3
sells sometimes
Hobby appeal
7.0
elite speed (98th percentile)
$1K potential
LOW
MEDIUM if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 35.2x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$4 / $36 / $416
modelled, not observed
Identified 70% — review recommended Research 75/100 — identity uncertain Seller risk moderate (2.6/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $11.80 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $20.00 buy ≤ $20.80 fair to $32.99 then don't chase
20 ☆ WATCH
Not yet
46% below market
Close on everything · 46% below what these have sold for — $60.00 of it
Fair value
$120–138
midpoint $129.99 · plenty of past sales
Under value
46%
$60.00 in your favour
Opportunity 8.2/10 CLOSE RIGHT CARD, NEEDS STARDOM urgency high live 10h ago
STRONG CASE — A BUY GATE SHORT SCORE 82
Why it ranks here
· 46% below what these have sold for — $60.00 of it · strong chance of reaching the majors · one of the three card types worth owning · modelled bull case is 12.4x what you pay · 0.972 OPS while far younger than the level Risks
· identity only 72% established — the year · unnumbered, so scarcity cannot do any of the work Deep read — projections and provenance ▾ Liquidity
6
sells often — easy exit
Hobby appeal
6.5
big power for his level (91th percentile)
$1K potential
LOW
MEDIUM if he stars
5x potential
VERY HIGH
bull is 12.4x what you pay
Bear / base / bull
$20 / $226 / $871
modelled, not observed
Identified 72% — review recommended Research 81/100 — identity uncertain Seller risk low (1.1/10)
The move
Track it — the price is not what is standing in the way.
mechanics Buy it — $69.99 all in
called a buy strong ≤ $95.99 buy ≤ $103.99 fair to $138.27 then don't chase
What each strategy asks Every tab reads the same analyzed board. What differs is the gates: a card has to clear all of them to appear, and the requirements below are the ones the engine actually applies.
Conviction buys The listings both halves of the analysis call a buy: the asset clears every conviction gate on confirmed sales, and the listing itself is priced to act on today. Nothing here is a fair-value entry or a speculative bet — those have their own labels.
Must clear
both a conviction-grade asset tier and a buy-grade action on this listing Best deals · showing now Must clear
a confidence-adjusted discount of 10%+ confirmed sales at decent confidence behind the fair value investment quality of 60+ a clean condition read Moonshots Roughly $8–$30 cards with asymmetric prospect upside. The player is the risk, not the price — ranked by how far the card would go if he hit.
Must clear
a lottery-grade read on the card a delivered price inside the $8–$30 band Blue chip prospects Elite players on canonical cards, even when the discount is modest. You are buying the player; the entry price matters less than the vehicle.
Must clear
a player at 8.0+ a canonical core vehicle High-end value $250+ listings where the ABSOLUTE dollar gap to fair value is meaningful. 20% off $1,500 is a $300 edge; ranked in dollars, gated on evidence.
Must clear
a $250+ outlay a positive dollar gap to fair value confirmed sales at decent confidence behind the fair value a card at 7.0+ Flip opportunities Liquid cards priced materially below recent confirmed sales — the ones with a real monthly velocity to sell back into.
Must clear
sale velocity of 6+ to sell back into 15%+ below confirmed sales confirmed sales at decent confidence behind the fair value New listings Quality cards listed in the last 48 hours — recent enough that the market may not have noticed them yet. Newest first.
Must clear
listed within the last 48 hours investment 65+ or a card at 7.0+ Price drops Listings whose own price history shows the seller cutting. Ranked by how far they have come down.
Must clear
a recorded price cut on this exact listing The scores those gates read — investment, card, player — are defined on how we score , and every fair value behind a discount comes from confirmed sales rather than asking prices.